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Bauru vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 73-85
18-21 12-29 26-22 17-13
Position#4
Record11-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#12
Record10-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game75.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Paulistano
26 Apr 2026
BAUR88
PAUL75
24 Apr 2026
BAUR80
PAUL95
15 Jan 2026
BAUR87
PAUL89
03 May 2025
BAUR85
PAUL80
27 Apr 2025
BAUR60
PAUL62
25 Apr 2025
BAUR81
PAUL63
20 Jan 2025
BAUR73
PAUL85
26 Oct 2023
BAUR75
PAUL71
11 Feb 2023
BAUR80
PAUL70
06 Jan 2022
BAUR97
PAUL98
28 Apr 2021
BAUR66
PAUL78
08 Dec 2020
BAUR81
PAUL62
13 Nov 2019
BAUR74
PAUL82
06 Dec 2018
BAUR85
PAUL64
11 May 2018
BAUR82
PAUL75
30 Apr 2018
BAUR72
PAUL78
04 Nov 2017
BAUR72
PAUL71
17 Jun 2017
BAUR92
PAUL73
04 Jun 2017
BAUR90
PAUL79
02 Jun 2017
BAUR74
PAUL78
31 Jan 2017
BAUR78
PAUL68
26 Mar 2016
BAUR78
PAUL63
18 Nov 2014
BAUR81
PAUL74
01 Feb 2014
BAUR77
PAUL90
30 Mar 2013
BAUR66
PAUL64
05 Jan 2012
BAUR96
PAUL73
13 Apr 2011
BAUR92
PAUL66
11 Apr 2011
BAUR90
PAUL69
11 Feb 2011
BAUR77
PAUL66
13 Feb 2009
BAUR88
PAUL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
66avg 73
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 73
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
20-20
17-22
14-6
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
156.6Avg total
76.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.079.5157.4-1.555%
Season at home (9)79.274.7153.9+4.689%
Season away (11)77.083.4160.4-6.427%
Last 10 (10)76.480.2156.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)71.481.6153.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.277.2155.4+1.162%
vs Weaker (7)78.776.9155.6+1.971%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
52avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
63avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 70
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
102-87
102
87
+15
105avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 70
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 70
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
79avg 70
A18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
20-21
9-12
21-18
16-15
12-16
23-23
19-22
16-15
14-16
23-15
25-19
20-17
17-19
20-17
25-19
32-21
22-27
24-22
24-17
27-24
20-18
20-21
15-23
18-30
27-18
10-27
20-14
24-15
19-29
21-18
16-14
25-9
14-17
19-17
18-20
20-22
18-21
22-20
17-14
156.0Avg total
79.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.275.5153.6+2.750%
Season at home (11)78.875.5154.4+3.355%
Season away (9)77.375.3152.7+2.044%
Last 10 (10)79.676.4156.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)79.879.6159.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.484.6162.0-7.114%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.172.3151.4+6.862%
vs Weaker (10)76.864.8141.6+12.070%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
BauruPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
77.8Avg total
37.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.577.4-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.037.975.9+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.978.6-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.877.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.479.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.536.875.2+1.869%-
vs Weaker (7)38.737.776.4+1.043%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
NBB
78.1Avg total
39.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.176.8+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.436.976.4+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)40.137.277.3+2.846%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.578.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.683.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.043.983.9-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.136.876.9+3.238%-
vs Weaker (10)39.032.671.6+6.470%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.9
46.3%
50.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.2
30.8%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.613.6
63.0%
72.7%13.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.1
50.8%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.813.3
74.7%
72.7%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLLLLLWLWW
Paulistano
WWWLLWWWLL
#4
League position
#12
-6.0
Net rating
+4.7
97.7
Offensive rating
109.7
103.6
Defensive rating
105.0
46.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.8%
3-point %
37.1%
60.9%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 109.7Defence103.6 · 105.0Shooting46.2% · 52.7%3-point %30.8% · 37.1%Ball care18.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Bauru   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bauru wins
4
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
28/10/24Paulistano v Bauru79-83
08/01/24Paulistano v Bauru55-66
26/10/23Bauru v Paulistano75-71
11/02/23Bauru v Paulistano80-70
19/11/22Paulistano v Bauru71-68 OT
04/03/22Paulistano v Bauru53-65
06/01/22Bauru v Paulistano97-98
02/05/21Paulistano v Bauru78-65
30/04/21Paulistano v Bauru77-87
28/04/21Bauru v Paulistano66-78
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66
30/11/24HUnifacisa70-61
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AFranca86-84 OT
10/01/25HMogi76-63
28/12/24HSao Paulo80-76
23/12/24HFlamengo75-89
20/12/24AMinas82-86
18/12/24ABrasilia102-87
12/12/24HCaxias do Sul82-72
10/12/24HUniao Corinthians78-65
04/12/24HVasco70-76
17/11/24APato65-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%89%27%
Points / game78.079.277.0
Allowed / game79.574.783.4
Point differential-1.4+4.6-6.4
Avg total157.4153.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game78.278.877.3
Allowed / game75.575.575.3
Point differential+2.7+3.3+2.0
Avg total153.6154.4152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Uniao Corinthians2012860%78.378.5-0.2
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Franca2011955%81.278.7+2.5
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
9 Paulistano20101050%78.275.5+2.7
10 Sao Jose20101050%76.675.3+1.2
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Sao Paulo20101050%78.078.3-0.3
13 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
14 Mogi2281436%73.078.6-5.6
15 Pato2171433%81.684.8-3.2
16 Botafogo2161529%72.880.9-8.1
17 Caxias do Sul2051525%72.479.0-6.7
18 Cearense2151624%70.077.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1812261773
Paulistano2129221385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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