PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ball State vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-69
0-0 42-26 0-0 43-43
Position#288
Record11-19
FormLLWWW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#323
Record10-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ball State v Central Michigan
09 Jan 2027
BALL v CENT
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BALL85
CENT69
04 Mar 2025
BALL67
CENT69
06 Jan 2024
BALL65
CENT71
08 Feb 2022
BALL85
CENT89
27 Feb 2021
BALL97
CENT91
03 Mar 2020
BALL85
CENT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
79-43
79
43
+36
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-39
0-0
28-34
0-0
27-40
0-0
25-37
0-0
36-27
0-0
37-41
0-0
27-30
0-0
26-33
0-0
31-40
0-0
37-35
0-0
15-32
0-0
42-37
0-0
36-40
0-0
29-38
0-0
21-34
0-0
40-27
0-0
36-29
0-0
43-14
0-0
25-22
0-0
36-39
134.0Avg total
65.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)66.969.5136.4-2.637%
Season at home (14)71.267.3138.5+3.950%
Season away (16)63.271.4134.6-8.225%
Last 10 (10)65.069.0134.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)69.866.8136.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.878.2144.0-12.410%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.371.3135.6-7.031%
vs Weaker (5)67.458.4125.8+9.080%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H01/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-36
0-0
62-29
0-0
20-32
0-0
42-27
0-0
47-40
0-0
42-55
0-0
42-38
0-0
38-47
0-0
51-22
0-0
37-24
0-0
27-35
0-0
27-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
43-37
0-0
42-32
0-0
39-51
0-0
34-26
0-0
41-44
0-0
33-39
0-0
31-38
149.2Avg total
77.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.576.6150.2-3.133%
Season at home (14)79.869.6149.4+10.164%
Season away (16)68.182.8150.8-14.76%
Last 10 (10)77.671.6149.2+6.050%
Last 5 (5)71.473.2144.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.481.8151.2-12.425%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.074.5147.5-1.525%
vs Weaker (4)78.865.5144.2+13.250%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Ball StateCentral Michigan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A04/03
NCAA
61.4Avg total
28.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.432.162.5-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.632.566.1+1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)27.731.859.4-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)28.133.361.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)26.631.458.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.338.268.5-7.910%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.431.259.5-2.831%-
vs Weaker (5)32.228.060.2+4.260%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H01/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/03
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.471.0+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.432.770.1+4.764%-
Last 30 away (16)34.037.771.7-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.370.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.068.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.538.271.7-4.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.935.268.1-2.438%-
vs Weaker (4)43.827.271.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ball State wins
4
Central Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AWestern Michigan74-71 OT
28/02/26ANorthern Illinois79-43
25/02/26HUMass74-73 OT
20/02/26HAkron65-78
18/02/26AOhio57-69
14/02/26HKent State68-75
12/02/26HBuffalo53-63
07/02/26ALouisiana Monroe73-68
04/02/26ABowling Green52-77
31/01/26AToledo55-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HAkron64-77
28/02/26ABuffalo75-70
25/02/26AKent State81-83
21/02/26HWestern Michigan83-70
17/02/26AEastern Michigan54-66
14/02/26HNorthern Illinois88-46
07/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette80-85
04/02/26AUMass89-95
01/02/26HBowling Green62-59
28/01/26HEastern Michigan100-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW37%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %37%50%25%
Points / game66.971.263.2
Allowed / game69.567.371.4
Point differential-2.6+3.9-8.2
Avg total136.4138.5134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLLLLW6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%64%6%
Points / game73.579.868.1
Allowed / game76.669.682.8
Point differential-3.1+10.1-14.7
Avg total150.2149.4150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)30300100%90.373.8+16.5
2 Akron3126584%89.673.7+15.9
3 Kent State3021970%85.480.2+5.1
4 Bowling Green31181358%81.571.4+10.1
5 Buffalo30171357%78.375.5+2.8
6 Toledo30161453%80.976.8+4.1
7 UMass31161552%80.577.5+3.0
8 Ohio30151550%77.077.3-0.3
9 Ball State30111937%66.969.5-2.6
10 Central Michigan30102033%73.576.6-3.1
11 Western Michigan30102033%74.779.3-4.6
12 Eastern Michigan31102132%70.773.5-2.8
13 Northern Illinois3092130%69.577.8-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ball State04204385
Central Michigan02604369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.