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Ball State vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 76-71
44-31 32-40
Position#288
Record4-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#241
Record10-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ball State v Ohio
16 Dec 2026
BALL v OHIO
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
BALL76
OHIO71
06 Feb 2024
BALL79
OHIO84
09 Mar 2023
BALL70
OHIO90
02 Jan 2021
BALL68
OHIO78
01 Feb 2020
BALL65
OHIO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H20/12
NCAA
Earlham
#693
W
93-30
93
30
+63
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
58-47
32-33
20-31
40-39
24-29
30-30
34-39
36-40
41-46
48-8
45-22
25-41
47-44
25-39
27-35
25-28
46-51
34-43
43-44
144.5Avg total
71.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.070.8138.8-2.824%
Season at home (8)75.466.1141.5+9.250%
Season away (9)61.475.0136.4-13.60%
Last 10 (10)71.872.7144.5-0.920%
Last 5 (5)73.071.0144.0+2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.681.6152.2-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)63.071.2134.2-8.29%
vs Weaker (9)76.173.7149.8+2.467%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H06/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Ohio Wesleyan
#571
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H17/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Miami-Hamilton
#570
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A30/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A03/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
48-47
34-32
36-38
43-31
46-25
29-42
29-26
52-34
50-25
31-29
49-35
15-32
53-35
48-41
38-42
44-47
47-33
50-52
35-49
157.7Avg total
83.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.477.2155.7+1.256%
Season at home (13)79.874.0153.8+5.862%
Season away (5)74.885.6160.4-10.840%
Last 10 (10)83.574.2157.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.882.0155.8-8.230%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.076.2154.2+1.867%
vs Weaker (7)83.076.1159.1+6.943%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +7.6+7.6
Ball StateOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/12
NCAA
Earlham
#693
W
48-8
48
8
+40
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
33.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.266.1-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.732.969.6+3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)29.133.562.6-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.967.2-0.620%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.863.2-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.439.471.8-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.431.460.7-2.027%-
vs Weaker (9)36.033.469.4+2.644%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Ohio Wesleyan
#571
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H20/12
NCAA
Miami-Hamilton
#570
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A30/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A03/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A14/01
NCAA
76.0Avg total
38.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.174.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.634.773.3+3.863%-
Last 30 away (11)34.041.175.1-7.19%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.241.077.2-4.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.835.870.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker (7)39.434.073.4+5.443%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
8
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Ohio v Ball State86-71
07/02/24Ball State v Ohio79-84 OT
09/03/23Ball State v Ohio70-90
11/01/23Ohio v Ball State76-71
10/03/22Ohio v Ball State77-67
02/02/22Ohio v Ball State87-63
23/01/21Ohio v Ball State85-77
02/01/21Ball State v Ohio68-78
01/02/20Ball State v Ohio65-54
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AAkron77-87
10/01/26AUMass71-79
07/01/26HEastern Michigan52-74
03/01/26ABuffalo72-85
30/12/25HEarlham93-30
20/12/25HMiami (Ohio)77-86
14/12/25ACampbell64-69
10/12/25HSouth Dakota St.64-68
04/12/25AEvansville52-64
30/11/25HLe Moyne96-85
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AToledo85-101
10/01/26HBuffalo91-80
06/01/26HUMass86-83
03/01/26AEastern Michigan68-67
30/12/25ACentral Michigan80-64
22/12/25HMiami-Hamilton102-59
20/12/25HBowling Green58-68
17/12/25HOhio Wesleyan89-56
13/12/25HSt. Bonaventure88-83 OT
06/12/25HMarshall88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%50%0%
Points / game68.075.461.4
Allowed / game70.866.175.0
Point differential-2.8+9.2-13.6
Avg total138.8141.5136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %56%62%40%
Points / game78.479.874.8
Allowed / game77.274.085.6
Point differential+1.2+5.8-10.8
Avg total155.7153.8160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)18180100%93.371.7+21.6
2 Akron1713476%93.075.8+17.2
3 Buffalo1713476%79.972.7+7.2
4 Kent State1813572%89.882.3+7.5
5 Bowling Green1711665%88.070.8+17.2
6 UMass1811761%80.874.4+6.4
7 Toledo1810856%82.878.3+4.5
8 Ohio1810856%78.477.2+1.2
9 Eastern Michigan189950%71.570.8+0.7
10 Western Michigan1771041%76.478.6-2.2
11 Northern Illinois1651131%74.178.1-4.0
12 Central Michigan1851328%72.179.9-7.8
13 Ball State1741324%68.070.8-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State443276
Ohio314071
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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