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Basket Zaragoza vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-84
17-29 16-14 27-14 19-27
Position#2
Record10-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#10
Record8-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
63avg 79
A03/04
ACB
Nymburk
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
63avg 79
A08/04
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 79
H11/04
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
82-92
82
92
-10
64avg 79
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
99-71
99
71
+28
96avg 79
H18/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
98-95
98
95
+3
101avg 79
A21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
101-78
101
78
+23
109avg 79
A24/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
99-89
99
89
+10
94avg 79
H28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 79
H02/05
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 79
A05/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
24-22
19-21
17-22
23-30
16-21
19-24
20-23
21-21
17-24
19-19
19-21
21-15
9-21
28-28
24-28
24-14
23-15
31-17
21-25
24-22
36-21
8-26
30-26
27-16
19-17
29-18
26-27
25-29
23-29
28-14
23-17
31-19
20-35
24-19
14-25
23-28
18-14
25-16
20-20
175.2Avg total
88.4Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.284.9172.2+2.377%
Season at home (6)88.276.2164.3+12.0100%
Season away (7)86.492.4178.9-6.057%
Last 10 (10)88.486.8175.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)94.687.6182.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.291.7173.9-9.530%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.187.6178.7+3.555%
vs Weaker (9)94.884.4179.2+10.389%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 78
A17/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
86avg 78
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
76avg 78
H23/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 78
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#18
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 78
A30/03
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
59-117
59
117
-58
39avg 78
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
W
107-88
107
88
+19
107avg 78
H06/04
Champions League
Galatasaray
#11
L
92-94
92
94
-2
86avg 78
H10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
101-61
101
61
+40
103avg 78
A30/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
60avg 78
A05/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
19-14
27-20
18-13
29-25
17-25
18-24
25-24
21-18
25-19
15-17
15-23
18-20
16-27
24-19
26-19
18-22
23-22
18-22
20-24
10-29
19-34
20-25
10-29
28-24
25-19
30-28
24-17
25-16
19-38
29-22
19-18
33-19
17-16
26-14
25-12
22-24
16-17
18-14
28-18
168.9Avg total
84.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.875.8156.6+5.162%
Season at home (6)82.776.0158.7+6.767%
Season away (7)79.375.6154.9+3.757%
Last 10 (10)84.384.6168.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)88.686.6175.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.098.0187.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.982.3163.2-1.455%
vs Weaker (18)85.673.3158.9+12.383%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
Basket ZaragozaKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/04
ACB
Nymburk
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A08/04
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/04
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A24/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H02/05
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A05/05
Champions League
87.2Avg total
44.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.387.3+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.943.889.7+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.885.2-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.287.2+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)49.246.095.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.546.488.9-3.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.143.486.5-0.345%-
vs Weaker (9)47.039.786.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/03
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
29-63
29
63
-34
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H06/04
Champions League
Galatasaray
#11
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A30/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A05/05
Champions League
85.2Avg total
40.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.881.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.179.3+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.485.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.290.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.440.579.8-1.145%-
vs Weaker (18)43.136.679.6+6.572%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.8
54.3%
52.7%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.9
39.9%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.815.1
80.3%
73.2%15.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.7
57.0%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
73.2%12.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WLWWWWLLLL
Karsiyaka
WWLWLLLLLW
#2
League position
#10
+1.8
Net rating
-1.0
112.5
Offensive rating
113.6
110.7
Defensive rating
114.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
35.9%
54.6%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 113.6Defence110.7 · 114.6Shooting56.2% · 55.7%3-point %39.9% · 35.9%Ball care18.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.0% · 26.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
0
Karsiyaka wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/21ANizhny Novgorod86-78
02/05/21HReal Madrid89-98
28/04/21HMoraBanc Andorra99-89
24/04/21AUnicaja101-78
21/04/21ASan Pablo Burgos98-95
18/04/21HGipuzkoa99-71
15/04/21AManresa82-92
11/04/21HValencia76-85
08/04/21ANymburk78-98
03/04/21AGran Canaria76-84
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/21ANymburk84-73
30/04/21AOGM Ormanspor101-61
10/04/21HGalatasaray92-94
06/04/21HBrindisi107-88
04/04/21AFenerbahce59-117
30/03/21ATofas79-90
27/03/21HBursaspor84-85
23/03/21HHapoel Holon76-77
21/03/21HAnadolu Efes89-98
17/03/21AHapoel Holon72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game87.288.286.4
Allowed / game84.976.292.4
Point differential+2.3+12.0-6.0
Avg total172.2164.3178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Karsiyaka
Champions League 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game80.882.779.3
Allowed / game75.876.075.6
Point differential+5.1+6.7+3.7
Avg total156.6158.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1310377%83.975.6+8.3
2 Basket Zaragoza1310377%87.284.9+2.3
3 Tenerife139469%86.378.5+7.8
4 Nymburk139469%88.581.1+7.5
5 Bamberg128467%85.277.8+7.4
6 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
7 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
8 Nizhny Novgorod138562%83.177.4+5.7
9 Karsiyaka138562%80.875.8+5.1
10 Strasbourg138562%82.478.9+3.5
11 Hapoel Holon138562%79.178.8+0.3
12 Brindisi127558%85.384.1+1.2
13 AEK Athens127558%78.680.0-1.4
14 Turk Telekom127558%78.980.3-1.4
15 Igokea148657%74.975.9-0.9
16 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
17 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
18 Tofas126650%83.980.9+3.0
19 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
20 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
21 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
22 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
23 Sassari125742%85.589.5-4.0
24 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
25 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
26 Bilbao62433%74.275.2-1.0
27 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
28 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
29 VEF Riga124833%71.975.8-3.8
30 Oostende62433%80.786.2-5.5
31 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
32 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
33 Darussafaka61517%75.284.0-8.8
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna6060%63.882.0-18.2
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza1716271979
Karsiyaka2914142784
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