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Barcelona vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-73
19-16 24-21 20-17 25-19
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game87.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2024
Meetings · Barcelona v Alba Berlin
11 Oct 2024
BAR88
ABE73
09 Feb 2024
BAR93
ABE77
30 Mar 2023
BAR72
ABE56
01 Oct 2021
BAR96
ABE64
26 Mar 2021
BAR80
ABE67
27 Feb 2015
BAR92
ABE82
12 Feb 2009
BAR85
ABE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
58avg 80
A12/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
96-86
96
86
+10
80avg 80
H19/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
97-92
97
92
+5
90avg 80
A23/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
68avg 80
A29/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
98-104
98
104
-6
93avg 80
A31/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 80
H02/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 80
A21/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
91-65
91
65
+26
87avg 80
H29/09
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
67-74
67
74
-7
62avg 80
A03/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 80
A06/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
14-18
18-10
16-21
28-16
22-30
22-26
24-14
22-21
22-25
28-25
25-21
14-24
22-20
26-28
16-25
24-22
16-22
22-29
36-31
20-28
25-21
31-23
16-23
18-20
24-21
19-26
22-22
19-11
24-10
18-26
30-18
14-21
17-22
17-7
19-24
17-12
20-18
20-16
21-28
169.6Avg total
85.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.284.4169.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)82.279.4161.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.893.4182.2-4.620%
vs Similar (13)82.882.8165.6+0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.578.7161.2+3.764%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
95avg 78
A04/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 78
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
64avg 78
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 78
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 78
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 78
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 78
A06/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
16-23
22-17
31-17
30-28
18-25
26-20
23-11
19-26
24-20
19-23
5-10
19-26
20-6
17-18
23-20
14-17
14-14
17-17
18-19
21-22
25-22
6-21
30-23
15-21
29-27
25-22
11-27
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
17-26
19-19
21-17
20-25
23-22
21-24
22-24
21-21
165.1Avg total
83.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.381.8165.1+1.540%
Last 5 (5)86.286.6172.8-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.388.3166.7-10.00%
vs Similar (11)76.076.9152.9-0.945%
vs Weaker (16)90.479.9170.2+10.581%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
BarcelonaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H02/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A21/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H29/09
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A03/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A06/10
ACB
80.7Avg total
40.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.281.0+0.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.839.582.3+3.477%-
Last 30 away (17)39.340.880.1-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.180.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.876.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
vs Similar (13)39.541.280.8-1.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.537.779.2+3.782%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/10
BBL
85.4Avg total
41.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.381.0+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.040.182.1+1.971%-
Last 30 away (13)39.040.679.6-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.585.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.743.379.0-7.70%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.478.2-2.545%-
vs Weaker (16)43.639.883.4+3.975%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.0
55.2%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.3
77.3%
78.0%13.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.9
56.9%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
78.0%14.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WLWLLLLWWW
Alba Berlin
LLWLLLWLWW
#6
League position
#18
+0.0
Net rating
+1.5
109.3
Offensive rating
113.5
109.3
Defensive rating
112.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
35.2%
62.0%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 113.5Defence109.3 · 112.0Shooting54.5% · 55.1%3-point %35.5% · 35.2%Ball care16.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds24.4% · 35.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Barcelona   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Barcelona wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AForca Lleida78-74
03/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas67-74
29/09/24HGranada91-65
21/09/24AReal Madrid83-89
02/06/24HReal Madrid92-95
31/05/24AReal Madrid98-104
29/05/24AReal Madrid78-97
23/05/24ATenerife97-92
19/05/24HTenerife96-86
12/05/24ABilbao72-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24ABonn87-91
03/10/24HPanathinaikos77-87
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
22/09/24AHamburg80-97
14/06/24HBayern82-88
12/06/24HBayern63-67
10/06/24ABayern79-70
08/06/24ABayern67-79
06/06/24HChemnitz97-84
04/06/24AChemnitz96-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total141.0-141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos220100%90.578.0+12.5
2 Monaco220100%89.079.5+9.5
3 Fenerbahce220100%82.574.5+8.0
4 Crvena zvezda220100%79.074.0+5.0
5 Anadolu Efes21150%77.075.0+2.0
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%84.083.5+0.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%71.070.5+0.5
8 Baskonia21150%79.580.0-0.5
9 Real Madrid21150%91.091.5-0.5
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%84.587.0-2.5
11 Olympiacos21150%72.575.0-2.5
12 Bayern21150%88.091.5-3.5
13 Paris1010%77.080.0-3.0
14 Virtus Bologna2020%76.081.5-5.5
15 Partizan2020%84.090.5-6.5
16 Barcelona1010%67.074.0-7.0
17 Alba Berlin1010%77.087.0-10.0
18 Olimpia Milano1010%80.093.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1924202588
Alba Berlin1621171973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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