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Barreirense vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalProligaRound 21· Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barreirense v Lusitania
28 Feb 2027
BARR v LUSI
upcoming
16 Feb 2025
BARR80
LUSI90
05 Jan 2025
BARR65
LUSI74
28 Mar 2021
BARR85
LUSI86
11 Jan 2020
BARR87
LUSI75
25 Mar 2018
BARR80
LUSI84
06 Jan 2018
BARR115
LUSI113
20 Jan 2013
BARR73
LUSI75
27 Nov 2011
BARR80
LUSI73
17 Oct 2010
BARR69
LUSI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barreirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
51-58
51
58
-7
no box
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
47avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
61avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
49avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 66
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-17
9-6
15-19
20-16
13-24
22-20
19-9
22-17
21-22
17-13
17-18
17-23
21-22
10-22
12-12
20-15
10-22
14-19
18-17
29-13
22-20
29-21
22-19
18-30
9-22
14-29
16-16
26-25
20-28
23-23
23-11
29-23
17-23
25-24
11-17
15-29
11-18
18-19
17-17
18-21
151.5Avg total
72.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.083.9158.9-8.929%
Season at home (3)83.082.0165.0+1.067%
Season away (4)69.085.2154.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)72.479.1151.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.882.4154.2-10.618%
vs Similar (10)76.975.7152.6+1.240%
vs Weaker (3)76.771.0147.7+5.767%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 82
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 82
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 82
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 82
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 82
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 82
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 82
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 82
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 82
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +6.3+6.3
BarreirenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.6Avg total
33.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.377.8-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.380.6-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)34.041.375.3-7.312%-
Last 10 (10)33.241.474.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.483.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.943.479.4-7.518%-
vs Similar (10)36.538.374.8-1.830%-
vs Weaker (3)39.339.378.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
30.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.516.5
67.3%
67.3%16.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barreirense
LLWLWLLLWL
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#6
-1.0
Net rating
+13.5
93.7
Offensive rating
95.6
94.7
Defensive rating
82.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.5%
3-point %
32.3%
56.8%
Assist %
67.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 95.6Defence94.7 · 82.1Shooting46.4% · 53.2%3-point %29.5% · 32.3%Ball care18.1% · 16.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Barreirense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Barreirense wins
9
Lusitania wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASanto Andre64-75
07/11/26ALusitania68-93
31/10/26HMaia95-85
24/10/26AGalomar65-92
17/10/26HGinasio Olhanense91-90
10/10/26ABarcelos79-81 OT
03/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-71
04/05/25HMaia72-76
27/04/25HGalitos Aveiro76-70
26/04/25ASanto Andre51-58
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barreirense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game75.083.069.0
Allowed / game83.982.085.2
Point differential-8.9+1.0-16.2
Avg total158.9165.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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