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Barcelona vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 98-68
33-15 31-24 13-8 21-21
Position#2
Record22-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#18
Record8-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.1
SpainACBRound 20
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Barcelona v Estudiantes
23 Mar 2021
BAR98
EST68
17 Mar 2019
BAR90
EST76
01 Apr 2018
BAR95
EST100
20 Nov 2016
BAR92
EST80
03 Jan 2016
BAR89
EST67
03 May 2015
BAR76
EST62
19 Jan 2014
BAR73
EST56
21 Apr 2013
BAR78
EST65
12 Oct 2011
BAR97
EST51
18 Mar 2011
BAR73
EST53
13 Feb 2010
BAR79
EST70
09 Nov 2008
BAR71
EST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H18/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H26/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A28/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H05/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A11/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
107-88
107
88
+19
H13/03
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H16/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-13
23-10
15-15
15-19
20-15
19-20
15-22
23-12
22-20
20-6
15-24
26-17
21-22
12-11
26-27
25-4
8-22
17-19
21-12
24-19
17-19
16-16
24-22
26-26
29-18
27-28
25-16
23-13
17-19
20-19
19-4
15-12
23-17
17-15
17-12
17-14
24-15
17-18
22-17
148.3Avg total
81.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.872.4159.2+14.488%
Season at home (12)87.570.9158.4+16.692%
Season away (13)86.173.8159.8+12.385%
Last 10 (10)81.067.3148.3+13.790%
Last 5 (5)83.867.8151.6+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)80.273.8154.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.771.4156.2+13.387%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
A20/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
18-17
17-19
18-32
13-14
27-25
11-22
22-18
12-22
23-13
16-19
14-25
21-24
18-21
19-20
21-16
17-20
21-18
17-23
22-30
24-18
24-21
21-21
22-27
23-25
17-18
26-12
19-30
26-20
18-23
30-26
21-20
23-27
20-24
21-18
19-21
18-24
26-27
28-24
22-19
172.1Avg total
83.4Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.586.1167.6-4.632%
Season at home (12)80.983.3164.2-2.425%
Season away (13)82.088.7170.7-6.738%
Last 10 (10)83.488.7172.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)95.293.4188.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.587.1164.6-9.616%
vs Similar (8)87.483.4170.8+4.075%
vs Weaker (3)71.368.7140.0+2.733%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
BarcelonaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H26/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A28/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A02/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H05/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/03
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A21/03
ACB
76.3Avg total
42.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.978.7+6.887%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.635.275.8+5.485%-
Last 30 away (17)44.436.580.9+7.988%-
Last 10 (10)42.334.076.3+8.3100%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.477.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.737.579.2+4.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.235.278.4+8.096%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/03
ACB
82.3Avg total
40.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.776.3-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.938.474.4-2.541%-
Last 30 away (13)37.541.378.8-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.382.3-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.489.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.840.677.4-3.826%-
vs Similar (8)39.238.978.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)28.735.764.3-7.00%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.523.6
58.3%
53.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.79.0
43.5%
36.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws12.410.0
80.6%
76.6%10.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.1
52.6%
53.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.9
30.7%
36.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.49.6
77.4%
76.6%9.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWLW
Estudiantes
WLWLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#18
+20.6
Net rating
-9.0
116.5
Offensive rating
105.1
95.9
Defensive rating
114.1
60.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.18
43.5%
3-point %
30.7%
56.1%
Assist %
51.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 105.1Defence95.9 · 114.1Shooting60.6% · 50.1%3-point %43.5% · 30.7%Ball care20.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds31.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Barcelona   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Barcelona wins
4
Estudiantes wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21AValencia80-64
19/03/21AOlimpia Milano72-56
16/03/21HUnicaja79-55
13/03/21HBasket Zaragoza107-88
11/03/21AReal Madrid81-76
05/03/21HBaskonia71-57
02/03/21APanathinaikos85-77
28/02/21AJoventut Badalona80-62
26/02/21HLyon-Villeurbanne69-76
18/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas86-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21ABasket Zaragoza113-104 OT
17/03/21HJoventut Badalona83-90
14/03/21HBilbao95-89
06/03/21AGran Canaria94-97 OT
03/03/21AObradoiro CAB91-87
27/02/21AUnicaja77-91
10/02/21AGipuzkoa79-81
07/02/21HReal Madrid65-79
03/02/21HBasket Zaragoza73-79
29/12/20HTenerife64-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %88%92%85%
Points / game86.887.586.1
Allowed / game72.470.973.8
Point differential+14.4+16.6+12.3
Avg total159.2158.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%75%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW32%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%25%38%
Points / game81.580.982.0
Allowed / game86.183.388.7
Point differential-4.6-2.4-6.7
Avg total167.6164.2170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2625196%87.074.9+12.1
2 Barcelona2522388%86.872.4+14.4
3 Tenerife2419579%88.079.4+8.7
4 Baskonia2620677%83.276.5+6.6
5 San Pablo Burgos2316770%87.080.7+6.3
6 Valencia2617965%85.080.2+4.8
7 Joventut Badalona25151060%85.083.6+1.4
8 Unicaja26131350%84.282.1+2.1
9 MoraBanc Andorra25121348%78.277.9+0.3
10 Manresa26121446%83.286.8-3.7
11 Gran Canaria25101540%78.884.7-5.9
12 Basket Zaragoza26101638%87.789.0-1.4
13 Murcia2481633%80.584.6-4.0
14 Estudiantes2581732%81.586.1-4.6
15 Fuenlabrada2571828%80.384.2-3.9
16 Obradoiro CAB2571828%79.285.2-6.0
17 Real Betis2561924%76.883.6-6.9
18 Gipuzkoa2561924%73.886.3-12.5
19 Bilbao2662023%79.086.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona3331132198
Estudiantes152482168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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