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Northern Illinois vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 43-79
29-36 14-43
Position#342
Record9-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game76.3
Northern Illinois
USA
vs
Ball State 🏆
USA
Position#288
Record9-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Ball State
28 Feb 2026
NORT43
BALL79
25 Jan 2025
NORT76
BALL66
20 Feb 2024
NORT63
BALL70
28 Jan 2023
NORT69
BALL87
27 Jan 2022
NORT67
BALL74
29 Dec 2020
NORT v BALL
upcoming
08 Dec 2020
NORT70
BALL79
06 Mar 2020
NORT54
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
46-88
46
88
-42
A14/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
47-48
22-29
31-29
35-30
50-35
38-40
23-45
35-37
40-37
19-38
33-30
22-51
24-37
29-35
43-35
25-37
41-37
31-36
38-43
139.7Avg total
65.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.876.3147.1-5.433%
Season at home (11)79.173.7152.8+5.455%
Season away (16)65.178.0143.1-12.919%
Last 10 (10)65.674.1139.7-8.530%
Last 5 (5)61.075.8136.8-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)64.678.5143.1-13.917%
vs Similar (5)81.670.8152.4+10.880%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-20
35-47
29-22
29-31
27-39
28-34
27-40
25-37
36-27
37-41
27-30
26-33
31-40
37-35
15-32
42-37
36-40
29-38
21-34
40-27
131.9Avg total
62.3Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)66.270.4136.6-4.132%
Season at home (14)71.267.3138.5+3.950%
Season away (14)61.373.5134.8-12.214%
Last 10 (10)62.369.6131.9-7.340%
Last 5 (5)63.471.6135.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.878.3144.1-12.59%
vs Similar (13)63.871.2134.9-7.423%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)64.562.2126.8+2.275%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.9-7.91st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -3.2-3.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.9-7.91st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -3.2-3.2
Northern IllinoisBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A14/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A25/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
28.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.470.5-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.536.672.1-1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)31.437.969.4-6.518%-
Last 10 (10)28.636.565.1-7.910%-
Last 5 (5)25.239.464.6-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.838.768.5-9.013%-
vs Similar (5)38.237.075.2+1.260%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H25/02
NCAA
60.6Avg total
28.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.532.563.0-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.931.865.7+2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)27.033.260.2-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)28.232.460.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)26.035.261.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.638.568.1-8.89%-
vs Similar (13)29.531.260.6-1.731%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)31.227.859.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Illinois wins
8
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Ball State v Northern Illinois58-53
15/02/25Ball State v Northern Illinois89-83 OT
25/01/25Northern Illinois v Ball State76-66
21/02/24Northern Illinois v Ball State63-70
27/01/24Ball State v Northern Illinois81-71
15/02/23Ball State v Northern Illinois87-77
28/01/23Northern Illinois v Ball State69-87
16/02/22Ball State v Northern Illinois58-64
28/01/22Northern Illinois v Ball State67-74
16/01/21Ball State v Northern Illinois78-58
Northern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AToledo69-79
21/02/26HOhio66-74
17/02/26ABuffalo72-70
14/02/26ACentral Michigan46-88
12/02/26HBowling Green52-68
07/02/26AGeorgia State75-74
31/01/26AMiami (Ohio)61-85
28/01/26HWestern Michigan85-65
24/01/26ABall State53-58
21/01/26AOhio77-80
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HUMass74-73 OT
20/02/26HAkron65-78
18/02/26AOhio57-69
14/02/26HKent State68-75
12/02/26HBuffalo53-63
07/02/26ALouisiana Monroe73-68
04/02/26ABowling Green52-77
31/01/26AToledo55-73
24/01/26HNorthern Illinois58-53
21/01/26ACentral Michigan68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWLL55%
AwayLWLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %33%55%19%
Points / game70.879.165.1
Allowed / game76.373.778.0
Point differential-5.4+5.4-12.9
Avg total147.1152.8143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%50%14%
Points / game66.271.261.3
Allowed / game70.467.373.5
Point differential-4.1+3.9-12.2
Avg total136.6138.5134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)29290100%90.973.9+17.0
2 Akron2924583%89.974.7+15.2
3 Kent State2920969%84.880.4+4.4
4 Bowling Green30171357%81.671.5+10.2
5 Buffalo29161355%78.575.8+2.7
6 Toledo28151354%81.277.2+4.0
7 Ohio28151354%77.176.6+0.5
8 UMass30151550%80.077.3+2.7
9 Eastern Michigan29101934%70.973.4-2.6
10 Central Michigan29101934%73.976.6-2.8
11 Western Michigan29101934%74.879.4-4.7
12 Northern Illinois2791833%70.876.3-5.4
13 Ball State2891932%66.270.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois291443
Ball State364379
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