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Baskonia vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record1-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Baskonia v Crvena zvezda
05 Feb 2027
BAS v CZV
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
BAS100
CZV108
02 Jan 2025
BAS73
CZV75
08 Dec 2023
BAS87
CZV85
19 Oct 2022
BAS92
CZV75
16 Nov 2021
BAS93
CZV74
26 Feb 2021
BAS87
CZV67
02 Feb 2018
BAS103
CZV84
24 Jan 2017
BAS69
CZV87
13 Nov 2014
BAS66
CZV86
07 Nov 2013
BAS63
CZV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 84
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 84
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 84
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#16
W
106-83
106
83
+23
104avg 84
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
18-23
20-19
22-23
6-15
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.991.9171.8-12.09%
Season at home (5)84.894.2179.0-9.420%
Season away (6)75.890.0165.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.192.8172.9-12.79%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker (8)104.885.2190.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Paris
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 84
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 84
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 84
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
105avg 84
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
18-18
31-22
13-23
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
28-18
27-26
22-17
23-21
19-11
21-11
11-19
11-16
29-28
22-18
21-14
19-20
20-38
21-18
18-26
25-23
168.9Avg total
89.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.377.7161.0+5.564%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)89.079.9168.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)88.079.4167.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0103.0185.0-21.00%
vs Similar (14)84.385.9170.2-1.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.979.0168.9+10.987%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
BaskoniaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.348.288.5-7.99%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker (8)50.439.890.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
45.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.287.4+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.788.6+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.986.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.886.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.939.784.5+5.273%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
55.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
77.1%18.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
77.1%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWWWLWW
#20
League position
#6
-5.0
Net rating
+14.0
94.9
Offensive rating
106.5
99.9
Defensive rating
92.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
59.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
37.9%
65.6%
Assist %
71.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 106.5Defence99.9 · 92.5Shooting51.4% · 59.7%3-point %33.2% · 37.9%Ball care16.2% · 13.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Crvena zvezda wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APartizan66-80
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AReal Madrid84-105
09/11/26HSlovan Bratislava91-80
06/11/26AOlympiacos62-57
01/11/26HSiroki Brijeg100-82
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78
16/10/26HParis90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game79.984.875.8
Allowed / game91.994.290.0
Point differential-12.0-9.4-14.2
Avg total171.8179.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.387.877.8
Allowed / game77.778.077.4
Point differential+5.5+9.8+0.4
Avg total161.0165.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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