Barcelona vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 92-80

28-22 23-10 20-17 21-31

Position#4

Record6-1

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game75.0

Barcelona 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record3-4

FormLWWLW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game80.0

ACBRound 9

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Barcelona v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Barcelona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#16

80-58

+22

no box

H23/10

ACB

Crvena zvezda

65-76

-11

94avg 98

A26/10

Euroleague

Bamberg

#13

78-74

103avg 98

H28/10

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#12

78-75

no box

A30/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

79-69

+10

104avg 98

A02/11

Euroleague

Real Madrid

85-75

+10

no box

H06/11

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#10

92-86

118avg 98

H10/11

Euroleague

Murcia

99-83

+16

no box

A12/11

ACB

Olympiacos

52-59

-7

78avg 98

A16/11

Euroleague

Real Madrid

63-102

102

-39

90avg 98

H18/11

Euroleague

23-14

20-17

15-15

22-12

16-9

15-31

17-20

17-16

19-19

21-19

19-19

19-17

18-20

27-19

12-18

21-18

20-18

20-16

18-13

21-22

20-15

29-18

18-20

18-22

16-12

20-23

29-24

27-27

21-20

20-14

34-22

24-27

16-21

9-11

13-17

14-10

17-29

14-25

15-21

17-27

152.8Avg total

77.1Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.1	75.0	157.1	+7.1	86%
Season at home (3)	87.7	75.0	162.7	+12.7	100%
Season away (4)	78.0	75.0	153.0	+3.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	75.7	152.8	+1.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	81.0	159.2	-2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	61.5	78.2	139.8	-16.8	0%
vs Similar (11)	81.3	82.4	163.6	-1.1	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	81.9	69.6	151.6	+12.3	79%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Regatas

90-69

+21

no box

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

91-72

+19

no box

H26/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

86-73

+13

no box

A03/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

91-81

+10

no box

A05/11

Liga A

Tenerife

72-81

-9

no box

A06/11

ACB

Olimpico

77-89

-12

no box

A07/11

Liga A

Libertad

77-64

+13

no box

H10/11

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

83-71

+12

no box

H13/11

ACB

Libertad

82-84

-2

no box

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

80-74

no box

H19/11

Liga A

29-18

27-8

18-23

16-20

20-20

22-18

20-18

29-16

24-13

15-17

24-18

23-25

22-7

24-19

12-27

33-28

16-16

15-24

27-24

14-17

11-19

21-34

20-11

25-25

26-11

18-17

19-19

14-17

14-13

22-25

26-13

21-20

19-17

18-23

16-16

29-28

22-20

16-14

19-16

23-24

158.7Avg total

82.9Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	79.7	80.0	159.7	-0.3	43%
Season at home (4)	84.8	84.0	168.8	+0.8	50%
Season away (3)	73.0	74.7	147.7	-1.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	75.8	158.7	+7.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	76.4	156.2	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	77.3	82.7	160.0	-5.3	17%
vs Similar (14)	82.5	77.9	160.4	+4.6	64%
vs Weaker (10)	77.8	75.6	153.4	+2.2	50%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BarcelonaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	23.5	40.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.8	15.9	36.7	+4.9	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.4	35.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.0	34.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.2	19.2	35.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.6	79%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	17.1	36.6	+2.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	15.1	17.2	32.3	-2.1	40%	-

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#16

43-31

+12

H23/10

ACB

Crvena zvezda

31-40

-9

A26/10

Euroleague

Bamberg

#13

40-38

H28/10

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#12

45-39

A30/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

40-34

A02/11

Euroleague

Real Madrid

49-33

+16

H06/11

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#10

36-35

H10/11

Euroleague

Murcia

41-34

A12/11

ACB

Olympiacos

25-32

-7

A16/11

Euroleague

Real Madrid

31-54

-23

H18/11

Euroleague

75.1Avg total

38.1Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.0	77.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	38.6	80.6	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	37.5	75.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	37.6	74.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.8	44.0	76.8	-11.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.9	41.3	82.2	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.2	33.1	73.3	+7.1	79%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

