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Troy vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-61
39-26 31-35
Position#68
Record12-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game65.8
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#324
Record9-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v Southern Miss
08 Mar 2026
TROY78
SOUT70
14 Jan 2026
TROY91
SOUT65
27 Jan 2025
TROY70
SOUT61
13 Jan 2024
TROY82
SOUT56
02 Feb 2023
TROY65
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A02/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A16/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A18/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-20
39-33
55-34
50-26
39-25
38-32
33-30
36-31
19-31
39-26
41-32
32-42
43-34
35-50
35-30
42-28
22-42
41-22
32-26
33-29
137.5Avg total
75.2Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.165.8138.8+7.363%
Season at home (10)80.767.5148.2+13.270%
Season away (9)64.663.9128.4+0.756%
Last 10 (10)75.262.3137.5+12.970%
Last 5 (5)71.267.0138.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar (7)63.366.9130.1-3.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.169.7149.8+10.571%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/12
NCAA
William Carey
#426
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H10/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H11/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
34-33
39-34
29-32
35-31
45-39
31-33
41-50
38-38
33-36
39-40
45-27
45-30
31-46
33-42
29-33
39-39
38-38
31-35
36-24
147.9Avg total
74.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.476.0149.4-2.645%
Season at home (10)76.369.9146.2+6.480%
Season away (10)70.582.2152.7-11.710%
Last 10 (10)74.373.6147.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)77.474.8152.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.978.5149.4-7.635%
vs Similar (10)69.368.7138.0+0.640%
vs Weaker (3)87.369.3156.7+18.0100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +0.3+0.3
TroySouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A18/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H25/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
36.7Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.167.8+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.430.170.6+10.386%-
Last 30 away (16)33.531.965.4+1.669%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.467.1+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.867.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (7)28.432.460.9-4.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.231.071.2+9.186%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/12
NCAA
William Carey
#426
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A03/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A26/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
36.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.970.2-3.723%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.233.968.1+0.441%-
Last 30 away (13)32.040.972.9-8.90%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.871.9+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.274.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.238.671.9-5.424%-
vs Similar (10)31.335.466.7-4.110%-
vs Weaker (3)40.032.372.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
3
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Southern Miss v Troy64-63
13/01/24Troy v Southern Miss82-56
03/02/23Troy v Southern Miss65-74
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HSouth Alabama65-55
18/01/25ASouth Alabama63-64
16/01/25ALouisiana Monroe77-58
11/01/25HArkansas State78-84
10/01/25HTexas State73-74
04/01/25AMarshall58-57
02/01/25AAppalachian State69-61
21/12/24HGeorgia State77-57
18/12/24HLa Grange105-60
14/12/24HMiddle Georgia State87-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette67-59
18/01/25ATexas State82-85 OT
16/01/25ASouth Alabama62-75
11/01/25HTexas State92-88 OT
10/01/25HLouisiana Monroe84-67
04/01/25AOld Dominion71-74
03/01/25AJames Madison72-83
31/12/24HWilliam Carey80-70
21/12/24HMarshall68-66
18/12/24HLamar65-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game73.180.764.6
Allowed / game65.867.563.9
Point differential+7.3+13.2+0.7
Avg total138.8148.2128.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%80%10%
Points / game73.476.370.5
Allowed / game76.069.982.2
Point differential-2.6+6.4-11.7
Avg total149.4146.2152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2116576%78.569.1+9.3
2 South Alabama2014670%73.061.8+11.2
3 Troy1912763%73.165.8+7.3
4 Appalachian State2012860%68.762.1+6.5
5 Marshall2213959%75.671.1+4.5
6 Texas State2112957%77.572.1+5.4
7 James Madison2112957%73.469.7+3.7
8 Georgia Southern21111052%74.277.4-3.2
9 Southern Miss2091145%73.476.0-2.6
10 Old Dominion2191243%67.871.5-3.7
11 Coastal Carolina2181338%67.870.7-2.9
12 Georgia State2171433%72.980.2-7.3
13 Louisiana Lafayette2161529%66.075.5-9.5
14 Louisiana Monroe2141719%69.773.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy393170
Southern Miss263561
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