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Breogan vs Basquet Girona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-74
16-24 26-8 17-27 18-15
Position#13
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game85.3
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#14
Record2-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game89.9
SpainACBRound 12· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Basquet Girona
10 Oct 2026
BRE115
GIR92
16 May 2026
BRE95
GIR76
21 Dec 2024
BRE77
GIR74
21 Jan 2024
BRE93
GIR75
05 Feb 2023
BRE92
GIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
54avg 65
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 65
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 65
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
53-111
53
111
-58
32avg 65
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 65
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 65
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 65
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 65
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 65
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
49avg 65
A15/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
25-13
15-37
19-14
18-16
18-19
25-22
15-13
22-29
20-16
15-16
20-20
18-24
11-32
13-28
11-27
21-17
15-20
20-26
22-16
27-17
11-19
18-20
21-14
17-15
9-23
17-22
20-19
16-23
24-25
22-21
12-23
21-19
18-22
20-19
23-13
8-19
21-24
19-27
21-36
157.2Avg total
72.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.485.3157.6-12.927%
Season at home (5)76.281.8158.0-5.620%
Season away (6)69.288.2157.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)72.484.8157.2-12.430%
Last 5 (5)73.084.0157.0-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.580.5153.0-8.129%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.880.8157.6-4.133%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 69
H06/10
ACB
Granada
#17
L
52-82
52
82
-30
38avg 69
H12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
52avg 69
A20/10
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 69
H26/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
52avg 69
A02/11
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
88avg 69
H10/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
83avg 69
A17/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
85-98
85
98
-13
73avg 69
H30/11
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
78-98
78
98
-20
67avg 69
A07/12
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
81-98
81
98
-17
66avg 69
H14/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
26-13
18-23
22-19
10-14
15-19
13-27
14-22
18-23
16-22
15-31
18-19
20-21
13-19
17-20
25-22
17-21
8-13
19-28
24-21
17-23
19-16
22-22
30-27
15-22
22-20
25-25
22-22
12-31
24-13
27-28
22-26
22-21
23-23
15-26
18-28
16-23
9-34
23-15
33-26
167.3Avg total
77.4Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.089.9166.9-12.918%
Season at home (6)79.589.0168.5-9.533%
Season away (5)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)77.489.9167.3-12.520%
Last 5 (5)85.695.4181.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.788.2165.9-10.524%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.285.2165.3-5.031%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
BreoganBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/12
ACB
77.1Avg total
35.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.975.1-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.137.275.4+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.540.474.9-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.577.1-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.275.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.238.674.8-2.447%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.539.776.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/10
ACB
Granada
#17
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/10
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/11
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A17/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H30/11
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A07/12
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
25-57
25
57
-32
H14/12
ACB
75.6Avg total
34.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.378.6-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.240.576.7-4.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.544.180.6-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.675.6-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.281.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.843.981.8-6.124%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.540.174.5-5.623%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.9
46.4%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
35.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
76.4%13.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
35.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
76.4%17.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLLWLLLWL
Basquet Girona
LLLLWLLLLW
#13
League position
#14
-16.5
Net rating
-16.2
96.1
Offensive rating
99.0
112.6
Defensive rating
115.2
45.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.1%
3-point %
30.2%
55.5%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 99.0Defence112.6 · 115.2Shooting45.9% · 47.4%3-point %30.1% · 30.2%Ball care20.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Breogan   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
1
Basquet Girona wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Breogan v Basquet Girona93-75
18/11/23Basquet Girona v Breogan87-83
05/02/23Breogan v Basquet Girona92-70
04/12/22Basquet Girona v Breogan66-73
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AReal Madrid69-106
08/12/24AGran Canaria82-73
30/11/24HGranada74-92
16/11/24AMurcia63-79
10/11/24HBarcelona77-70
07/11/24HTenerife78-79
02/11/24ABasket Zaragoza53-111
27/10/24HForca Lleida77-81
19/10/24AJoventut Badalona76-70
13/10/24HValencia75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HLeyma Coruna81-98
07/12/24AValencia78-98
30/11/24HMoraBanc Andorra85-98
17/11/24AGran Canaria84-89
10/11/24HBilbao100-94 OT
02/11/24AJoventut Badalona68-83
26/10/24HMurcia75-82
20/10/24AReal Madrid67-95
12/10/24HGranada52-82
06/10/24HManresa84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game72.476.269.2
Allowed / game85.381.888.2
Point differential-12.9-5.6-19.0
Avg total157.6158.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game77.079.574.0
Allowed / game89.989.091.0
Point differential-12.9-9.5-17.0
Avg total166.9168.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia119282%95.683.6+12.0
2 Real Madrid118373%88.376.1+12.2
3 Unicaja118373%88.383.7+4.5
4 Tenerife117464%86.282.8+3.4
5 Gran Canaria117464%81.078.1+2.9
6 Basket Zaragoza117464%91.589.0+2.5
7 Manresa116555%86.180.9+5.2
8 Barcelona116555%89.186.7+2.4
9 Joventut Badalona116555%81.980.5+1.4
10 MoraBanc Andorra115645%88.388.7-0.5
11 Murcia115645%80.382.0-1.7
12 Baskonia115645%85.889.0-3.2
13 Granada114736%77.480.0-2.6
14 Forca Lleida114736%83.886.9-3.1
15 Leyma Coruna114736%85.090.6-5.6
16 Bilbao113827%80.284.1-3.9
17 Breogan113827%72.485.3-12.9
18 Basquet Girona112918%77.089.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1626171877
Basquet Girona248271574
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