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Balkan vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 86-95
19-26 25-17 26-23 16-29
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game75.3
BulgariaNBLRound 10· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v CSKA Sofia
30 Oct 2026
BAL94
CSKA65
03 May 2024
BAL94
CSKA74
29 Apr 2024
BAL91
CSKA76
28 Mar 2024
BAL86
CSKA59
03 Dec 2023
BAL86
CSKA95
14 May 2023
BAL80
CSKA71
12 May 2023
BAL79
CSKA90
15 Mar 2023
BAL71
CSKA81
07 Jan 2023
BAL81
CSKA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 71
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
81-70
81
70
+11
84avg 71
H28/10
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 71
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
90avg 71
H04/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 71
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 71
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 71
A18/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 71
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
82avg 71
H25/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
13avg 71
A29/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
20-26
19-12
21-20
25-7
27-19
10-25
19-19
20-22
31-11
12-21
18-16
24-21
20-16
19-23
26-25
25-17
22-20
15-13
24-24
18-19
19-24
21-15
27-21
26-23
20-21
20-24
15-22
16-23
10-24
29-21
17-22
28-21
21-18
20-12
11-16
15-21
15-20
24-14
20-20
159.5Avg total
81.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.077.0158.0+4.067%
Season at home (6)85.076.5161.5+8.5100%
Season away (3)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)81.777.8159.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)78.480.2158.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.379.5160.8+1.867%
vs Similar ◀ (2)88.584.0172.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker (21)85.176.0161.1+9.181%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 79
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 79
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 79
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 79
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-64
99
64
+35
96avg 79
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 79
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 79
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 79
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 79
H29/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
24-19
20-23
16-13
19-19
18-16
25-10
18-17
18-17
35-13
15-19
19-21
15-23
20-13
23-21
20-28
20-14
18-15
21-22
26-21
20-17
24-16
37-13
18-18
12-24
16-12
20-24
30-19
23-17
21-20
19-18
20-24
16-26
13-19
30-28
23-22
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
159.8Avg total
84.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.775.3160.0+9.367%
Season at home (5)86.072.4158.4+13.680%
Season away (4)83.079.0162.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.875.0159.8+9.870%
Last 5 (5)86.477.8164.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.980.8162.7+1.258%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.877.9165.7+9.989%
vs Weaker (8)87.677.1164.8+10.562%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
BalkanCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H28/10
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H04/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/11
NBL
82.3Avg total
43.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.281.4+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.837.879.6+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)42.840.983.7+1.877%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.382.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.880.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.339.883.2+3.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (21)42.739.782.4+3.071%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
75.3Avg total
39.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.280.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.037.680.6+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.080.1+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.975.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.674.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.138.979.0+1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.236.781.9+8.667%-
vs Weaker (8)42.239.982.1+2.462%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.018.0
62.1%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.010.5
70.0%
71.1%10.5
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.8
57.9%
54.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.1
27.5%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.9%
71.1%14.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWLLWWWWWW
CSKA Sofia
WLWLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#5
+7.1
Net rating
+13.3
112.0
Offensive rating
111.8
105.0
Defensive rating
98.6
58.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.9%
3-point %
27.5%
68.9%
Assist %
74.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 111.8Defence105.0 · 98.6Shooting58.2% · 50.8%3-point %35.9% · 27.5%Ball care20.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 36.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Balkan   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Balkan wins
4
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
19/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan83-92
17/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan70-85
14/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia80-71
12/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia79-90
22/03/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan82-80 OT
15/03/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia71-81
07/01/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia81-67
22/10/22CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-72
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23ABeroe74-75
25/11/23HYambol80-67
22/11/23ASporting CP72-90
18/11/23AChernomorets81-90
15/11/23HAlba Fehervar85-79
11/11/23HMinyor86-74
04/11/23HSpartak Pleven89-85
01/11/23HSporting CP81-70
28/10/23HRilski Sportist81-70
25/10/23AAlba Fehervar88-78
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HShumen90-72
26/11/23AChernomorets82-95
19/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-79
13/11/23ARilski Sportist78-79
04/11/23HCherno More99-64
30/10/23ALevski85-72
21/10/23HMinyor78-85
14/10/23AAcademic Plovdiv87-70
07/10/23HYambol80-62
28/05/23HRilski Sportist86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.085.073.0
Allowed / game77.076.578.0
Point differential+4.0+8.5-5.0
Avg total158.0161.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game84.786.083.0
Allowed / game75.372.479.0
Point differential+9.3+13.6+4.0
Avg total160.0158.4162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets10100100%85.672.4+13.2
2 CSKA Sofia96367%84.775.3+9.3
3 Balkan96367%81.077.0+4.0
4 Spartak Pleven106460%86.278.6+7.6
5 Rilski Sportist95456%76.972.8+4.1
6 Yambol95456%80.783.4-2.8
7 Levski104640%76.578.4-1.9
8 Beroe104640%81.884.4-2.6
9 Minyor104640%74.985.6-10.7
10 Shumen103730%82.785.9-3.2
11 Academic Plovdiv92722%76.784.4-7.8
12 Cherno More92722%75.685.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1925261686
CSKA Sofia2617232995
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