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Miami (Ohio) vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-75
33-44 39-31
Position#240
Record7-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record11-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Toledo
03 Mar 2026
MIAM74
TOLE72
11 Feb 2025
MIAM92
TOLE80
05 Mar 2024
MIAM63
TOLE97
11 Jan 2022
MIAM72
TOLE75
26 Jan 2021
MIAM81
TOLE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#580
W
90-45
90
45
+45
H20/11
NCAA
Defiance College
#615
W
99-47
99
47
+52
H24/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A27/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A15/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Spalding
#423
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A29/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-14
45-31
45-20
54-27
28-36
39-43
29-30
29-29
39-37
29-32
35-36
41-53
34-32
34-45
46-23
34-33
33-40
58-41
35-26
42-51
146.9Avg total
78.0Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.769.1148.8+10.654%
Season at home (7)82.760.6143.3+22.171%
Season away (6)76.279.0155.2-2.833%
Last 10 (10)78.068.9146.9+9.140%
Last 5 (5)79.678.0157.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.080.2150.2-10.211%
vs Similar (11)77.973.3151.2+4.645%
vs Weaker (9)79.861.6141.3+18.2100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#669
W
106-36
106
36
+70
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
82-54
82
54
+28
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
45-36
51-19
55-17
23-43
45-38
35-31
32-34
41-24
28-48
54-31
41-32
40-25
43-31
26-33
37-33
44-33
38-21
47-28
47-35
143.2Avg total
80.6Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.766.2144.9+12.573%
Season at home (7)86.460.9147.3+25.6100%
Season away (8)72.070.9142.9+1.150%
Last 10 (10)80.662.6143.2+18.070%
Last 5 (5)83.460.4143.8+23.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)81.876.8158.5+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.171.0151.1+9.171%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +8.6+8.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +8.6+8.6
Miami (Ohio)Toledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#580
W
45-14
45
14
+31
H20/11
NCAA
Defiance College
#615
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A27/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Spalding
#423
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A29/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.9Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.132.269.3+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.429.167.6+9.371%-
Last 30 away (16)35.934.970.8+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.929.466.3+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.468.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.339.973.2-6.622%-
vs Similar (11)36.932.068.9+4.955%-
vs Weaker (9)40.126.967.0+13.289%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#669
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H08/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
39.5Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.632.573.2+8.183%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.731.874.5+10.981%-
Last 30 away (14)38.333.471.6+4.986%-
Last 10 (10)39.530.169.6+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.230.072.2+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.235.876.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.432.673.0+7.883%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (Ohio) wins
3
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
17/02/21Toledo v Miami (Ohio)87-75
27/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Toledo81-90
12/02/20Toledo v Miami (Ohio)65-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22ABowling Green83-87 OT
29/12/21ABuffalo91-81
21/12/21HSpalding80-56
18/12/21HBellarmine68-77
15/12/21AClemson76-89
04/12/21AIndiana State68-69
02/12/21HCincinnati58-59
27/11/21AWestern Illinois67-79
24/11/21HDefiance College99-47
20/11/21HHeidelberg90-45
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22HNorthern Illinois94-63
05/01/22ACentral Michigan82-54
01/01/22AKent State63-66
30/12/21HWestern Michigan83-56
22/12/21HMarshall95-63
11/12/21ARichmond Spiders69-72
08/12/21HBradley67-65
04/12/21AMichigan State68-81
30/11/21HNorthwestern Ohio106-36
25/11/21HCoastal Carolina79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game79.782.776.2
Allowed / game69.160.679.0
Point differential+10.6+22.1-2.8
Avg total148.8143.3155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game78.786.472.0
Allowed / game66.260.970.9
Point differential+12.5+25.6+1.1
Avg total144.9147.3142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1412286%72.665.3+7.3
2 Toledo1511473%78.766.2+12.5
3 Akron128467%73.461.5+11.9
4 Bowling Green148657%84.275.6+8.6
5 Miami (Ohio)137654%79.769.1+10.6
6 Buffalo137654%82.574.0+8.5
7 Kent State147750%69.963.8+6.1
8 UMass147750%78.678.1+0.5
9 Ball State147750%74.476.8-2.4
10 Eastern Michigan136746%73.077.1-4.1
11 Western Michigan1441029%65.178.4-13.3
12 Northern Illinois113827%57.369.5-12.2
13 Central Michigan1321115%64.382.8-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)333972
Toledo443175
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