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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-79
22-18 22-23 22-18 24-20
Position#18
Record4-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game82.1
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record6-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.4
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5
European cup2020
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 81
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 81
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 81
A03/03
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 81
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
71avg 81
H09/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A16/03
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
100avg 81
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
H24/03
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
19-22
15-22
30-18
26-28
25-22
24-20
23-19
24-19
12-19
20-18
14-22
24-22
24-28
18-12
10-15
25-17
20-28
23-27
13-21
16-22
30-16
21-22
22-26
15-22
23-16
16-27
21-12
22-15
20-17
33-23
26-21
21-27
15-24
17-21
19-19
27-21
22-15
13-14
22-22
165.0Avg total
83.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.782.1164.8+0.640%
Season at home (5)81.086.8167.8-5.820%
Season away (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)84.280.4164.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.591.5181.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.781.2160.9-1.536%
vs Weaker (15)87.977.5165.3+10.480%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
77avg 78
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 78
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 78
H03/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
117-82
117
82
+35
no box
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 78
A09/03
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 78
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 78
A17/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
86avg 78
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
76avg 78
H23/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 78
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
25-22
17-13
22-14
22-22
22-16
26-22
26-23
19-24
19-12
18-20
22-14
29-17
31-18
33-26
24-21
10-17
22-18
17-30
30-18
22-15
10-26
17-16
26-12
8-16
19-14
27-20
18-13
29-25
17-25
18-24
25-24
21-18
25-19
15-17
15-23
18-20
16-27
24-19
26-19
162.5Avg total
84.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.173.4151.5+4.760%
Season at home (5)77.873.6151.4+4.260%
Season away (5)78.473.2151.6+5.260%
Last 10 (10)84.677.9162.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)79.278.4157.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.477.5157.9+2.950%
vs Weaker (20)84.074.3158.4+9.785%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +5.3+5.3
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/03
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H09/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/03
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H24/03
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.9Avg total
43.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.283.9+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.184.0+1.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.483.8+1.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.984.9+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.049.091.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.139.879.9+0.336%-
vs Weaker (15)44.840.184.9+4.773%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/03
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.1Avg total
40.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.877.7+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.836.379.1+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.376.2+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.179.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.078.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.544.078.5-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.237.176.4+2.150%-
vs Weaker (20)42.136.078.1+6.170%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.4
53.8%
52.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.3
35.6%
35.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
73.2%13.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.3
58.2%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.117.9
74.3%
73.2%17.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLWLWLLLWW
Karsiyaka
LLLWWLWWWW
#18
League position
#10
+1.6
Net rating
+9.7
110.6
Offensive rating
117.6
109.0
Defensive rating
107.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.6%
3-point %
35.3%
68.4%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 117.6Defence109.0 · 107.9Shooting53.7% · 56.0%3-point %35.6% · 35.3%Ball care16.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
4
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
03/03/21Karsiyaka v Tofas78-70
31/01/21Karsiyaka v Tofas90-71
17/10/20Tofas v Karsiyaka78-88
07/12/19Tofas v Karsiyaka94-88
26/01/19Tofas v Karsiyaka93-91 OT
06/10/18Karsiyaka v Tofas55-82
15/04/18Tofas v Karsiyaka94-75
09/12/17Karsiyaka v Tofas80-84
13/05/17Karsiyaka v Tofas82-88 OT
21/01/17Tofas v Karsiyaka80-86
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21HGaziantep84-72
24/03/21HBrindisi72-91
20/03/21AFethiye Bld.101-76
16/03/21ABrindisi75-77
13/03/21HBesiktas89-86
09/03/21HHapoel Holon81-93
06/03/21AOGM Ormanspor76-77
03/03/21AKarsiyaka70-78
27/02/21HGalatasaray98-89
10/02/21AFenerbahce84-81
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21HBursaspor84-85
23/03/21HHapoel Holon76-77
21/03/21HAnadolu Efes89-98
17/03/21AHapoel Holon72-63
13/03/21AAfyon Belediye75-69
09/03/21ABrindisi79-83
06/03/21HBuyukcekmece117-82
03/03/21HTofas78-70
27/02/21ABahcesehir Kol.96-83
09/02/21HTurk Telekom80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game82.781.084.4
Allowed / game82.186.877.4
Point differential+0.6-5.8+7.0
Avg total164.8167.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%40%0%
Karsiyaka
Champions League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game78.177.878.4
Allowed / game73.473.673.2
Point differential+4.7+4.2+5.2
Avg total151.5151.4151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos98189%87.474.3+13.1
2 Nizhny Novgorod108280%83.774.4+9.3
3 Bamberg97278%86.474.8+11.7
4 Basket Zaragoza97278%86.185.4+0.7
5 Nymburk86275%90.981.1+9.8
6 Tenerife107370%87.080.9+6.1
7 Brindisi107370%85.782.1+3.6
8 Hapoel Holon107370%79.976.9+3.0
9 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
10 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
11 Karsiyaka106460%78.173.4+4.7
12 AEK Athens106460%79.880.4-0.6
13 Turk Telekom106460%78.880.7-1.9
14 Igokea116555%76.176.9-0.8
15 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
16 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
17 Strasbourg105550%79.577.2+2.3
18 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
19 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
20 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
21 Sassari84450%87.089.2-2.2
22 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
23 Tofas104640%82.782.1+0.6
24 VEF Riga104640%74.176.8-2.7
25 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
26 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
27 Bilbao62433%74.275.2-1.0
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Oostende62433%80.786.2-5.5
31 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
32 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
33 Darussafaka61517%75.284.0-8.8
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna6060%63.882.0-18.2
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2222222490
Karsiyaka1823182079
← all games of the day
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