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Central Michigan vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-79
31-38 40-41
Position#168
Record16-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#226
Record13-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Central Michigan v Ball State
20 Jan 2026
CENT67
BALL68
21 Jan 2025
CENT80
BALL82
27 Feb 2024
CENT71
BALL79
07 Feb 2023
CENT51
BALL65
22 Jan 2022
CENT v BALL
upcoming
09 Feb 2021
CENT v BALL
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
CENT71
BALL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A07/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H18/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
62-60 OT
62
60
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-23
35-39
38-20
33-35
29-16
33-39
30-36
33-27
35-32
27-30
20-35
27-33
29-29
29-28
40-21
29-21
28-17
28-39
24-46
36-42
129.5Avg total
65.5Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.470.1136.5-3.759%
Season at home (11)72.064.0136.0+8.082%
Season away (16)62.674.3136.9-11.844%
Last 10 (10)65.564.0129.5+1.580%
Last 5 (5)59.263.0122.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)63.875.6139.4-11.841%
vs Similar (8)68.668.0136.6+0.662%
vs Weaker (4)70.065.5135.5+4.575%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
37-35
45-31
42-28
39-26
42-45
31-33
41-48
39-22
38-45
27-36
45-36
31-37
29-31
29-30
30-50
27-31
43-32
27-26
29-32
143.9Avg total
72.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.370.4143.7+2.948%
Season at home (14)78.068.0146.0+10.057%
Season away (13)68.273.1141.3-4.838%
Last 10 (10)72.171.8143.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)64.870.6135.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.284.2162.4-6.00%
vs Similar (10)69.280.6149.8-11.410%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.362.6137.9+12.780%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.6-0.6
Central MichiganBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
29-16
29
16
+13
A27/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A10/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
28-17
28
17
+11
H21/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A24/02
NCAA
57.8Avg total
30.3Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.333.664.0-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.631.665.2+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)27.835.263.0-7.435%-
Last 10 (10)30.327.557.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)28.229.657.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.535.964.4-7.435%-
vs Similar (8)31.431.562.9-0.138%-
vs Weaker (4)32.227.059.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H24/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.967.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.732.768.4+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)32.135.267.3-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)33.030.963.9+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)28.232.060.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.437.070.4-3.640%-
vs Similar (10)32.240.172.3-7.910%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)35.428.764.1+6.767%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Central Michigan wins
3
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AMiami (Ohio)60-88
21/02/24HBowling Green62-60 OT
18/02/24HWestern Michigan69-42
10/02/24AOld Dominion58-57
07/02/24AAkron47-68
03/02/24ABowling Green77-76 OT
31/01/24HNorthern Illinois84-77 OT
27/01/24AWestern Michigan62-55
24/01/24HMiami (Ohio)71-55
20/01/24HToledo65-62
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HEastern Michigan56-58
21/02/24ANorthern Illinois70-63
17/02/24AMiami (Ohio)59-80
10/02/24ATexas State60-68
07/02/24HOhio79-84 OT
03/02/24AWestern Michigan77-67
31/01/24HBowling Green72-81
27/01/24HNorthern Illinois81-71
24/01/24ABuffalo87-59
20/01/24HMiami (Ohio)80-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %59%82%44%
Points / game66.472.062.6
Allowed / game70.164.074.3
Point differential-3.7+8.0-11.8
Avg total136.5136.0136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %11%18%6%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeLWLLL57%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game73.378.068.2
Allowed / game70.468.073.1
Point differential+2.9+10.0-4.8
Avg total143.7146.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2720774%75.065.0+10.0
2 UMass27171063%79.271.6+7.6
3 Bowling Green27171063%75.271.9+3.3
4 Toledo27171063%80.077.1+3.0
5 Central Michigan27161159%66.470.1-3.7
6 Ohio27151256%78.471.8+6.6
7 Miami (Ohio)26131350%72.870.4+2.4
8 Kent State27131448%75.972.0+3.9
9 Ball State27131448%73.370.4+2.9
10 Eastern Michigan27111641%67.374.4-7.1
11 Western Michigan27101737%71.374.5-3.1
12 Northern Illinois2791833%73.378.1-4.8
13 Buffalo2742315%67.879.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Michigan314071
Ball State384179
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