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Breogan vs Basquet Girona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-76
16-9 29-22 25-22 25-23
Position#11
Record14-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game93.5
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record13-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game89.2
SpainACBRound 32· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Basquet Girona
10 Oct 2026
BRE115
GIR92
16 May 2026
BRE95
GIR76
21 Dec 2024
BRE77
GIR74
21 Jan 2024
BRE93
GIR75
05 Feb 2023
BRE92
GIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 80
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
71avg 80
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 80
H28/03
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
84avg 80
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
97-99
97
99
-2
89avg 80
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
95avg 80
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 80
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
84-112
84
112
-28
74avg 80
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
101-97
101
97
+4
95avg 80
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
114-87
114
87
+27
118avg 80
H13/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-26
27-22
21-29
30-24
13-20
26-13
14-18
15-26
24-17
23-20
29-15
25-31
16-20
32-33
15-21
20-19
28-26
29-21
20-33
21-21
29-22
20-26
29-25
22-19
16-19
29-20
26-28
24-27
16-25
22-28
22-32
15-18
28-28
28-21
30-30
35-26
28-12
25-24
26-25
187.3Avg total
94.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.093.5184.5-2.545%
Season at home (15)94.594.5189.0+0.147%
Season away (16)87.892.6180.4-4.944%
Last 10 (10)94.093.3187.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)98.295.2193.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)89.2100.0189.2-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.193.1186.2+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)95.077.2172.2+17.8100%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 78
H15/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
75avg 78
A22/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
90avg 78
H28/03
ACB
Granada
#18
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
A04/04
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
85avg 78
A11/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
69avg 78
H19/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 78
A25/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
92avg 78
H02/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
60avg 78
A09/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 78
H12/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-15
19-17
22-31
23-21
21-22
23-26
14-25
13-22
23-15
24-29
33-29
24-21
18-22
26-16
23-25
21-26
22-24
20-22
31-25
19-20
21-25
19-21
22-18
24-16
20-31
23-17
23-36
32-17
26-15
14-28
18-21
18-18
23-27
17-23
17-18
22-15
21-17
12-16
19-31
172.6Avg total
85.1Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.389.2175.5-2.942%
Season at home (16)86.484.6171.1+1.850%
Season away (15)86.194.1180.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)85.187.5172.6-2.430%
Last 5 (5)82.086.0168.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.591.3172.7-9.818%
vs Similar ◀ (17)89.888.5178.4+1.353%
vs Weaker (2)86.580.0166.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
BreoganBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H28/03
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/05
ACB
89.6Avg total
44.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.746.990.6-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.346.492.7-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.588.6-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.989.6-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.490.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.847.789.4-5.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.248.893.0-4.629%-
vs Weaker (4)47.838.286.0+9.550%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H15/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/03
ACB
Granada
#18
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A04/04
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H19/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A25/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H02/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H12/05
ACB
83.3Avg total
43.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.585.5+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.538.682.1+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.446.989.4-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.183.3+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.285.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.142.581.6-3.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.042.488.4+3.659%-
vs Weaker (2)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.3
56.6%
50.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.4
39.9%
42.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
74.7%14.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.1
53.1%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.6
35.3%
42.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
74.7%14.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WWLWWLLWWL
Basquet Girona
LLWLLLWLLW
#11
League position
#12
+0.3
Net rating
-2.7
103.4
Offensive rating
94.9
103.1
Defensive rating
97.6
57.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.9%
3-point %
35.3%
56.7%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 94.9Defence103.1 · 97.6Shooting57.9% · 53.0%3-point %39.9% · 35.3%Ball care15.7% · 16.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Breogan   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
3
Basquet Girona wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HForca Lleida114-87
10/05/26AReal Madrid101-97
03/05/26ABaskonia84-112
26/04/26HJoventut Badalona93-86
19/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos99-94
11/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-99
05/04/26AValencia88-105
28/03/26HManresa91-78
22/03/26AGran Canaria83-75
14/03/26ABilbao90-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/26HManresa74-79
09/05/26AMurcia75-86
02/05/26HBasket Zaragoza90-81
25/04/26AGran Canaria90-100
19/04/26HValencia81-84
11/04/26ATenerife94-97
04/04/26AGranada91-84
28/03/26HReal Madrid93-95
22/03/26ABaskonia81-94
15/03/26HMoraBanc Andorra82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLWLWW47%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game91.094.587.8
Allowed / game93.594.592.6
Point differential-2.5+0.1-4.9
Avg total184.5189.0180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game86.386.486.1
Allowed / game89.284.694.1
Point differential-2.9+1.8-8.0
Avg total175.5171.1180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3126584%93.885.0+8.8
2 Barcelona3122971%89.381.3+7.9
3 Murcia3122971%90.684.6+6.1
4 Baskonia3122971%92.886.9+5.9
5 Valencia3021970%94.283.4+10.8
6 Joventut Badalona29181162%84.881.1+3.7
7 Tenerife30171357%88.585.2+3.3
8 Bilbao31171455%84.886.3-1.5
9 Unicaja30161453%88.286.6+1.5
10 Breogan31141745%91.093.5-2.5
11 Basquet Girona31131842%86.389.2-2.9
12 Manresa31131842%85.591.3-5.8
13 Forca Lleida31112035%83.890.1-6.3
14 San Pablo Burgos31102132%89.592.8-3.3
15 Gran Canaria31102132%81.686.0-4.3
16 Basket Zaragoza3092130%86.992.8-5.8
17 MoraBanc Andorra3192229%86.593.4-6.9
18 Granada3162519%82.690.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1629252595
Basquet Girona922222376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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