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Basquet Girona vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game95.4
Basquet Girona
Spain
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Breogan
Spain
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.1
SpainACBRound 18· Pavello Fontajau
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basquet Girona v Breogan
17 Jan 2027
GIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
GIR103
BRE80
12 Apr 2025
GIR91
BRE85
18 Nov 2023
GIR87
BRE83
04 Dec 2022
GIR66
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basquet Girona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Oostende
#21
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 79
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
109-68
109
68
+41
118avg 79
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
91avg 79
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
L
79-81
79
81
-2
55avg 79
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
78-107
78
107
-29
63avg 79
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
17-19
26-18
23-24
28-23
25-25
21-28
36-14
30-16
27-13
26-20
26-19
17-27
28-14
27-22
29-24
26-17
22-17
19-24
12-23
21-23
19-25
20-30
18-29
12-14
36-20
22-16
20-16
19-25
27-19
20-23
26-20
29-17
21-20
15-23
27-24
22-14
16-27
18-18
14-23
174.0Avg total
91.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.195.4183.5-7.250%
Season at home (4)96.885.2182.0+11.5100%
Season away (4)79.5105.5185.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)91.282.8174.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)84.485.2169.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.592.8177.3-8.231%
vs Similar (10)87.287.4174.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (7)91.376.3167.6+15.086%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 90
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 90
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 90
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 90
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 90
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 90
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 90
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 90
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
205.1Avg total
105.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.8100.1204.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)108.5102.2210.8+6.275%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Basquet GironaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#21
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/11
ACB
85.7Avg total
46.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.785.1+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.283.0+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.786.9-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.085.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.045.186.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.984.5+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)47.736.484.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/11
ACB
94.8Avg total
50.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.091.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.744.392.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.690.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.394.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (11)43.745.989.6-2.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)51.142.193.2+9.082%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.5
59.6%
55.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
36.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
76.0%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basquet Girona
LWWWLLWWWW
Breogan
WLWLLWWWLW
#10
League position
#6
+1.0
Net rating
+11.0
100.3
Offensive rating
114.3
99.3
Defensive rating
103.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
64.1%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
44.8%
54.2%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 114.3Defence99.3 · 103.4Shooting56.6% · 64.1%3-point %35.5% · 44.8%Ball care17.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Basquet Girona   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basquet Girona wins
6
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Breogan v Basquet Girona115-92
16/05/26Breogan v Basquet Girona95-76
06/12/25Basquet Girona v Breogan103-80
12/04/25Basquet Girona v Breogan91-85
21/12/24Breogan v Basquet Girona77-74
21/01/24Breogan v Basquet Girona93-75
18/11/23Basquet Girona v Breogan87-83
05/02/23Breogan v Basquet Girona92-70
04/12/22Basquet Girona v Breogan66-73
Basquet Gironalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUnicaja70-82
11/11/26ADinamo Bucharest92-84
07/11/26HBilbao92-87
03/11/26HLevice90-66
31/10/26ABasket Zaragoza78-107
28/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj79-81
25/10/26HJoventut Badalona101-87
20/10/26HZielona Gora109-68
18/10/26HLeyma Coruna110-90
13/10/26AOostende91-76
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos119-110
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basquet Girona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.196.879.5
Allowed / game95.485.2105.5
Point differential-7.2+11.5-26.0
Avg total183.5182.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game104.8108.5101.0
Allowed / game100.1102.298.0
Point differential+4.6+6.2+3.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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