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Barcelos vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
PortugalProligaRound 15
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barcelos v Maia
16 Jan 2027
BARC v MAIA
upcoming
31 Oct 2015
BARC77
MAIA60
14 Feb 2015
BARC87
MAIA56
03 Nov 2013
BARC75
MAIA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelos
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
no box
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 59
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
72avg 59
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 59
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
28avg 59
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 59
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
55-87
55
87
-32
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
18-24
24-18
17-15
21-13
23-20
15-24
12-18
13-20
19-21
16-22
10-22
10-22
139.7Avg total
65.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.677.4144.0-10.929%
Season at home (3)63.776.7140.3-13.033%
Season away (4)68.878.0146.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.873.9139.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)63.478.0141.4-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.773.8136.5-11.118%
vs Similar (6)75.875.8151.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 74
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 74
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 74
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 74
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 74
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 74
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 74
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 74
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
28-20
23-23
11-23
23-29
14-24
23-22
31-27
22-17
17-15
23-18
8-24
17-29
167.4Avg total
83.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.287.8171.0-4.750%
Season at home (3)96.791.3188.0+5.3100%
Season away (3)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
Last 10 (10)83.883.6167.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.381.3153.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)84.781.9166.6+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.771.6159.3+16.173%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
BarcelosMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.772.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.439.774.1-5.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.535.770.2-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.138.572.6-4.436%-
vs Similar (6)36.838.775.5-1.817%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.881.0+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.434.879.2+9.687%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
52.5%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.07.4
23.9%
30.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.215.8
68.1%
67.3%15.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
52.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.3%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos
LLWLLWLLLW
Maia
LWLWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#10
-5.9
Net rating
+5.7
75.7
Offensive rating
91.8
81.7
Defensive rating
86.2
42.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
23.9%
3-point %
35.5%
57.4%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence75.7 · 91.8Defence81.7 · 86.2Shooting42.0% · 50.8%3-point %23.9% · 35.5%Ball care18.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Barcelos   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Barcelos wins
1
Maia wins
DateGameScore
16/01/16Maia v Barcelos57-73
31/10/15Barcelos v Maia77-60
14/02/15Barcelos v Maia87-56
15/11/14Maia v Barcelos67-78
25/01/14Maia v Barcelos64-58
03/11/13Barcelos v Maia75-70
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAcademica55-87
07/11/26HIlliabum63-82
01/11/26ABenfica Lisboa B80-70
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASangalhos65-86
07/11/26HVasco Da Gama103-101 OT
31/10/26ABarreirense85-95
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game66.663.768.8
Allowed / game77.476.778.0
Point differential-10.9-13.0-9.2
Avg total144.0140.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.296.769.7
Allowed / game87.891.384.3
Point differential-4.7+5.3-14.7
Avg total171.0188.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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