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Mt Gambier vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jul 2016
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 91-79
26-18 22-22 22-20 21-19
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#10
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game92.0
AustraliaSEABL
Other2016
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Ballarat
14 Apr 2024
MT G94
BALL105
12 Aug 2022
MT G102
BALL70
22 May 2021
MT G86
BALL88
01 Jul 2017
MT G100
BALL75
29 Jul 2016
MT G91
BALL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A29/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
106-80
106
80
+26
H03/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A17/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
98-68
98
68
+30
A18/06
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A25/06
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
106-67
106
67
+39
H01/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H08/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
H15/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
W
106-57
106
57
+49
H22/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A24/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
12-13
25-19
8-17
23-21
25-19
28-23
30-17
21-17
21-20
16-26
25-23
32-15
15-18
29-17
22-18
27-18
21-25
27-18
25-13
24-13
35-22
21-14
26-18
22-17
23-15
17-30
19-18
28-21
25-22
15-27
19-28
24-11
23-15
28-20
31-11
21-26
22-14
22-18
23-18
167.3Avg total
91.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.277.4167.6+12.867%
Season at home (10)92.777.2169.9+15.580%
Season away (11)87.977.6165.5+10.355%
Last 10 (10)91.875.5167.3+16.370%
Last 5 (5)93.675.6169.2+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)81.283.8165.0-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)88.374.3162.5+14.077%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#2
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H04/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
A05/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A18/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A25/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A01/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H02/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H09/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A10/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
101-112
101
112
-11
A16/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A23/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
22-23
18-25
21-20
20-25
22-17
18-25
23-16
21-18
18-24
21-19
23-29
24-26
22-26
24-20
20-17
22-22
19-25
22-34
30-19
14-24
21-28
20-25
23-14
25-25
22-21
24-18
16-24
34-22
30-22
21-23
23-30
26-23
26-36
21-29
28-24
24-26
12-19
19-22
24-28
185.6Avg total
90.5Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.392.0183.3-0.745%
Season at home (9)86.988.6175.4-1.744%
Season away (11)94.994.8189.7+0.145%
Last 10 (10)90.595.1185.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)90.696.6187.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.589.8170.2-9.225%
vs Similar (13)88.990.2179.1-1.246%
vs Weaker (13)91.886.7178.5+5.262%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
Mt GambierBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A18/06
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A25/06
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H01/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H15/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H22/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A24/07
SEABL
82.4Avg total
46.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.279.1+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.334.677.9+8.786%-
Last 30 away (16)42.637.680.2+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)46.236.282.4+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.435.284.6+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.839.080.8+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.135.878.8+7.373%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H04/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A05/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H02/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A10/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A16/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/07
SEABL
92.5Avg total
45.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.789.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.744.189.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)45.443.488.8+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)45.646.992.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.296.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.045.283.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (13)45.745.491.1+0.346%-
vs Weaker (13)47.841.589.3+6.269%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mt Gambier wins
0
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
21/06/15Ballarat v Mt Gambier73-91
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/16AFrankston88-76
22/07/16HSouthern Sabres106-57
15/07/16HGeelong87-98
08/07/16HAlbury81-80
01/07/16HMelbourne Tigers106-67
25/06/16AAlbury100-74
18/06/16ANW Tasmania98-68
17/06/16AHobart Chargers83-86
03/06/16HNW Tasmania106-80
29/05/16ABendigo63-69
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/07/16AKilsyth79-95
16/07/16ABrisbane Spartans101-112
10/07/16AFrankston108-97
09/07/16HAlbury87-88
02/07/16HGeelong78-91
01/07/16ASouthern Sabres93-100
25/06/16ANunawading90-89
18/06/16ABendigo83-90
05/06/16ADandenong93-104 OT
04/06/16HHobart Chargers93-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
SEABL 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%80%55%
Points / game90.292.787.9
Allowed / game77.477.277.6
Point differential+12.8+15.5+10.3
Avg total167.6169.9165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Ballarat
SEABL 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWWWLL44%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%44%45%
Points / game91.386.994.9
Allowed / game92.088.694.8
Point differential-0.7-1.7+0.1
Avg total183.3175.4189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%11%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo2118386%86.874.0+12.8
2 Hobart Chargers2217577%86.975.5+11.5
3 Mt Gambier2114767%90.277.4+12.8
4 Brisbane Spartans2013765%88.283.5+4.8
5 Geelong2112957%85.981.6+4.3
6 Nunawading20101050%85.583.2+2.2
7 Dandenong20101050%86.285.8+0.3
8 Canberra20101050%80.183.7-3.5
9 NW Tasmania20101050%84.388.5-4.2
10 Albury21101148%86.686.4+0.2
11 Ballarat2091145%91.392.0-0.7
12 Southern Sabres1981142%78.185.2-7.2
13 Kilsyth2181338%75.081.1-6.1
14 Frankston2151624%75.783.5-7.8
15 Melbourne Tigers1931616%70.584.5-14.0
16 BA CoE101910%73.990.5-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2622222191
Ballarat1822201979
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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