Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	88.3	82.8	171.1	+5.4	66%
Season at home (18)	92.1	81.9	174.0	+10.2	78%
Season away (20)	84.8	83.7	168.5	+1.1	55%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	86.3	168.9	-3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	89.4	177.6	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	88.0	93.0	181.0	-5.0	25%
vs Similar (15)	81.9	83.3	165.2	-1.3	53%
vs Weaker (11)	87.6	82.0	169.6	+5.6	64%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Baskonia

102-98

102

99avg 85

A01/05

Euroleague

Granada

#17

94-80

+14

100avg 85

H05/05

ACB

Valencia

93-99

-6

76avg 85

A10/05

ACB

Baskonia

106-100

106

100

110avg 85

H12/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

105-70

105

+35

98avg 85

H15/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

73-71

74avg 85

A17/05

ACB

Olympiacos

87-76

+11

87avg 85

H24/05

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

80-95

-15

70avg 85

H26/05

Euroleague

Barcelona

97-78

+19

96avg 85

H29/05

ACB

Barcelona

104-98

104

99avg 85

H31/05

ACB

22-22

30-34

20-17

30-25

22-19

29-23

26-15

17-23

27-28

22-19

23-28

21-24

28-26

28-21

20-29

30-24

27-25

19-13

31-15

28-17

25-18

18-15

17-25

13-13

28-10

28-27

15-21

16-18

36-25

18-24

7-15

19-31

24-14

20-22

28-26

25-16

22-24

22-16

29-22

31-36

180.6Avg total

94.1Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	88.9	79.6	168.5	+9.4	84%
Season at home (20)	92.6	79.7	172.3	+12.9	90%
Season away (18)	84.9	79.4	164.3	+5.4	78%
Last 10 (10)	94.1	86.5	180.6	+7.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	83.6	171.8	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	87.2	86.8	174.0	+0.4	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	88.9	82.1	171.0	+6.8	80%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BarcelonaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	17.3	39.5	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	20.1	41.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.1	17.9	38.1	+2.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.7	19.6	43.2	+4.1	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	21.1	47.2	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	18.2	45.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	26.2	18.2	44.4	+8.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	23.1	41.2	-5.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.5	22.9	42.3	-3.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.3	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.3	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.7	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.2	25.0	46.2	-3.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	56%	-

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

32-37

-5

A30/04

Euroleague

Olympiacos

37-53

-16

A02/05

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

33-37

-4

H05/05

ACB

Olympiacos

27-25

H08/05

Euroleague

Unicaja

47-44

H10/05

ACB

Bilbao

#13

38-37

A12/05

ACB

Tenerife

50-46

H19/05

ACB

Tenerife

44-46

-2

A23/05

ACB

Real Madrid

36-44

-8

A29/05

ACB

Real Madrid

40-44

-4

A31/05

ACB

79.7Avg total

38.4Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.6	39.2	81.8	+3.4	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	42.0	82.1	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.3	79.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	43.4	85.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	42.0	41.2	83.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.6	40.8	80.4	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.1	40.6	83.7	+2.5	73%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

52-56

-4

A01/05

Euroleague

Granada

#17

51-42

H05/05

ACB

Valencia

49-47

A10/05

ACB

Baskonia

56-47

H12/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

46-38

H15/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-33

+10

A17/05

ACB

Olympiacos

56-37

+19

H24/05

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

54-49

H26/05

Euroleague

Barcelona

44-36

H29/05

ACB

Barcelona

44-40

H31/05

ACB

92.0Avg total

49.5Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.9	82.6	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.5	37.1	77.6	+3.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.5	42.5	92.0	+7.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	39.0	87.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	47.4	43.2	90.6	+4.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.6	64%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	22.3	43.6	-1.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.5	26.2	47.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	20.3	43.6	+3.1	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.3	20.7	44.1	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.3	20.8	43.2	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	24.1	20.9	45.0	+3.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	23.5	44.1	-2.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	24.5	25.5	50.0	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.7	23.2	46.9	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	20.7	42.4	+1.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	42.7	85.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	40.0	82.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.9	44.8	87.7	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	43.2	84.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	46.0	92.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	46.0	51.8	97.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.6	41.3	81.9	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.5	41.4	85.9	+3.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	43.0	88.8	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	47.1	43.9	91.0	+3.1	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.1	41.5	85.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	44.0	88.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.6	84.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	47.1	42.8	89.9	+4.2	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 81.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	22.1	52.5%	53.0%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.2	34.3%	34.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.8	77.6%	75.6%	12.8

