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Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-85
21-21 17-24 19-19 19-21
Position#13
Record10-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#4
Record17-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.3
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Valencia
04 Oct 2026
ZAR82
VAL97
26 May 2026
ZAR86
VAL98
01 Mar 2025
ZAR71
VAL115
21 Jan 2024
ZAR75
VAL85
26 Mar 2023
ZAR86
VAL75
02 Oct 2021
ZAR70
VAL76
11 Apr 2021
ZAR76
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Sassari
#23
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 77
A02/03
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/03
ACB
Bamberg
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
66avg 77
H10/03
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
88-107
88
107
-19
76avg 77
A13/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
104-113 OT
104
113
-9
no box
H20/03
ACB
Bamberg
#5
L
76-117
76
117
-41
34avg 77
A23/03
Champions League
Sassari
#23
W
105-88
105
88
+17
75avg 77
H30/03
Champions League
Nymburk
#4
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H01/04
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
63avg 77
A03/04
ACB
Nymburk
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
63avg 77
A08/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-21
25-15
23-28
19-19
30-29
19-24
27-28
14-13
19-18
23-16
21-18
26-26
18-29
28-27
16-25
24-18
27-26
24-28
19-22
21-27
19-28
16-34
20-28
20-31
31-21
26-17
28-19
16-22
29-18
18-14
27-17
16-19
24-22
19-21
17-22
23-30
16-21
19-24
20-23
181.0Avg total
88.4Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.288.9176.1-1.637%
Season at home (13)92.290.8183.0+1.546%
Season away (14)82.687.1169.6-4.529%
Last 10 (10)88.492.6181.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)85.091.6176.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.592.0172.5-11.525%
vs Similar (13)89.287.2176.4+1.946%
vs Weaker (9)95.485.0180.4+10.489%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
63avg 79
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
52avg 79
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
57avg 79
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
86avg 79
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
87avg 79
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 79
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
93avg 79
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
79avg 79
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
85avg 79
H08/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
19-18
8-11
21-13
8-20
22-16
14-18
16-24
27-17
17-21
14-11
19-19
14-17
15-24
18-17
17-22
26-19
20-14
12-30
25-13
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
19-23
12-21
10-30
38-14
13-26
29-27
22-17
26-16
21-24
22-23
19-24
27-31
25-21
14-23
21-15
26-22
158.1Avg total
78.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.281.3166.5+3.961%
Season at home (14)87.682.5170.1+5.157%
Season away (14)82.880.1162.9+2.664%
Last 10 (10)78.080.1158.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)86.089.4175.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.092.8173.8-11.825%
vs Similar (12)81.377.0158.3+4.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.882.4168.2+3.462%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
Basket ZaragozaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#23
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/03
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H06/03
ACB
Bamberg
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/03
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A13/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H20/03
ACB
Bamberg
#5
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A23/03
Champions League
Sassari
#23
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H30/03
Champions League
Nymburk
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/04
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/04
ACB
Nymburk
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A08/04
Champions League
89.6Avg total
43.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.587.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.241.787.9+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.386.5+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.789.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.890.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.845.485.1-5.638%-
vs Similar (13)45.542.688.2+2.962%-
vs Weaker (9)48.039.887.8+8.267%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/04
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
38.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.580.2-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.640.482.0+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)38.240.678.8-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.378.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.242.079.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (12)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.541.281.7-0.646%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.9
50.9%
53.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
36.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
76.6%16.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.6
53.8%
53.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.5
35.7%
36.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
76.6%13.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LLWWLLLWLW
Valencia
WLWLLWLWLW
#13
League position
#4
-4.4
Net rating
-2.3
109.9
Offensive rating
105.7
114.3
Defensive rating
108.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
21.3%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
35.7%
56.9%
Assist %
75.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 105.7Defence114.3 · 108.0Shooting52.2% · 53.7%3-point %36.3% · 35.7%Ball care15.7% · 21.3%Off. rebounds24.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
24/10/20Valencia v Basket Zaragoza93-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21ANymburk78-98
03/04/21AGran Canaria76-84
01/04/21HNymburk90-71
30/03/21HSassari105-88
23/03/21ABamberg76-117
20/03/21HEstudiantes104-113 OT
13/03/21ABarcelona88-107
10/03/21HBamberg77-65
06/03/21HJoventut Badalona95-100
02/03/21ASassari95-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21HBaskonia86-81
04/04/21HJoventut Badalona89-102
02/04/21AAlba Berlin90-86
31/03/21HOlympiacos79-88
28/03/21ATenerife86-90
25/03/21HBayern83-76
21/03/21HBarcelona64-80
19/03/21AKhimki M.77-68
14/03/21AGipuzkoa60-78
12/03/21HFenerbahce66-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeWWWLL46%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%46%29%
Points / game87.292.282.6
Allowed / game88.990.887.1
Point differential-1.6+1.5-4.5
Avg total176.1183.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL61%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%57%64%
Points / game85.287.682.8
Allowed / game81.382.580.1
Point differential+3.9+5.1+2.6
Avg total166.5170.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2928197%87.075.2+11.9
2 Barcelona2925486%87.173.1+14.0
3 Tenerife2823582%89.179.9+9.2
4 Baskonia2921872%83.177.6+5.5
5 San Pablo Burgos27171063%86.982.6+4.4
6 Valencia28171161%85.281.3+3.9
7 Joventut Badalona27161159%85.484.0+1.4
8 Unicaja27131448%84.582.8+1.7
9 Manresa29131645%83.986.9-3.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra27121544%78.178.7-0.7
11 Gran Canaria27121544%79.784.1-4.4
12 Murcia28111739%81.284.0-2.8
13 Basket Zaragoza27101737%87.288.9-1.6
14 Obradoiro CAB2891932%79.684.5-4.9
15 Fuenlabrada2992031%80.383.9-3.6
16 Estudiantes2992031%81.287.0-5.8
17 Real Betis2882029%77.983.2-5.4
18 Bilbao2872125%80.087.1-7.1
19 Gipuzkoa2862221%73.286.6-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2117191976
Valencia2124192185
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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