Pato vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 82-70

14-11 24-13 18-25 26-21

Position#12

Record10-22

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game84.4

Pato 🏆

Paulistano

Position#5

Record21-11

FormWLLWW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game73.3

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Pato v Paulistano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

88-80

H06/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-102

102

-24

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#14

82-87

-5

H02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

82-71

+11

H04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

69-76

-7

A09/03

NBB

Bauru

55-74

-19

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

66-68

-2

H22/03

NBB

Minas

90-82

A31/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

91-64

+27

H07/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

98-91

H10/04

NBB

24-11

22-18

20-16

22-35

24-24

23-25

12-36

19-17

26-27

13-23

18-21

25-16

22-16

19-12

16-25

25-18

19-23

11-15

16-15

23-23

24-19

11-16

13-23

7-16

14-18

20-19

18-9

14-22

20-18

19-30

26-15

25-19

20-16

29-19

22-12

20-17

28-26

19-21

23-23

28-21

159.4Avg total

79.9Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.8	84.4	162.2	-6.5	31%
Season at home (16)	76.8	81.4	158.2	-4.6	38%
Season away (16)	78.9	87.3	166.2	-8.4	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	79.5	159.4	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	75.8	155.8	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	76.3	86.8	163.2	-10.5	17%
vs Similar (8)	78.8	77.0	155.8	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (4)	90.5	89.8	180.2	+0.8	75%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

70-80

-10

A11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

74-67

A14/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

83-58

+25

H06/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

82-80

H09/03

NBB

Cerrado

#17

91-77

+14

H13/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

77-71

A23/03

NBB

Minas

70-105

105

-35

A03/04

NBB

Flamengo

70-83

-13

A05/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

99-57

+42

H11/04

NBB

Brasilia

#15

113-71

113

+42

H13/04

NBB

19-18

24-19

13-20

14-23

23-21

14-22

11-13

26-11

18-15

21-13

26-13

18-17

20-17

23-18

12-18

27-27

23-18

14-21

23-21

31-17

18-13

23-28

22-16

14-14

18-22

19-20

17-30

16-33

20-26

16-21

19-25

15-11

33-7

23-19

19-13

24-18

27-14

28-14

23-25

35-18

157.8Avg total

82.9Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	78.4	73.3	151.7	+5.1	66%
Season at home (16)	81.8	71.6	153.4	+10.2	75%
Season away (16)	74.9	75.1	150.0	-0.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	74.9	157.8	+8.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	77.4	163.2	+8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	81.0	153.7	-8.3	0%
vs Similar (9)	77.2	76.1	153.3	+1.1	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	81.6	69.5	151.1	+12.2	94%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoPaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.9	40.2	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.4	19.4	38.9	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.4	38.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.2	39.2	+4.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	17.6	36.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.4	39.6	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.1	18.4	42.6	+5.7	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	22.3	41.7	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	39%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	26.5	47.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.2	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.4	37.7	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	20.6	37.9	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	41%	-

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

46-29

+17

H06/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

47-49

-2

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#14

39-50

-11

H02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

41-28

+13

H04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

30-38

-8

A09/03

NBB

Bauru

35-35

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

34-37

-3

H22/03

NBB

Minas

39-48

-9

A31/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

49-35

+14

H07/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

47-47

H10/04

NBB

80.3Avg total

40.7Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	42.0	80.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	44.2	81.9	-6.4	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	39.6	80.3	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.8	40.9	79.7	-2.2	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	48.8	91.2	-6.2	0%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

43-37

A11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

37-43

-6

A14/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

39-28

+11

H06/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-35

H09/03

NBB

Cerrado

#17

37-39

-2

H13/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

41-41

A23/03

NBB

Minas

37-42

-5

A03/04

NBB

Flamengo

36-47

-11

A05/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

56-26

+30

H11/04

NBB

Brasilia

#15

55-28

+27

H13/04

NBB

79.0Avg total

42.4Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	35.6	76.9	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	36.6	79.0	+5.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	36.8	81.8	+8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	39.0	80.4	+2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.0	35.0	74.0	+4.0	65%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.6	23.2	40.7	-5.6	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	15.6	35.0	+3.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	20.2	44.5	+4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.6	36.1	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.9	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.0	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	20.8	42.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	21.8	41.3	-2.2	28%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	20.8	44.5	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.0	81.7	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	42.0	80.6	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	42.1	82.7	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.9	79.1	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.4	74.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.1	44.9	82.1	-7.8	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.7	74.9	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	35.8	75.9	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	35.7	73.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.3	78.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	39.0	72.7	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.1	36.8	71.9	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.6	34.5	77.1	+8.2	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/23	Pato v Paulistano	75-87
24/10/22	Paulistano v Pato	76-69
26/01/22	Paulistano v Pato	82-86
30/10/21	Pato v Paulistano	55-68
02/04/21	Pato v Paulistano	49-87
12/12/20	Paulistano v Pato	75-68
27/12/19	Paulistano v Pato	74-96

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/23	H	Cerrado	98-91
07/04/23	H	Brasilia	91-64
31/03/23	A	Minas	90-82
22/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	66-68
11/03/23	A	Bauru	55-74
09/03/23	A	Pinheiros	69-76
04/03/23	H	Unifacisa	82-71
02/03/23	H	Cearense	82-87
15/02/23	A	Corinthians Paulista	78-102
06/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	88-80

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/23	H	Brasilia	113-71
11/04/23	H	Sao Paulo	99-57
05/04/23	A	Flamengo	70-83
03/04/23	A	Minas	70-105
23/03/23	A	Sao Jose	77-71
13/03/23	H	Cerrado	91-77
09/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	82-80
06/03/23	H	Caxias do Sul	83-58
14/02/23	A	Pinheiros	74-67
11/02/23	A	Bauru	70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	31%
Home	LWLWW	38%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	31%	38%	25%
Points / game	77.8	76.8	78.9
Allowed / game	84.4	81.4	87.3
Point differential	-6.5	-4.6	-8.4
Avg total	162.2	158.2	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	19%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	33% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Paulistano

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	66%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	LWWLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	66%	75%	56%
Points / game	78.4	81.8	74.9
Allowed / game	73.3	71.6	75.1
Point differential	+5.1	+10.2	-0.1
Avg total	151.7	153.4	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	50%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	75% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	32	32	0	100%	90.5	77.0	+13.5
2	Flamengo	32	28	4	88%	84.6	69.0	+15.6
3	Minas	32	22	10	69%	86.5	78.9	+7.7
4	Sao Paulo	32	22	10	69%	85.6	79.6	+6.0
5	Paulistano	32	21	11	66%	78.4	73.3	+5.1
6	Pinheiros	32	20	12	62%	81.2	77.8	+3.4
7	Bauru	33	20	13	61%	78.6	71.3	+7.3
8	Corinthians Paulista	32	17	15	53%	81.2	79.0	+2.2
9	Unifacisa	32	16	16	50%	77.7	79.4	-1.8
10	Sao Jose	33	15	18	45%	81.1	82.9	-1.8
11	Caxias do Sul	32	12	20	38%	73.3	76.5	-3.2
12	Uniao Corinthians	32	10	22	31%	78.6	82.4	-3.9
13	Pato	32	10	22	31%	77.8	84.4	-6.5
14	Cearense	32	9	23	28%	73.8	83.8	-10.0
15	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	77.7	87.8	-10.2
16	Rio Claro	32	7	25	22%	75.9	88.4	-12.5
17	Cerrado	32	5	27	16%	81.3	92.4	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	14	24	18	26	82
Paulistano	11	13	25	21	70

← all games of the day

Pato vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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