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Ball State vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-69
39-22 28-47
Position#243
Record14-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.2
Ball State
USA
vs
Central Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#242
Record13-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Central Michigan
09 Jan 2027
BALL v CENT
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BALL85
CENT69
04 Mar 2025
BALL67
CENT69
06 Jan 2024
BALL65
CENT71
08 Feb 2022
BALL85
CENT89
27 Feb 2021
BALL97
CENT91
03 Mar 2020
BALL85
CENT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
35-33
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
35-37
42-39
40-33
35-42
38-20
38-56
35-28
31-39
41-36
39-30
39-47
43-40
24-25
28-36
152.0Avg total
76.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.074.2150.2+1.848%
Season at home (16)79.874.1153.8+5.756%
Season away (13)71.374.4145.7-3.138%
Last 10 (10)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)73.872.8146.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.279.4153.6-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.376.8149.1-4.530%
vs Weaker (13)77.271.6148.8+5.562%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
86-57
86
57
+29
A22/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
35-45
49-33
41-38
34-37
36-39
33-26
52-44
33-48
50-43
36-33
46-52
41-38
41-46
46-27
40-30
34-38
39-31
36-44
37-40
155.5Avg total
79.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.672.0147.5+3.645%
Season at home (13)80.666.0146.6+14.662%
Season away (16)71.476.8148.2-5.431%
Last 10 (10)79.376.2155.5+3.140%
Last 5 (5)79.275.8155.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.877.1142.9-11.425%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.478.9155.2-2.525%
vs Weaker (13)76.564.3140.8+12.262%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
Ball StateCentral Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A01/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.670.6+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.133.771.8+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)33.535.769.2-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.770.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.266.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.038.675.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.935.768.6-2.830%-
vs Weaker (13)37.032.269.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H02/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A22/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A28/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.169.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.230.468.6+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)34.935.470.4-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.473.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.074.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.534.967.4-2.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.135.170.2+0.050%-
vs Weaker (13)37.830.468.2+7.469%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ball State wins
3
Central Michigan wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Central Michigan v Ball State80-82
28/02/24Central Michigan v Ball State71-79
06/01/24Ball State v Central Michigan65-71
08/02/23Central Michigan v Ball State51-65
09/02/22Ball State v Central Michigan85-89 OT
27/02/21Ball State v Central Michigan97-91
04/03/20Ball State v Central Michigan85-68
25/01/20Central Michigan v Ball State71-66
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ABowling Green52-61
26/02/25HAkron82-87
22/02/25HBuffalo80-66
19/02/25AToledo66-67
15/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-83 OT
12/02/25HEastern Michigan86-84 OT
08/02/25HSouthern Miss77-76
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
Central Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AEastern Michigan73-84
26/02/25HBuffalo73-69
22/02/25AWestern Michigan86-57
19/02/25AOhio82-84
16/02/25HAkron82-85
12/02/25AKent State83-91
08/02/25HTexas State85-70
05/02/25HMiami (Ohio)70-76
02/02/25HBowling Green90-71
29/01/25ABuffalo69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %48%56%38%
Points / game76.079.871.3
Allowed / game74.274.174.4
Point differential+1.8+5.7-3.1
Avg total150.2153.8145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %45%62%31%
Points / game75.680.671.4
Allowed / game72.066.076.8
Point differential+3.6+14.6-5.4
Avg total147.5146.6148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2923679%83.473.9+9.5
2 Miami (Ohio)2921872%81.073.2+7.8
3 Kent State29191066%73.968.0+5.9
4 Ohio29161355%79.675.2+4.4
5 Toledo29161355%77.278.7-1.4
6 Eastern Michigan29151452%73.376.3-3.0
7 Ball State29141548%76.074.2+1.8
8 Central Michigan29131645%75.672.0+3.6
9 Bowling Green29131645%74.274.1+0.1
10 UMass29121741%73.875.0-1.2
11 Western Michigan29111838%72.476.6-4.1
12 Buffalo2992031%72.080.6-8.6
13 Northern Illinois2952417%71.076.9-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State392867
Central Michigan224769
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