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Estudiantes vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 84-86
19-16 28-22 11-19 26-29
Position#18
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game90.5
Estudiantes
Spain
vs
Baskonia 🏆
Spain
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
SpainACBRound 3
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Estudiantes v Baskonia
26 Sep 2020
EST84
BAS86
28 Oct 2018
EST67
BAS100
28 Jan 2018
EST87
BAS89
26 Mar 2017
EST70
BAS76
11 Oct 2015
EST58
BAS85
10 May 2015
EST86
BAS76
16 Mar 2014
EST84
BAS87
06 Jan 2013
EST68
BAS72
20 Nov 2011
EST54
BAS74
03 Jan 2011
EST72
BAS70
23 May 2010
EST83
BAS85
14 Mar 2010
EST74
BAS58
09 May 2009
EST83
BAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A28/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H01/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H06/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H13/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H29/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H07/03
Liga A
Libertad
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H14/03
Liga A
Manresa
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H20/09
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A24/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
7-21
26-20
23-17
16-30
16-23
29-17
14-33
20-14
16-22
22-19
16-26
12-14
17-11
24-22
13-16
16-26
22-21
25-30
23-20
21-20
13-22
19-18
15-22
9-14
21-20
23-9
20-26
10-16
10-16
17-14
18-18
18-25
19-15
25-21
22-27
15-24
21-15
21-31
23-23
155.1Avg total
73.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.090.5172.5-8.50%
Season at home (1)84.088.0172.0-4.00%
Season away (1)80.093.0173.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)73.381.8155.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)72.079.2151.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)71.078.5149.4-7.527%
vs Similar (2)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (2)70.576.0146.5-5.50%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H24/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H26/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H28/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A03/05
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H05/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A09/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H12/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H20/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A24/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
21-18
20-16
18-22
22-20
26-19
23-29
12-24
29-20
24-24
27-29
21-19
17-18
15-16
25-17
27-21
11-14
30-17
24-18
17-22
22-20
23-19
25-13
17-25
22-20
19-17
21-22
25-20
14-22
14-13
17-25
23-12
25-16
19-19
14-20
18-18
23-13
18-14
27-32
21-14
161.9Avg total
83.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.573.0155.5+9.5100%
Season at home (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.478.5161.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)81.474.8156.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.385.4165.7-5.129%
vs Similar (7)75.673.9149.4+1.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.977.1168.0+13.793%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
EstudiantesBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A28/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H01/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H13/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/03
Liga A
Libertad
#20
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H14/03
Liga A
Manresa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/09
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/09
ACB
70.4Avg total
31.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.969.9-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.136.168.1-4.035%-
Last 30 away (13)31.940.272.2-8.315%-
Last 10 (10)31.538.970.4-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.468.8-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.137.769.8-5.627%-
vs Similar (2)30.543.073.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker (2)32.035.067.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H24/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H28/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A03/05
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A09/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H12/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A24/09
ACB
77.9Avg total
41.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.978.1+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.137.379.3+4.878%-
Last 30 away (12)37.338.876.2-1.542%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.777.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.674.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.641.485.0+2.171%-
vs Similar (7)34.937.472.3-2.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.936.177.9+5.879%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.5
53.0%
53.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
36.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.715.3
73.9%
76.6%15.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
53.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.8
39.8%
36.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
76.6%14.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LLLWLLWLLL
Baskonia
WWLWWWWWLL
#18
League position
#5
-6.1
Net rating
+8.9
113.7
Offensive rating
110.8
119.8
Defensive rating
101.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.4%
3-point %
39.8%
54.1%
Assist %
66.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 110.8Defence119.8 · 101.9Shooting54.4% · 55.3%3-point %37.4% · 39.8%Ball care15.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
9
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/19Baskonia v Estudiantes104-67
28/10/18Estudiantes v Baskonia67-100
28/01/18Estudiantes v Baskonia87-89
05/10/17Baskonia v Estudiantes94-76
26/03/17Estudiantes v Baskonia70-76
11/12/16Baskonia v Estudiantes82-77
28/02/16Baskonia v Estudiantes107-77
11/10/15Estudiantes v Baskonia58-85
10/05/15Estudiantes v Baskonia86-76
04/01/15Baskonia v Estudiantes94-59
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/20AMurcia80-93
20/09/20HManresa84-88
14/03/20HLibertad55-64
07/03/20HRegatas73-69
29/02/20HBoca Juniors68-82
13/02/20HQuimsa86-97
06/02/20HObras Sanitarias66-63
01/02/20HComunicaciones Mercedes74-81
28/01/20AObras Sanitarias75-103
26/01/20AFerro72-78
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/20AFuenlabrada89-73
20/09/20HValencia76-73
12/09/20HBarcelona68-72
11/05/19HSan Pablo Burgos87-79
09/05/19AGipuzkoa87-77
05/05/19HManresa82-71
03/05/19ABarcelona84-72
28/04/19HFuenlabrada101-92
26/04/19HCSKA Moscow83-92
24/04/19HCSKA Moscow77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.084.080.0
Allowed / game90.588.093.0
Point differential-8.5-4.0-13.0
Avg total172.5172.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.576.089.0
Allowed / game73.073.073.0
Point differential+9.5+3.0+16.0
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid220100%94.076.5+17.5
2 Joventut Badalona220100%79.565.0+14.5
3 Obradoiro CAB220100%90.579.0+11.5
4 Baskonia220100%82.573.0+9.5
5 Barcelona220100%84.078.0+6.0
6 Tenerife330100%85.379.3+6.0
7 San Pablo Burgos21150%89.074.5+14.5
8 Valencia21150%82.076.0+6.0
9 MoraBanc Andorra21150%80.078.5+1.5
10 Manresa21150%82.082.0+0.0
11 Gran Canaria21150%83.597.0-13.5
12 Murcia31233%80.382.7-2.3
13 Bilbao2020%86.094.0-8.0
14 Estudiantes2020%82.090.5-8.5
15 Unicaja2020%71.580.0-8.5
16 Basket Zaragoza2020%84.596.5-12.0
17 Gipuzkoa1010%70.086.0-16.0
18 Fuenlabrada2020%77.595.0-17.5
19 Real Betis1010%57.078.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1928112684
Baskonia1622192986
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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