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Ball State vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-71
29-31 36-40
Position#226
Record8-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#168
Record5-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ball State v Central Michigan
09 Jan 2027
BALL v CENT
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BALL85
CENT69
04 Mar 2025
BALL67
CENT69
06 Jan 2024
BALL65
CENT71
08 Feb 2022
BALL85
CENT89
27 Feb 2021
BALL97
CENT91
03 Mar 2020
BALL85
CENT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H24/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
23-44
32-25
43-33
40-46
52-28
32-52
32-38
40-28
27-30
27-35
41-30
42-38
41-33
29-40
43-43
27-39
36-41
30-41
39-41
143.8Avg total
70.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.568.8143.3+5.862%
Season at home (7)83.360.0143.3+23.3100%
Season away (6)64.379.0143.3-14.717%
Last 10 (10)70.373.5143.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)71.076.2147.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.682.6159.2-6.020%
vs Similar (7)70.778.6149.3-7.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.867.8144.6+8.978%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#20
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A21/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
64-109
64
109
-45
A09/12
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#450
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H20/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
35-73
35
73
-38
A30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
37-34
30-19
40-37
24-37
37-34
29-41
32-47
37-22
34-45
36-56
28-53
46-39
44-27
44-31
31-32
14-37
21-36
18-36
46-40
139.1Avg total
65.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.376.1141.4-10.838%
Season at home (5)72.869.2142.0+3.660%
Season away (8)60.680.4141.0-19.825%
Last 10 (10)65.973.2139.1-7.350%
Last 5 (5)65.677.4143.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)61.578.9140.4-17.420%
vs Similar (5)64.476.0140.4-11.620%
vs Weaker (4)70.065.5135.5+4.575%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -3.5-3.5
Ball StateCentral Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
32.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.770.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.434.072.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)33.035.568.5-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)32.637.470.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.669.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.038.871.8-5.820%-
vs Similar (7)34.140.074.1-5.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.331.568.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#20
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A21/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A09/12
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#450
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
14-37
14
37
-23
A30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
18-36
18
36
-18
H03/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.537.366.8-7.830%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.837.269.1-5.431%-
Last 30 away (17)27.837.465.1-9.629%-
Last 10 (10)30.934.765.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.639.871.4-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.340.168.4-11.820%-
vs Similar (5)29.034.063.0-5.020%-
vs Weaker (4)32.227.059.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ball State wins
2
Central Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AKent State69-82
22/12/23AMinnesota63-80
16/12/23AIndiana State72-83
10/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-71
07/12/23ADetroit68-65
02/12/23HBellarmine67-58
29/11/23AUALR64-90
24/11/23HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-74
22/11/23HUSC Upstate75-58
18/11/23AEvansville50-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HBuffalo64-76
30/12/23ALoyola Chicago35-73
22/12/23HDetroit75-63
20/12/23HDavenport Univ.90-66
09/12/23ACreighton64-109
07/12/23HValparaiso71-67
30/11/23AOhio State61-88
21/11/23AStetson61-71
20/11/23ASiena70-56
16/11/23ASouth Florida68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%100%17%
Points / game74.583.364.3
Allowed / game68.860.079.0
Point differential+5.8+23.3-14.7
Avg total143.3143.3143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game65.372.860.6
Allowed / game76.169.280.4
Point differential-10.8+3.6-19.8
Avg total141.4142.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass1310377%83.871.2+12.5
2 Akron1410471%77.065.4+11.6
3 Bowling Green1410471%74.868.1+6.6
4 Kent State138562%80.172.6+7.5
5 Ball State138562%74.568.8+5.8
6 Toledo148657%78.678.5+0.1
7 Eastern Michigan137654%69.074.5-5.5
8 Ohio136746%79.271.5+7.6
9 Miami (Ohio)136746%74.872.2+2.6
10 Northern Illinois136746%77.778.0-0.3
11 Central Michigan135838%65.376.1-10.8
12 Western Michigan134931%72.374.8-2.5
13 Buffalo1321115%67.978.8-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State293665
Central Michigan314071
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