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Barcelona vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game89.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2026
Meetings · Barcelona v Virtus Bologna
18 Dec 2026
BAR v VIR
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
BAR88
VIR81
11 Apr 2025
BAR91
VIR87
31 Jan 2024
BAR84
VIR57
05 Jan 2023
BAR75
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 83
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 83
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.088.7179.7+2.370%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (5)90.486.2176.6+4.280%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.6183.6+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)89.599.6189.1-10.138%
vs Similar (10)91.888.0179.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)95.786.8182.4+8.992%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Paris
#12
W
96-94
96
94
+2
95avg 82
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
181.4Avg total
90.7Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.689.5175.1-3.940%
Season at home (5)86.491.8178.2-5.440%
Season away (5)84.887.2172.0-2.440%
Last 10 (10)90.790.7181.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)87.693.6181.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (3)98.397.0195.3+1.367%
vs Weaker (22)91.484.2175.6+7.268%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
BarcelonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.146.185.2-7.012%-
vs Similar (10)43.942.986.8+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.640.886.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
85.7Avg total
44.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.887.2+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.283.4+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.085.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (3)45.745.791.3+0.067%-
vs Weaker (22)46.441.387.7+5.173%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
77.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
77.1%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLLW
Virtus Bologna
WLLLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#15
-0.3
Net rating
+3.7
104.9
Offensive rating
102.2
105.3
Defensive rating
98.4
58.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.2%
3-point %
36.3%
50.9%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 102.2Defence105.3 · 98.4Shooting58.1% · 54.8%3-point %39.2% · 36.3%Ball care14.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Barcelona wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game91.091.690.4
Allowed / game88.791.286.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+4.2
Avg total179.7182.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game85.686.484.8
Allowed / game89.591.887.2
Point differential-3.9-5.4-2.4
Avg total175.1178.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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