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Ball State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-91
27-45 38-46
Position#103
Record13-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#231
Record9-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Ball State v Buffalo
30 Jan 2027
BALL v BUFF
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
BALL53
BUFF63
22 Feb 2025
BALL80
BUFF66
24 Jan 2023
BALL65
BUFF91
14 Jan 2022
BALL68
BUFF74
02 Feb 2021
BALL58
BUFF78
07 Jan 2020
BALL88
BUFF68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
46-41
41-34
42-35
17-24
41-30
29-28
41-35
40-37
50-46
30-31
40-32
29-26
42-50
47-30
28-31
31-29
40-41
28-45
37-41
143.5Avg total
74.1Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.668.2143.7+7.468%
Season at home (11)77.363.8141.1+13.591%
Season away (8)73.274.1147.4-0.938%
Last 10 (10)74.169.4143.5+4.780%
Last 5 (5)70.471.2141.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.581.4154.9-7.930%
vs Similar (8)72.170.0142.1+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)74.167.1141.2+7.080%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#89
L
63-88
63
88
-25
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-46
34-42
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
45-28
35-34
34-37
46-54
30-40
40-30
48-33
52-38
39-46
38-40
163.2Avg total
82.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.777.6157.3+2.247%
Season at home (11)84.973.6158.5+11.373%
Season away (8)72.683.0155.6-10.412%
Last 10 (10)82.880.4163.2+2.440%
Last 5 (5)83.079.4162.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.086.8160.8-12.825%
vs Similar (12)77.171.9149.0+5.250%
vs Weaker (9)86.373.8160.1+12.689%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +1.4+1.4
Ball StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A20/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.568.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.431.266.7+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)34.136.170.3-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)33.431.264.6+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.265.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.338.772.0-5.430%-
vs Similar (8)33.833.166.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.630.164.7+4.570%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#89
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
39.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.673.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.235.275.5+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)35.536.071.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.077.9+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.941.176.0-6.225%-
vs Similar (12)36.532.669.1+3.958%-
vs Weaker (9)39.835.375.1+4.478%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
5
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Buffalo v Ball State80-74
14/01/22Ball State v Buffalo68-74
02/02/21Ball State v Buffalo58-78
09/01/21Buffalo v Ball State86-69
19/02/20Buffalo v Ball State72-59
08/01/20Ball State v Buffalo88-68
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23AKent State65-86
18/01/23HWestern Michigan71-70
14/01/23HMiami (FL)75-61
11/01/23AOhio71-76
07/01/23HAkron70-63
04/01/23AToledo90-83
29/12/22HChicago State70-63
22/12/22HGeorgia Southern58-54
17/12/22HIllinois State83-69
10/12/22HEvansville88-69
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HToledo77-86
18/01/23HBowling Green100-71
14/01/23ACentral Michigan78-87 OT
11/01/23AMiami (FL)80-91
07/01/23HNorthern Illinois80-62
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96
10/12/22HTulane63-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %68%91%38%
Points / game75.677.373.2
Allowed / game68.263.874.1
Point differential+7.4+13.5-0.9
Avg total143.7141.1147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %47%73%12%
Points / game79.784.972.6
Allowed / game77.673.683.0
Point differential+2.2+11.3-10.4
Avg total157.3158.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1916384%75.262.4+12.8
2 Akron1914574%72.161.0+11.1
3 Ball State1913668%75.668.2+7.4
4 Toledo1913668%84.978.5+6.4
5 UMass1911858%70.670.2+0.5
6 Ohio1910953%77.472.3+5.1
7 Buffalo1991047%79.777.6+2.2
8 Bowling Green1991047%77.977.2+0.8
9 Central Michigan1971237%67.470.7-3.3
10 Northern Illinois1971237%69.675.2-5.6
11 Western Michigan1961332%71.272.3-1.1
12 Eastern Michigan1941521%71.981.6-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State273865
Buffalo454691
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