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Barcelona vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-76
10-22 26-17 34-20 20-17
Position#2
Record18-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#16
Record9-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.4
SpainACBRound 23
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Barcelona v Estudiantes
23 Mar 2021
BAR98
EST68
17 Mar 2019
BAR90
EST76
01 Apr 2018
BAR95
EST100
20 Nov 2016
BAR92
EST80
03 Jan 2016
BAR89
EST67
03 May 2015
BAR76
EST62
19 Jan 2014
BAR73
EST56
21 Apr 2013
BAR78
EST65
12 Oct 2011
BAR97
EST51
18 Mar 2011
BAR73
EST53
13 Feb 2010
BAR79
EST70
09 Nov 2008
BAR71
EST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
106-76
106
76
+30
144avg 112
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
109avg 112
H21/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
108avg 112
H01/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
A03/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
96avg 112
A08/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
97-88
97
88
+9
no box
H10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
108avg 112
A15/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
35-21
17-22
30-18
13-21
24-18
21-19
28-21
17-15
24-14
31-23
20-34
20-16
15-19
11-25
31-17
22-9
24-17
16-19
15-22
16-17
26-20
14-14
21-19
18-13
15-21
16-16
21-21
12-24
19-18
22-22
17-28
27-22
26-14
21-18
23-34
23-16
15-21
23-15
21-36
166.1Avg total
85.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.075.7162.7+11.482%
Season at home (12)91.375.2166.6+16.1100%
Season away (10)81.976.2158.1+5.760%
Last 10 (10)85.181.0166.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)79.281.8161.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.783.4161.1-5.743%
vs Similar (10)79.474.4153.8+5.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.175.1161.2+11.075%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Penarol
#16
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H16/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A02/03
Liga A
Manresa
#8
L
91-101
91
101
-10
118avg 110
A03/03
ACB
Quimsa
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H04/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H10/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H10/03
ACB
Quilmes
#20
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A13/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
A15/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
7-21
14-23
15-21
22-18
24-16
23-10
21-22
16-19
25-20
21-21
20-26
21-26
21-29
19-22
30-24
24-14
17-17
22-13
16-20
33-14
24-22
13-18
17-22
27-23
21-23
21-17
22-21
22-18
14-12
21-16
30-26
22-27
19-26
15-15
24-17
13-25
15-15
13-10
28-18
161.5Avg total
81.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.885.4168.2-2.641%
Season at home (12)82.384.0166.3-1.758%
Season away (10)83.487.1170.5-3.720%
Last 10 (10)81.979.6161.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)82.877.0159.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.485.5167.9-3.138%
vs Similar (19)80.977.6158.5+3.463%
vs Weaker (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
BarcelonaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H21/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A03/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/03
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
41.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.077.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.036.479.4+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)35.739.875.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.176.6+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.276.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.642.679.1-6.029%-
vs Similar (10)38.636.074.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.436.879.2+5.658%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Penarol
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/03
Liga A
Manresa
#8
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A03/03
ACB
Quimsa
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H10/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/03
ACB
Quilmes
#20
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A13/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A15/03
Liga A
82.8Avg total
41.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.778.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.035.775.7+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.443.181.5-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.482.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.083.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.942.079.9-4.125%-
vs Similar (19)39.938.278.1+1.758%-
vs Weaker (2)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.6
49.9%
52.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.7
36.2%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
74.6%15.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.8
54.2%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.1
38.1%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
74.6%14.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWLLWWWWWW
Estudiantes
WLWWWWLLWL
#2
League position
#16
+6.7
Net rating
+3.6
108.4
Offensive rating
115.0
101.8
Defensive rating
111.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
38.1%
62.3%
Assist %
46.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 115.0Defence101.8 · 111.4Shooting51.4% · 55.3%3-point %36.2% · 38.1%Ball care17.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Barcelona   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Barcelona wins
5
Estudiantes wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/19AFenerbahce82-88
10/03/19HSan Pablo Burgos97-88
08/03/19AAnadolu Efes70-92
03/03/19AMurcia70-71
01/03/19HReal Madrid77-70
21/02/19HBaskonia77-67
17/02/19AReal Madrid94-93 OT
16/02/19HTenerife92-86
14/02/19HValencia86-79
09/02/19HFuenlabrada106-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/19APenarol69-68
13/03/19AQuilmes80-85
10/03/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza87-72
10/03/19HSan Martin91-84
08/03/19HObras Sanitarias87-76
04/03/19HQuimsa79-64
03/03/19AManresa91-101
02/03/19AComunicaciones Mercedes82-86
16/02/19HPenarol90-66
15/02/19AReal Madrid63-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game87.091.381.9
Allowed / game75.775.276.2
Point differential+11.4+16.1+5.7
Avg total162.7166.6158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%58%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%58%20%
Points / game82.882.383.4
Allowed / game85.484.087.1
Point differential-2.6-1.7-3.7
Avg total168.2166.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)71% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2218482%87.075.7+11.4
2 Real Madrid2318578%88.678.5+10.1
3 Baskonia2317674%85.473.0+12.4
4 Joventut Badalona2314961%80.778.5+2.2
5 Valencia2314961%80.077.9+2.1
6 Unicaja2314961%86.084.4+1.7
7 Manresa23131057%81.281.0+0.2
8 Tenerife23121152%81.678.2+3.4
9 MoraBanc Andorra23111248%82.383.1-0.7
10 Tecnyconta Zaragoza23111248%82.485.8-3.4
11 San Pablo Burgos23101343%81.583.0-1.4
12 Obradoiro CAB23101343%78.080.7-2.7
13 Estudiantes2291341%82.885.4-2.6
14 Gran Canaria2381535%81.383.9-2.6
15 Fuenlabrada2381535%79.388.1-8.7
16 Murcia2371630%75.881.0-5.3
17 Breogan2371630%75.382.1-6.9
18 Gipuzkoa2351822%74.483.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1026342090
Estudiantes2217201776
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