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Buffalo vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 76-89
32-45 44-44
Position#333
Record7-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#243
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Buffalo v Ball State
03 Jan 2026
BUFF85
BALL72
01 Feb 2025
BUFF76
BALL89
23 Jan 2024
BUFF59
BALL87
12 Feb 2022
BUFF80
BALL74
09 Jan 2021
BUFF86
BALL69
18 Feb 2020
BUFF72
BALL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
49-100
49
100
-51
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
58-90
58
90
-32
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-56
30-44
29-39
42-52
39-46
40-47
20-37
59-51
20-24
29-44
28-32
33-47
53-39
32-37
25-40
33-50
45-42
32-48
30-34
45-35
152.7Avg total
68.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.281.3153.5-9.135%
Season at home (9)75.177.7152.8-2.656%
Season away (11)69.884.3154.1-14.518%
Last 10 (10)68.384.4152.7-16.120%
Last 5 (5)71.280.8152.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.981.2151.1-11.322%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-17
43-26
39-43
50-33
36-31
39-36
33-38
39-42
42-26
49-43
35-45
36-41
40-44
35-49
33-41
49-39
29-40
37-36
36-41
35-33
151.6Avg total
77.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.573.5149.0+1.945%
Season at home (11)78.471.7150.1+6.645%
Season away (9)71.975.8147.7-3.944%
Last 10 (10)77.274.4151.6+2.850%
Last 5 (5)73.081.8154.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.878.2152.0-4.525%
vs Similar (11)72.777.9150.6-5.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)72.367.9140.2+4.446%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -8.0-8.02nd half: +3.4+3.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -8.0-8.02nd half: +3.4+3.4
BuffaloBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
19-56
19
56
-37
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
30.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.037.670.6-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.836.268.0-4.421%-
Last 30 away (16)34.138.972.9-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)30.838.969.7-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.037.669.6-5.630%-
vs Similar (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
36.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.068.2+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.868.3+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.268.1-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.672.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.642.276.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.236.070.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (11)33.436.670.0-3.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.830.964.7+2.854%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Buffalo wins
2
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Buffalo v Ball State59-87
25/01/23Ball State v Buffalo65-91
12/02/22Buffalo v Ball State80-74
14/01/22Ball State v Buffalo68-74
02/02/21Ball State v Buffalo58-78
09/01/21Buffalo v Ball State86-69
19/02/20Buffalo v Ball State72-59
08/01/20Ball State v Buffalo88-68
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HCentral Michigan75-69
25/01/25AEastern Michigan77-90
22/01/25HAkron58-90
18/01/25AWestern Michigan85-76
15/01/25ABowling Green61-79
10/01/25HKent State49-68
08/01/25HOhio79-88
04/01/25AMiami (Ohio)79-93
29/12/24ATemple71-91
20/12/24AGeorgia49-100
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
18/01/25HToledo75-93
15/01/25AOhio71-86
11/01/25HBowling Green91-69
08/01/25HMiami (Ohio)72-80
04/01/25AKent State75-67
31/12/24HAnderson (Ind.)89-76
21/12/24HEvansville80-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%56%18%
Points / game72.275.169.8
Allowed / game81.377.784.3
Point differential-9.1-2.6-14.5
Avg total153.5152.8154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%45%44%
Points / game75.578.471.9
Allowed / game73.571.775.8
Point differential+1.9+6.6-3.9
Avg total149.0150.1147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2116576%84.072.9+11.1
2 Miami (Ohio)2116576%82.373.0+9.3
3 Kent State2113862%70.065.1+4.9
4 Toledo2113862%78.878.1+0.7
5 Ohio21111052%79.975.5+4.4
6 Eastern Michigan21101148%73.377.8-4.5
7 UMass22101245%75.975.2+0.7
8 Central Michigan2091145%73.370.0+3.4
9 Ball State2091145%75.573.5+1.9
10 Bowling Green2071335%75.375.6-0.3
11 Buffalo2071335%72.281.3-9.1
12 Western Michigan2171433%71.175.0-3.9
13 Northern Illinois2151624%71.476.5-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo324476
Ball State454489
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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