PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toledo vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-70
38-35 45-35
Position#21
Record13-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game67.2
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#237
Record7-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Toledo v Ball State
31 Jan 2026
TOLE73
BALL55
18 Feb 2025
TOLE67
BALL66
13 Jan 2024
TOLE77
BALL72
03 Jan 2023
TOLE83
BALL90
18 Jan 2022
TOLE83
BALL70
11 Mar 2021
TOLE91
BALL89
05 Mar 2021
TOLE89
BALL70
29 Feb 2020
TOLE69
BALL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
82-54
82
54
+28
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-43
45-38
35-31
32-34
41-24
28-48
54-31
41-32
40-25
43-31
26-33
37-33
44-33
38-21
47-28
47-35
44-33
31-39
48-47
43-31
145.7Avg total
78.7Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.267.2146.5+12.076%
Season at home (7)86.460.9147.3+25.6100%
Season away (10)74.271.7145.9+2.560%
Last 10 (10)78.767.0145.7+11.770%
Last 5 (5)81.066.6147.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)83.777.7161.3+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.071.3151.3+8.772%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#189
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
50-96
50
96
-46
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H12/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-44
47-49
23-45
27-51
53-30
32-28
29-37
35-48
37-36
38-19
36-34
45-46
28-28
37-38
39-34
39-38
36-33
38-51
30-34
38-40
148.3Avg total
72.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.077.1151.1-3.144%
Season at home (8)77.270.2147.5+7.062%
Season away (8)70.883.9154.6-13.125%
Last 10 (10)72.076.3148.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)73.275.2148.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.281.5152.7-10.314%
vs Similar (10)78.079.2157.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (5)80.863.8144.6+17.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -3.2-3.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -3.2-3.2
ToledoBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
40.2Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.933.073.9+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.931.674.5+11.279%-
Last 30 away (16)39.234.273.4+5.188%-
Last 10 (10)40.232.873.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.876.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.036.776.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.833.273.9+7.684%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#189
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H12/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
34.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.371.2+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.369.7+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)35.337.472.7-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)34.435.569.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.666.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.336.369.6-3.021%-
vs Similar (10)38.336.074.3+2.370%-
vs Weaker (5)40.826.467.2+14.4100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toledo wins
2
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
11/03/21Toledo v Ball State91-89 OT
06/03/21Toledo v Ball State89-70
06/02/21Ball State v Toledo81-67
29/02/20Toledo v Ball State69-63
04/01/20Ball State v Toledo61-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22ABowling Green91-78
12/01/22AMiami (Ohio)75-72
08/01/22HNorthern Illinois94-63
05/01/22ACentral Michigan82-54
01/01/22AKent State63-66
30/12/21HWestern Michigan83-56
22/12/21HMarshall95-63
11/12/21ARichmond Spiders69-72
08/12/21HBradley67-65
04/12/21AMichigan State68-81
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22HBuffalo68-74
12/01/22AAkron74-84
08/01/22AEastern Michigan78-72
05/01/22HKent State65-66
01/01/22HBowling Green81-80
22/12/21HEastern Illinois75-55
18/12/21AIllinois State64-85
12/12/21HIndiana-Kokomo85-58
08/12/21AXavier50-96
02/12/21AWestern Illinois80-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %76%100%60%
Points / game79.286.474.2
Allowed / game67.260.971.7
Point differential+12.0+25.6+2.5
Avg total146.5147.3145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game74.077.270.8
Allowed / game77.170.283.9
Point differential-3.1+7.0-13.1
Avg total151.1147.5154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1513287%73.466.1+7.3
2 Toledo1713476%79.267.2+12.0
3 Akron1510567%72.963.5+9.5
4 Buffalo159660%81.672.9+8.7
5 Miami (Ohio)158753%78.569.0+9.5
6 Bowling Green168850%83.477.2+6.2
7 Kent State168850%69.263.3+5.9
8 Eastern Michigan157847%74.576.5-1.9
9 UMass167944%77.278.2-1.0
10 Ball State167944%74.077.1-3.1
11 Northern Illinois135838%59.469.0-9.6
12 Western Michigan1741324%65.477.6-12.3
13 Central Michigan1421214%64.683.9-19.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo384583
Ball State353570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.