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Ball State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-74
30-34 38-40
Position#237
Record7-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#109
Record8-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ball State v Buffalo
30 Jan 2027
BALL v BUFF
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
BALL53
BUFF63
22 Feb 2025
BALL80
BUFF66
24 Jan 2023
BALL65
BUFF91
14 Jan 2022
BALL68
BUFF74
02 Feb 2021
BALL58
BUFF78
07 Jan 2020
BALL88
BUFF68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H27/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
50-96
50
96
-46
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H12/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
52-49
33-44
47-49
23-45
27-51
53-30
32-28
29-37
35-48
37-36
38-19
36-34
45-46
28-28
37-38
39-34
39-38
36-33
38-51
151.3Avg total
74.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.477.3151.7-2.947%
Season at home (7)78.669.7148.3+8.971%
Season away (8)70.883.9154.6-13.125%
Last 10 (10)74.976.4151.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)74.671.4146.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.382.4153.6-11.114%
vs Similar (10)78.079.2157.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (5)80.863.8144.6+17.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#269
W
106-90
106
90
+16
A24/11
NCAA
Point Park Pioneers
#630
W
94-49
94
49
+45
H30/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#70
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A09/12
NCAA
St. John Fisher
#557
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H29/12
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-34
57-56
52-24
42-25
29-35
36-33
40-35
37-32
48-27
52-31
25-37
39-28
40-33
41-58
38-34
38-54
43-41
56-47
33-34
45-30
156.8Avg total
84.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.173.3155.4+8.957%
Season at home (6)89.871.7161.5+18.267%
Season away (8)76.474.5150.9+1.950%
Last 10 (10)84.072.8156.8+11.260%
Last 5 (5)79.679.2158.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)76.075.2151.2+0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.070.9156.9+15.180%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
Ball StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H27/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H12/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.371.2+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.131.170.1+8.071%-
Last 30 away (16)35.037.172.1-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.770.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.068.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.436.269.6-2.921%-
vs Similar (10)38.336.074.3+2.370%-
vs Weaker (5)40.826.467.2+14.4100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#269
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Point Park Pioneers
#630
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H30/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#70
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/12
NCAA
St. John Fisher
#557
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
39.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.470.7+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.831.469.2+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)36.836.072.8+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.473.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.871.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)33.535.168.5-1.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.232.472.6+7.880%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
3
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
02/02/21Ball State v Buffalo58-78
09/01/21Buffalo v Ball State86-69
19/02/20Buffalo v Ball State72-59
08/01/20Ball State v Buffalo88-68
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22AAkron74-84
08/01/22AEastern Michigan78-72
05/01/22HKent State65-66
01/01/22HBowling Green81-80
22/12/21HEastern Illinois75-55
18/12/21AIllinois State64-85
12/12/21HIndiana-Kokomo85-58
08/12/21AXavier50-96
02/12/21AWestern Illinois80-93
27/11/21HIndiana State97-75
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22AWestern Michigan78-64
06/01/22HBowling Green99-88
01/01/22AAkron76-88
29/12/21HMiami (Ohio)81-91
18/12/21ACanisius64-65
11/12/21HSt. John Fisher100-58
09/12/21AWestern Kentucky77-67
04/12/21ASt. Bonaventure65-68
30/11/21HPoint Park Pioneers94-49
24/11/21AIllinois State106-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game74.478.670.8
Allowed / game77.369.783.9
Point differential-2.9+8.9-13.1
Avg total151.7148.3154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game82.189.876.4
Allowed / game73.371.774.5
Point differential+8.9+18.2+1.9
Avg total155.4161.5150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1513287%73.466.1+7.3
2 Toledo1612475%78.566.6+11.9
3 Akron139469%74.262.5+11.8
4 Buffalo148657%82.173.3+8.9
5 Bowling Green158753%83.876.3+7.5
6 Miami (Ohio)147750%79.169.5+9.6
7 Eastern Michigan147750%74.976.4-1.6
8 Kent State157847%69.463.9+5.5
9 UMass157847%77.978.1-0.2
10 Ball State157847%74.477.3-2.9
11 Northern Illinois124833%57.968.9-11.0
12 Western Michigan1541127%65.178.4-13.3
13 Central Michigan1421214%64.683.9-19.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State303868
Buffalo344074
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