They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 93.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	21.0	61.9%	53.0%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.6	38.9%	34.9%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	16.7	83.9%	75.6%	16.7

They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	22.2	56.1%	53.0%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.3	34.6%	34.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.6	77.3%	75.6%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.1	50.4%	53.0%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	11.4	39.9%	34.9%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.7	77.0%	75.6%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.5	54.7%	53.0%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	8.5	35.8%	34.9%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.3	72.3%	75.6%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	20.2	57.1%	53.0%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	10.2	36.9%	34.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.8	81.0%	75.6%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.1	56.0%	53.0%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.8	33.8%	34.9%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.7	77.4%	75.6%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	19.9	51.3%	53.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.0	35.6%	34.9%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	15.4	12.0	78.3%	75.6%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Barcelona

LLWWWLLWLW

Real Madrid

WWLWWWWLWW

League position

-5.6

Net rating

+11.2

107.1

Offensive rating

124.6

112.7

Defensive rating

113.4

52.1%

Effective FG%

60.3%

54.4%

Opp. effective FG%

54.4%

16.4%

Turnover %

15.3%

26.3%

Off. rebound %

29.8%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.31

34.3%

3-point %

38.9%

65.0%

Assist %

63.8%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Barcelona ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Barcelona wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
31/05/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	104-98
29/05/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	97-78
07/04/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	85-79
18/02/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	96-85
03/01/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-78
26/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	65-64
01/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	86-79
16/09/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	80-90
20/06/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	82-93
18/06/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	86-85

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/24	A	Real Madrid	98-104
29/05/24	A	Real Madrid	78-97
23/05/24	A	Tenerife	97-92
19/05/24	H	Tenerife	96-86
12/05/24	A	Bilbao	72-68
10/05/24	H	Unicaja	91-92
08/05/24	H	Olympiacos	59-63
05/05/24	H	Gran Canaria	95-89 OT
02/05/24	A	Olympiacos	58-92
30/04/24	A	Olympiacos	82-80 OT

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/24	H	Barcelona	104-98
29/05/24	H	Barcelona	97-78
26/05/24	H	Panathinaikos	80-95
24/05/24	H	Olympiacos	87-76
17/05/24	A	Gran Canaria	73-71
15/05/24	H	Gran Canaria	105-70
12/05/24	H	Baskonia	106-100
10/05/24	A	Valencia	93-99
05/05/24	H	Granada	94-80
01/05/24	A	Baskonia	102-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	66%
Home	WWWLW	78%
Away	LWWLL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	18	20
Win %	66%	78%	55%
Points / game	88.3	92.1	84.8
Allowed / game	82.8	81.9	83.7
Point differential	+5.4	+10.2	+1.1
Avg total	171.1	174.0	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	44%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	33% (6)	71% (7)
Overtime %	8%	11%	5%

Real Madrid

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	84%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	WLWLW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	20	18
Win %	84%	90%	78%
Points / game	88.9	92.6	84.9
Allowed / game	79.6	79.7	79.4
Point differential	+9.4	+12.9	+5.4
Avg total	168.5	172.3	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	55%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	38	32	6	84%	88.9	79.6	+9.4
2	Unicaja	39	31	8	79%	87.8	77.5	+10.3
3	Barcelona	38	25	13	66%	88.3	82.8	+5.4
4	Murcia	40	25	15	62%	83.4	80.4	+3.0
5	Valencia	37	22	15	59%	83.8	82.2	+1.7
6	Tenerife	36	21	15	58%	84.0	82.0	+1.9
7	Gran Canaria	36	20	16	56%	83.3	81.9	+1.4
8	Baskonia	34	18	16	53%	88.5	88.4	+0.1
9	Manresa	36	19	17	53%	83.9	84.7	-0.8
10	Joventut Badalona	34	16	18	47%	81.6	86.4	-4.8
11	MoraBanc Andorra	34	13	21	38%	84.8	85.1	-0.3
12	Basket Zaragoza	34	13	21	38%	82.3	85.1	-2.8
13	Bilbao	34	13	21	38%	78.7	81.7	-2.9
14	Basquet Girona	34	13	21	38%	81.0	85.7	-4.7
15	Obradoiro CAB	34	11	23	32%	81.2	84.4	-3.2
16	Breogan	34	11	23	32%	74.4	78.6	-4.2
17	Granada	34	11	23	32%	80.9	86.2	-5.2
18	Palencia	34	6	28	18%	78.9	87.2	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Barcelona	20	25	31	16	92
Real Madrid	28	21	23	23	95

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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