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Baskonia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-85
26-18 26-25 15-19 20-23
Position#9
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#16
Record4-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Crvena zvezda
05 Feb 2027
BAS v CZV
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
BAS100
CZV108
02 Jan 2025
BAS73
CZV75
08 Dec 2023
BAS87
CZV85
19 Oct 2022
BAS92
CZV75
16 Nov 2021
BAS93
CZV74
26 Feb 2021
BAS87
CZV67
02 Feb 2018
BAS103
CZV84
24 Jan 2017
BAS69
CZV87
13 Nov 2014
BAS66
CZV86
07 Nov 2013
BAS63
CZV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 67
A09/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
95-108 OT
95
108
-13
no box
A12/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
94-71
94
71
+23
95avg 67
H15/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 67
A17/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 67
H19/11
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 67
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 67
H26/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
98-84
98
84
+14
101avg 67
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 67
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 67
H06/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
30-9
17-25
8-14
16-27
24-20
16-12
23-20
26-18
29-11
15-24
24-18
20-30
22-19
31-16
15-16
15-19
21-18
26-20
21-17
19-16
17-19
23-27
16-15
29-12
22-29
18-19
25-26
20-21
24-31
23-18
31-14
22-19
16-18
16-24
18-16
10-18
28-19
19-18
23-24
166.5Avg total
85.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.882.0164.8+0.858%
Season at home (7)80.080.6160.6-0.643%
Season away (5)86.684.0170.6+2.680%
Last 10 (10)85.481.1166.5+4.370%
Last 5 (5)83.880.6164.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.881.8163.7+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.985.1167.9-2.243%
vs Weaker (10)85.883.0168.8+2.870%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
76avg 81
A10/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 81
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 81
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
101avg 81
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 81
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
92avg 81
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-26
19-18
19-21
23-24
22-19
25-11
11-20
25-16
20-10
15-14
27-16
23-20
21-25
9-19
30-24
29-17
23-22
26-21
17-15
19-20
20-18
17-25
15-30
26-13
15-12
21-17
28-25
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
161.3Avg total
85.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.980.5162.4+1.433%
Season at home (6)83.275.8159.0+7.367%
Season away (6)80.785.2165.8-4.50%
Last 10 (10)85.076.3161.3+8.760%
Last 5 (5)84.676.8161.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.583.5164.0-2.927%
vs Weaker (13)89.569.4158.8+20.1100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
BaskoniaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A09/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H15/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/11
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H26/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/12
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
43.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.882.5+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.382.7+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.382.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.982.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.239.385.5+6.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.940.779.6-1.943%-
vs Weaker (10)42.841.984.7+0.960%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
43.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.480.8+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.634.278.8+10.477%-
Last 30 away (17)40.641.682.3-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.783.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.481.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.535.580.0+9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.343.381.7-5.027%-
vs Weaker (13)46.733.279.9+13.5100%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.6
54.5%
53.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.5
39.1%
36.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.513.2
80.0%
77.4%13.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.8
60.8%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.2
35.1%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
77.4%12.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWWLWWWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWWWLWLWWL
#9
League position
#16
+7.0
Net rating
+12.2
115.7
Offensive rating
115.8
108.7
Defensive rating
103.5
56.5%
Effective FG%
57.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.1%
3-point %
35.1%
62.2%
Assist %
70.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 115.8Defence108.7 · 103.5Shooting56.5% · 57.0%3-point %39.1% · 35.1%Ball care17.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HFenerbahce80-79
03/12/23AJoventut Badalona72-77
01/12/23AValencia98-84
26/11/23HManresa94-86
24/11/23HMonaco75-77
19/11/23HValencia83-74
17/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne88-81
15/11/23HBarcelona94-71
12/11/23AObradoiro CAB95-108 OT
09/11/23AOlympiacos75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AValencia81-85
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83
27/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto90-67
24/11/23HOlimpia Milano71-93
20/11/23HMornar Bar95-75
16/11/23AOlympiacos83-88
14/11/23HFenerbahce87-56
12/11/23AZadar81-74
10/11/23ABarcelona81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%43%80%
Points / game82.880.086.6
Allowed / game82.080.684.0
Point differential+0.8-0.6+2.6
Avg total164.8160.6170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game81.983.280.7
Allowed / game80.575.885.2
Point differential+1.4+7.3-4.5
Avg total162.4159.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)-0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%89.275.8+13.4
2 Barcelona129375%83.477.3+6.1
3 Virtus Bologna128467%82.881.2+1.6
4 Monaco138562%79.778.4+1.3
5 Baskonia127558%82.882.0+0.8
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv127558%85.586.6-1.1
7 Olympiacos137654%78.075.8+2.2
8 Partizan137654%87.285.5+1.7
9 Anadolu Efes137654%81.586.4-4.8
10 Fenerbahce126650%80.881.2-0.4
11 Valencia126650%74.877.2-2.4
12 Panathinaikos136746%81.480.5+0.8
13 Bayern136746%79.280.8-1.7
14 Zalgiris Kaunas135838%78.680.3-1.7
15 Crvena zvezda124833%81.980.5+1.4
16 Olimpia Milano134931%78.978.6+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1221017%82.289.9-7.7
18 Alba Berlin1321115%76.786.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2626152087
Crvena zvezda1825192385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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