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Barcelos vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game81.7
PortugalProligaRound 15
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barcelos v Maia
16 Jan 2027
BARC v MAIA
upcoming
31 Oct 2015
BARC77
MAIA60
14 Feb 2015
BARC87
MAIA56
03 Nov 2013
BARC75
MAIA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
16-23
17-18
11-18
21-12
13-16
12-12
12-24
26-21
14-12
18-22
10-17
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
137.4Avg total
65.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.075.8142.8-8.825%
Season at home (2)64.074.0138.0-10.050%
Season away (2)70.077.5147.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)65.172.3137.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)64.873.8138.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)63.272.8136.0-9.619%
vs Similar (7)72.673.3145.9-0.757%
vs Weaker (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
29-18
20-16
32-28
28-19
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
163.7Avg total
85.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.081.7163.7+0.367%
Season at home (2)93.586.5180.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)59.072.0131.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.078.7163.7+6.380%
Last 5 (5)80.878.2159.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.082.2155.2-9.233%
vs Similar (7)79.177.1156.3+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.470.7159.1+17.682%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
BarcelosMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
72.0Avg total
36.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.736.770.4-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.139.473.5-5.221%-
Last 30 away (16)33.334.467.8-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.772.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.270.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.638.071.6-4.338%-
vs Similar (7)34.736.170.9-1.429%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
79.5Avg total
42.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.677.8+4.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.937.179.1+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.436.076.4+4.471%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.379.5+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.240.574.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (7)39.437.977.3+1.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.534.779.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.2
49.2%
52.5%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.86.0
20.2%
29.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws24.216.0
66.0%
66.2%16.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.419.8
46.7%
52.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
29.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.318.5
70.3%
66.2%18.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos
LLWLLLWLLL
Maia
WLWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#7
-10.0
Net rating
+6.4
71.6
Offensive rating
90.0
81.5
Defensive rating
83.7
40.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
43.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
20.2%
3-point %
35.3%
47.2%
Assist %
62.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence71.6 · 90.0Defence81.5 · 83.7Shooting40.2% · 49.0%3-point %20.2% · 35.3%Ball care19.7% · 16.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Barcelos   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Barcelos wins
1
Maia wins
DateGameScore
16/01/16Maia v Barcelos57-73
31/10/15Barcelos v Maia77-60
14/02/15Barcelos v Maia87-56
15/11/14Maia v Barcelos67-78
25/01/14Maia v Barcelos64-58
03/11/13Barcelos v Maia75-70
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
22/04/16AOvarense68-72
17/04/16AFC Porto58-64
16/04/16HOvarense65-87
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
29/03/26AGinasio109-81
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.064.070.0
Allowed / game75.874.077.5
Point differential-8.8-10.0-7.5
Avg total142.8138.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game82.093.559.0
Allowed / game81.786.572.0
Point differential+0.3+7.0-13.0
Avg total163.7180.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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