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Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jul 2016
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 118-87
30-30 36-23 29-11 23-23
Position#10
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#15
Record3-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game85.8
AustraliaSEABL
Other2016
Meetings · Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers
10 May 2025
BALL78
MELB103
29 Jun 2024
BALL87
MELB81
01 Apr 2023
BALL92
MELB68
21 May 2022
BALL86
MELB72
20 Jul 2019
BALL78
MELB86
27 May 2017
BALL99
MELB83
31 Jul 2016
BALL118
MELB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#7
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
A05/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A18/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A25/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A01/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H02/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H09/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A10/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
101-112
101
112
-11
A16/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A23/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
22-17
18-25
23-16
21-18
18-24
21-19
23-29
24-26
22-26
24-20
20-17
22-22
19-25
22-34
30-19
14-24
21-28
20-25
23-14
25-25
22-21
24-18
16-24
34-22
30-22
21-23
23-30
26-23
26-36
21-29
28-24
24-26
12-19
19-22
24-28
18-26
22-22
20-22
19-21
184.8Avg total
89.1Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.792.0182.7-1.243%
Season at home (9)86.988.6175.4-1.744%
Season away (12)93.694.5188.1-0.942%
Last 10 (10)89.195.7184.8-6.620%
Last 5 (5)90.896.6187.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.290.0170.2-9.820%
vs Similar (13)88.990.2179.1-1.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.286.8180.1+6.467%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
H21/05
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/05
SEABL
Canberra
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A04/06
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A05/06
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A18/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H25/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
67-106
67
106
-39
A01/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H09/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A17/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
89-111
89
111
-22
H30/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
6-25
24-23
21-26
19-16
24-19
16-17
19-21
18-25
28-15
15-25
15-21
17-18
16-17
12-19
21-21
20-18
20-19
17-17
22-26
17-23
25-18
21-19
16-27
13-24
22-35
14-21
18-26
8-18
20-26
15-22
26-21
23-18
21-28
16-18
26-21
27-26
21-27
24-32
17-26
163.6Avg total
75.8Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.485.8157.2-14.415%
Season at home (11)75.085.8160.8-10.818%
Season away (9)67.085.8152.8-18.811%
Last 10 (10)75.887.8163.6-12.020%
Last 5 (5)78.095.2173.2-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.786.4158.1-14.716%
vs Similar (1)66.075.0141.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
BallaratMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A05/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H02/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A10/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A16/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/07
SEABL
91.9Avg total
44.2Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.089.8+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.844.491.2+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)45.143.688.8+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.247.791.9-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)47.848.496.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.445.884.2-7.420%-
vs Similar (13)45.745.491.1+0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)49.141.790.8+7.475%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H21/05
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/05
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/06
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/06
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A18/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A01/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H09/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A17/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H30/07
SEABL
81.2Avg total
38.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)36.643.379.9-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.643.581.1-5.827%-
Last 30 away (9)35.343.178.4-7.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.981.2-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.448.688.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.843.780.5-6.932%-
vs Similar (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ballarat wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateGameScore
08/05/16Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat82-103
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/16AMt Gambier79-91
23/07/16AKilsyth79-95
16/07/16ABrisbane Spartans101-112
10/07/16AFrankston108-97
09/07/16HAlbury87-88
02/07/16HGeelong78-91
01/07/16ASouthern Sabres93-100
25/06/16ANunawading90-89
18/06/16ABendigo83-90
05/06/16ADandenong93-104 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/16HDandenong89-111
17/07/16ADandenong86-85
09/07/16HBrisbane Spartans69-87
01/07/16AMt Gambier67-106
25/06/16HNW Tasmania79-87
18/06/16ABrisbane Spartans79-80
05/06/16ABA CoE66-75
04/06/16ACanberra76-86
28/05/16HMt Gambier78-73
21/05/16HBendigo69-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
SEABL 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWWLL44%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%44%42%
Points / game90.786.993.6
Allowed / game92.088.694.5
Point differential-1.2-1.7-0.9
Avg total182.7175.4188.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Melbourne Tigers
SEABL 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLWLLL18%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %15%18%11%
Points / game71.475.067.0
Allowed / game85.885.885.8
Point differential-14.4-10.8-18.8
Avg total157.2160.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo2219386%87.274.0+13.2
2 Hobart Chargers2217577%86.975.5+11.5
3 Mt Gambier2215768%90.277.5+12.7
4 Brisbane Spartans2114767%88.583.4+5.1
5 Geelong2213959%86.581.5+5.1
6 Nunawading21111052%84.782.3+2.4
7 Dandenong21111052%87.486.0+1.4
8 Canberra21111052%80.683.1-2.5
9 NW Tasmania20101050%84.388.5-4.2
10 Albury22101245%86.386.7-0.4
11 Ballarat2191243%90.792.0-1.2
12 Southern Sabres2081240%77.885.8-7.9
13 Kilsyth2281436%74.580.5-6.1
14 Frankston2251723%75.583.9-8.3
15 Melbourne Tigers2031715%71.485.8-14.4
16 BA CoE111109%74.491.4-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat30362923118
Melbourne Tigers3023112387
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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