56-26

+30

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

42-38

H26/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

39-30

A03/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

46-26

+20

A05/11

Liga A

Tenerife

31-40

-9

A06/11

ACB

Olimpico

32-53

-21

A07/11

Liga A

Libertad

44-28

+16

H10/11

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

36-38

-2

H13/11

ACB

Libertad

37-40

-3

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

38-34

H19/11

Liga A

75.4Avg total

40.1Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.4	73.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	35.7	74.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	37.3	72.9	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.3	75.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.6	76.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	33.0	37.8	70.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.4	36.1	76.4	+4.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	35.1	36.1	71.2	-1.0	60%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.8	39.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	15.8	28.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	16.9	37.6	+3.7	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.9	41.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.8	18.4	39.1	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	18.5	34.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.2	43.7	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.5	76.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	37.4	78.1	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	37.6	75.3	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	38.7	77.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.4	85.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	28.8	34.2	63.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.1	40.4	79.5	-1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.2	35.6	76.9	+5.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	41.6	84.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	41.7	84.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	41.6	83.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.5	83.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.8	80.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	44.3	44.8	89.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.1	41.8	83.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.7	39.5	82.2	+3.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 70.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	17.8	48.8%	50.6%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	7.0	35.2%	41.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.8	75.3%	74.9%	13.8

They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.3	51.0%	50.6%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	9.1	40.1%	41.6%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	10.9	8.4	77.0%	74.9%	8.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.3	51.0%	50.6%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	9.1	40.1%	41.6%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	10.9	8.4	77.0%	74.9%	8.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Barcelona wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/16	Estudiantes v Barcelona	74-69
03/01/16	Barcelona v Estudiantes	89-67
03/05/15	Barcelona v Estudiantes	76-62
21/12/14	Estudiantes v Barcelona	102-96
21/05/14	Estudiantes v Barcelona	51-77
19/01/14	Barcelona v Estudiantes	73-56
21/04/13	Barcelona v Estudiantes	78-65
13/01/13	Estudiantes v Barcelona	88-66
05/02/12	Estudiantes v Barcelona	65-80
12/10/11	Barcelona v Estudiantes	97-51

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/16	H	Real Madrid	63-102
16/11/16	A	Olympiacos	52-59
12/11/16	A	Murcia	99-83
10/11/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	92-86
06/11/16	H	Real Madrid	85-75
02/11/16	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	79-69
30/10/16	A	Fuenlabrada	78-75
28/10/16	H	Bamberg	78-74
26/10/16	A	Crvena zvezda	65-76
23/10/16	H	Real Betis	80-58

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/16	H	Quimsa	80-74
14/11/16	A	Libertad	82-84
13/11/16	H	Joventut Badalona	83-71
10/11/16	H	Libertad	77-64
07/11/16	A	Olimpico	77-89
06/11/16	A	Tenerife	72-81
05/11/16	A	Quimsa	91-81
03/11/16	A	Atletico Echague Parana	86-73
26/10/16	H	La Union	91-72
24/10/16	H	Regatas	90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	86%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	100%	75%
Points / game	82.1	87.7	78.0
Allowed / game	75.0	75.0	75.0
Point differential	+7.1	+12.7	+3.0
Avg total	157.1	162.7	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	67%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	14%	33%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	43%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	79.7	84.8	73.0
Allowed / game	80.0	84.0	74.7
Point differential	-0.3	+0.8	-1.7
Avg total	159.7	168.8	147.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	7	6	1	86%	91.3	78.7	+12.6
2	Barcelona	7	6	1	86%	82.1	75.0	+7.1
3	Tenerife	8	6	2	75%	79.9	74.4	+5.5
4	MoraBanc Andorra	8	6	2	75%	85.6	84.5	+1.1
5	Valencia	8	5	3	62%	83.8	78.0	+5.8
6	Baskonia	8	5	3	62%	87.6	82.4	+5.2
7	Unicaja	8	5	3	62%	83.4	79.2	+4.1
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	57%	80.1	80.4	-0.3
9	Gran Canaria	8	4	4	50%	85.2	78.5	+6.8
10	Estudiantes	7	3	4	43%	79.7	80.0	-0.3
11	Real Betis	7	3	4	43%	75.7	82.6	-6.9
12	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	8	3	5	38%	75.9	79.9	-4.0
13	Joventut Badalona	9	3	6	33%	75.9	81.8	-5.9
14	Murcia	8	2	6	25%	75.2	83.0	-7.8
15	Fuenlabrada	8	2	6	25%	75.5	84.4	-8.9
16	Obradoiro CAB	9	2	7	22%	75.6	80.9	-5.3
17	Manresa	7	1	6	14%	72.9	79.7	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Barcelona	28	23	20	21	92
Estudiantes	22	10	17	31	80

← all games of the day

Barcelona vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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