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Sampaense vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-72
20-13 29-23 17-16 30-20
Position#11
Record8-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#8
Record10-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game80.4
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sampaense v Maia
03 Jan 2027
SAMP v MAIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
SAMP67
MAIA79
22 Mar 2025
SAMP96
MAIA72
11 Jan 2025
SAMP97
MAIA84
02 Dec 2023
SAMP77
MAIA89
22 Oct 2022
SAMP91
MAIA81
09 Oct 2021
SAMP93
MAIA77
12 Mar 2017
SAMP95
MAIA88
29 Jan 2017
SAMP89
MAIA74
02 Nov 2014
SAMP82
MAIA86
04 Jan 2014
SAMP79
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 69
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
97-84
97
84
+13
72avg 69
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 69
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 69
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 69
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 69
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 69
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 69
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 69
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
69avg 69
A15/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
16-27
19-16
29-23
20-10
33-24
23-24
21-26
27-18
23-25
18-16
18-14
18-18
18-21
16-13
27-21
22-21
19-19
24-16
19-18
24-36
28-14
22-24
12-22
24-27
20-24
15-20
21-29
19-31
15-17
16-19
21-26
13-16
26-21
17-20
21-25
17-25
21-30
24-18
25-16
167.3Avg total
82.2Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.485.5165.0-6.136%
Season at home (10)81.286.3167.5-5.150%
Season away (12)77.984.9162.8-7.025%
Last 10 (10)82.285.1167.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)80.292.0172.2-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.581.7151.2-12.214%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.882.5167.3+2.254%
vs Weaker (3)77.381.7159.0-4.367%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 64
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 64
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
84-97
84
97
-13
65avg 64
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
47avg 64
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 64
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
68-56
68
56
+12
56avg 64
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 64
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 64
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
56avg 64
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 64
H16/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
10-20
24-33
24-23
26-21
10-21
18-18
19-20
22-23
18-18
21-18
13-16
21-27
10-18
16-15
18-10
24-13
18-20
11-16
18-21
22-17
27-22
13-14
21-14
24-16
19-17
17-17
16-16
16-15
19-28
30-14
18-17
26-27
152.9Avg total
76.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.180.4156.5-4.348%
Season at home (11)77.276.4153.5+0.873%
Season away (10)74.984.8159.7-9.920%
Last 10 (10)76.876.1152.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.669.4146.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.583.9156.4-11.527%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.980.7160.6-0.858%
vs Weaker (3)74.367.0141.3+7.3100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
SampaenseMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/03
Proliga
85.9Avg total
41.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.878.8-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.180.9+2.871%-
Last 30 away (16)34.542.476.9-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.585.9-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.289.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.138.773.8-3.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.042.883.8-1.846%-
vs Weaker (3)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/03
Proliga
75.0Avg total
36.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.177.5-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.976.9-0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)34.643.478.0-8.813%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.475.0-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.272.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.342.177.5-6.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.441.179.5-2.750%-
vs Weaker (3)33.036.369.3-3.333%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.7
58.4%
49.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.5
33.0%
30.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
68.4%14.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.0
49.7%
49.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.0
32.4%
30.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.913.0
72.6%
68.4%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LLLLLWWWWL
Maia
WWWLWLLLWL
#11
League position
#8
-4.7
Net rating
+1.0
109.0
Offensive rating
104.1
113.7
Defensive rating
103.1
55.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.0%
3-point %
32.4%
55.0%
Assist %
49.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 104.1Defence113.7 · 103.1Shooting55.5% · 49.2%3-point %33.0% · 32.4%Ball care20.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 34.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Sampaense   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sampaense wins
5
Maia wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Maia v Sampaense73-79
11/01/25Sampaense v Maia97-84
16/11/24Maia v Sampaense83-75
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
09/10/21Sampaense v Maia93-77
21/04/17Maia v Sampaense81-91
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ABarreirense87-89
08/03/25ASanto Andre77-82
01/03/25HGalitos Aveiro71-93
22/02/25ALusitania80-100
15/02/25HGinasio86-96
08/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-74
01/02/25AMaia79-73
25/01/25HBarreirense86-73
11/01/25HMaia97-84
04/01/25AIlliabum75-87
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HLusitania93-86
08/03/25HBarreirense68-65
01/03/25AGinasio85-66
15/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B69-74
08/02/25HGalitos Aveiro68-56
01/02/25HSampaense73-79
25/01/25ALusitania69-82
11/01/25ASampaense84-97
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%50%25%
Points / game79.481.277.9
Allowed / game85.586.384.9
Point differential-6.1-5.1-7.0
Avg total165.0167.5162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%73%20%
Points / game76.177.274.9
Allowed / game80.476.484.8
Point differential-4.3+0.8-9.9
Avg total156.5153.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2318578%82.969.8+13.1
2 Vasco Da Gama2217577%82.876.9+5.9
3 CAB Madeira2214864%74.869.0+5.8
4 Portimonense2214864%76.372.5+3.9
5 CB Queluz2314961%77.174.3+2.8
6 Illiabum2213959%74.868.0+6.8
7 Santo Andre2112957%71.868.6+3.2
8 Maia21101148%76.180.4-4.3
9 Lusitania22101245%77.677.0+0.7
10 Sangalhos2291341%77.577.3+0.2
11 Ginasio2291341%80.085.8-5.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B2291341%67.873.9-6.1
13 Imortal B2291341%66.572.7-6.1
14 Sampaense2281436%79.485.5-6.1
15 Barreirense2271532%71.675.9-4.3
16 Galitos Aveiro2231914%67.778.1-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2029173096
Maia1323162072
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