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Buffalo vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-75
0-0 26-34 0-0 44-41
Position#180
Record16-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game75.9
Buffalo
USA
vs
Central Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#323
Record9-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Buffalo v Central Michigan
28 Feb 2026
BUFF70
CENT75
28 Jan 2025
BUFF75
CENT69
21 Feb 2023
BUFF63
CENT35
18 Jan 2022
BUFF v CENT
upcoming
25 Feb 2021
BUFF85
CENT73
26 Jan 2021
BUFF v CENT
upcoming
07 Feb 2020
BUFF65
CENT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-43
0-0
36-39
0-0
29-38
0-0
38-30
0-0
39-32
0-0
50-46
0-0
31-46
0-0
52-49
0-0
35-38
0-0
36-35
0-0
24-40
0-0
45-41
0-0
30-27
0-0
33-26
0-0
35-29
0-0
35-43
0-0
29-34
0-0
39-34
0-0
35-39
0-0
50-60
152.9Avg total
74.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.875.9154.7+3.057%
Season at home (14)78.676.3154.9+2.450%
Season away (14)79.075.4154.4+3.664%
Last 10 (10)74.678.3152.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)74.677.4152.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.086.0165.0-7.025%
vs Similar (13)77.877.2155.0+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.467.6144.0+8.875%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H01/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-33
0-0
47-35
0-0
31-35
0-0
34-42
0-0
38-36
0-0
62-29
0-0
20-32
0-0
42-27
0-0
47-40
0-0
42-55
0-0
42-38
0-0
38-47
0-0
51-22
0-0
37-24
0-0
27-35
0-0
27-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
43-37
0-0
42-32
0-0
39-51
148.3Avg total
76.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.876.9150.7-3.032%
Season at home (13)81.069.1150.1+11.969%
Season away (15)67.683.6151.2-16.00%
Last 10 (10)76.971.4148.3+5.540%
Last 5 (5)77.270.0147.2+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.483.0152.4-13.621%
vs Similar (9)72.673.7146.2-1.133%
vs Weaker (5)79.269.0148.2+10.240%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
BuffaloCentral Michigan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.535.772.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.737.072.7-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.434.471.8+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)31.436.668.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.864.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.241.977.1-6.625%-
vs Similar (13)33.635.669.2-2.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.829.570.2+11.288%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H21/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H01/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.570.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.932.168.9+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)33.238.571.8-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.669.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.072.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.539.072.5-5.536%-
vs Similar (9)31.735.767.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (5)40.027.867.8+12.280%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buffalo wins
2
Central Michigan wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Central Michigan v Buffalo73-69
29/01/25Buffalo v Central Michigan75-69
03/01/24Central Michigan v Buffalo64-76
22/02/23Buffalo v Central Michigan63-35
14/01/23Central Michigan v Buffalo87-78 OT
05/02/22Central Michigan v Buffalo54-74
25/02/21Buffalo v Central Michigan85-73
08/02/20Buffalo v Central Michigan65-60
18/01/20Central Michigan v Buffalo67-86
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AAkron85-99
21/02/26AUMass86-82 OT
17/02/26HNorthern Illinois70-72
12/02/26ABall State63-53
07/02/26ASouth Alabama69-81
03/02/26HMiami (Ohio)71-73
31/01/26HOhio83-95
28/01/26ABowling Green89-78
24/01/26HUMass67-68
20/01/26HAkron63-82
Central Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AKent State81-83
21/02/26HWestern Michigan83-70
17/02/26AEastern Michigan54-66
14/02/26HNorthern Illinois88-46
07/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette80-85
04/02/26AUMass89-95
01/02/26HBowling Green62-59
28/01/26HEastern Michigan100-65
24/01/26AWestern Michigan65-77
21/01/26HBall State67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game78.878.679.0
Allowed / game75.976.375.4
Point differential+3.0+2.4+3.6
Avg total154.7154.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%21%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL32%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%69%0%
Points / game73.881.067.6
Allowed / game76.969.183.6
Point differential-3.0+11.9-16.0
Avg total150.7150.1151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%54%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)29290100%90.973.9+17.0
2 Akron2924583%89.974.7+15.2
3 Kent State2920969%84.880.4+4.4
4 Buffalo28161257%78.875.9+3.0
5 Bowling Green29161355%81.771.8+9.9
6 Toledo28151354%81.277.2+4.0
7 Ohio28151354%77.176.6+0.5
8 UMass29151452%80.677.2+3.4
9 Eastern Michigan29101934%70.973.4-2.6
10 Western Michigan29101934%74.879.4-4.7
11 Northern Illinois2791833%70.876.3-5.4
12 Central Michigan2891932%73.876.9-3.0
13 Ball State2891932%66.270.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buffalo02604470
Central Michigan03404175
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