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Ball State vs Ohio Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#311
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#170
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ball State v Ohio
16 Dec 2026
BALL v OHIO
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
BALL76
OHIO71
06 Feb 2024
BALL79
OHIO84
09 Mar 2023
BALL70
OHIO90
02 Jan 2021
BALL68
OHIO78
01 Feb 2020
BALL65
OHIO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
79-43
79
43
+36
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
15-32
42-37
36-40
29-38
21-34
40-27
36-29
43-14
25-22
36-39
42-26
43-43
22-37
33-30
37-32
29-37
45-26
44-38
17-51
48-39
140.2Avg total
70.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.872.5141.2-3.825%
Season at home (2)77.566.5144.0+11.050%
Season away (2)60.078.5138.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.969.3140.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)72.071.8143.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.777.7144.5-11.09%
vs Similar (13)66.371.2137.5-4.838%
vs Weaker (4)65.557.0122.5+8.575%
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
39-47
32-15
37-42
37-25
37-41
28-41
39-38
39-37
43-57
48-54
52-46
38-40
37-46
34-35
52-42
38-31
42-39
28-37
34-43
158.6Avg total
77.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.075.7151.7+0.367%
Season at home (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)74.078.5152.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.780.9158.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.284.6166.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.784.9157.6-12.29%
vs Similar (14)80.476.0156.4+4.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.564.0144.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -2.9-2.9
Ball StateOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A14/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.563.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.631.867.4+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)26.833.159.9-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.962.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.138.768.8-8.618%-
vs Similar (13)28.531.159.5-2.631%-
vs Weaker (4)33.227.861.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
32-15
32
15
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.272.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.736.173.8+1.665%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.470.5-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.871.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.342.576.8-8.39%-
vs Similar (14)36.134.070.1+2.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.527.264.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
9
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26Ohio v Ball State69-57
17/01/26Ball State v Ohio76-71
15/01/25Ohio v Ball State86-71
07/02/24Ball State v Ohio79-84 OT
09/03/23Ball State v Ohio70-90
11/01/23Ohio v Ball State76-71
10/03/22Ohio v Ball State77-67
02/02/22Ohio v Ball State87-63
23/01/21Ohio v Ball State85-77
02/01/21Ball State v Ohio68-78
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASMU Mustangs65-90
10/11/26HBrescia89-64
07/11/26HIndiana State66-69
03/11/26AGeorgia Southern55-67
07/03/26HCentral Michigan85-69
04/03/26AWestern Michigan74-71 OT
28/02/26ANorthern Illinois79-43
25/02/26HUMass74-73 OT
20/02/26HAkron65-78
18/02/26AOhio57-69
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APurdue62-80
07/11/26HN. Carolina A&T80-70
03/11/26ASouth Alabama86-77
12/03/26AKent State75-86
07/03/26HMiami (Ohio)108-110 OT
04/03/26AUMass82-94
28/02/26HToledo67-79
21/02/26ANorthern Illinois74-66
18/02/26HBall State69-57
14/02/26AMiami (Ohio)74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game68.877.560.0
Allowed / game72.566.578.5
Point differential-3.8+11.0-18.5
Avg total141.2144.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.080.074.0
Allowed / game75.770.078.5
Point differential+0.3+10.0-4.5
Avg total151.7150.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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