Bayern vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 99-79

29-22 19-17 25-14 26-26

Position#1

Record26-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game75.6

Bayern 🏆

Crailsheim Merlins

Position#16

Record7-21

FormWWLLL

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game90.7

BBLRound 29

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBayern

Date

Competition

Mitteldeutscher

#15

92-67

+25

no box

H17/03

BBL

Olympiacos

69-89

-20

92avg 101

A19/03

Euroleague

Barcelona

73-71

70avg 101

H21/03

Euroleague

s.Oliver Wurzburg

81-70

+11

no box

A25/03

BBL

Darussafaka

#16

87-92

-5

83avg 101

A29/03

Euroleague

Ludwigsburg

#10

92-74

+18

no box

H31/03

BBL

Gran Canaria

#14

84-77

84avg 101

H05/04

Euroleague

Frankfurt

#11

91-87 OT

no box

A07/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

91-75

+16

no box

A11/04

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

84-73

+11

no box

H14/04

BBL

24-18

31-20

16-11

21-18

10-20

21-30

17-22

21-17

18-19

14-17

17-20

24-15

21-11

21-20

21-19

18-20

27-14

23-30

17-21

20-27

21-20

21-16

27-20

23-18

26-20

18-15

29-18

11-24

21-26

16-15

15-19

22-14

21-10

27-27

27-16

16-22

17-17

31-19

17-20

19-17

161.9Avg total

84.4Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	87.8	75.6	163.4	+12.2	93%
Season at home (14)	90.2	75.6	165.9	+14.6	100%
Season away (14)	85.4	75.5	160.9	+9.9	86%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	77.5	161.9	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	77.2	165.6	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.8	86.5	165.2	-7.8	25%
vs Similar (9)	74.7	78.3	153.0	-3.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.1	78.2	166.3	+9.9	88%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMerlins

Date

Competition

s.Oliver Wurzburg

75-87

-12

no box

A09/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

97-90

no box

H13/02

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

87-82

no box

A01/03

BBL

Bonn

87-88

-1

no box

H10/03

BBL

Ulm

87-99

-12

no box

A16/03

BBL

Bremerhaven

#17

86-80

no box

H20/03

BBL

Giessen

#13

115-114

115

114

no box

A30/03

BBL

Alba Berlin

69-105

105

-36

no box

H06/04

BBL

Bamberg

92-101

101

-9

no box

A14/04

BBL

Ulm

79-82

-3

no box

H18/04

BBL

20-21

18-22

22-18

15-26

21-26

22-14

33-24

20-29

20-16

21-17

26-20

25-22

26-19

18-21

18-26

9-27

31-18

23-26

24-28

19-21

10-15

30-20

27-24

32-31

33-28

21-27

29-28

25-21

12-29

15-29

17-26

23-22

26-29

22-26

21-24

21-27

27-24

14-9

17-22

180.2Avg total

87.4Scored

92.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.9	90.7	173.6	-7.9	25%
Season at home (14)	80.9	87.2	168.1	-6.4	29%
Season away (14)	84.9	94.2	179.1	-9.4	21%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	92.8	180.2	-5.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	96.4	184.6	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	80.5	91.0	171.5	-10.4	15%
vs Similar (9)	85.1	89.8	174.9	-4.7	44%
vs Weaker (1)	101.0	78.0	179.0	+23.0	100%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayernCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	19.2	40.8	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	19.9	38.9	-1.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	20.8	39.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.3	21.9	37.2	-6.6	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	18.1	41.1	+4.9	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	24.8	44.4	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	24.7	46.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.4	24.2	43.6	-4.9	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	24.2	44.3	-4.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	17.1	38.8	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	20.8	37.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.0	46.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.2	22.1	42.2	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mitteldeutscher

#15

55-38

+17

H17/03

BBL

Olympiacos

31-50

-19

A19/03

Euroleague

Barcelona

32-36

-4

H21/03

Euroleague

s.Oliver Wurzburg

42-31

+11

A25/03

BBL

Darussafaka

#16

50-44

A29/03

Euroleague

Ludwigsburg

#10

42-36

H31/03

BBL

Gran Canaria

#14

44-35

H05/04

Euroleague

Frankfurt

#11

37-41

-4

A07/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

48-37

+11

A11/04

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

48-36

+12

H14/04

BBL

81.3Avg total

42.9Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.8	81.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.5	36.2	79.7	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.7	42.6	82.3	-2.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	38.4	81.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	37.0	80.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	41.5	76.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.2	42.6	78.8	-6.3	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.5	38.0	83.5	+7.5	82%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

s.Oliver Wurzburg

38-43

-5

A09/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

42-52

-10

H13/02

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

40-45

-5

A01/03

BBL

Bonn

51-41

+10

H10/03

BBL

Ulm

40-45

-5

A16/03

BBL

Bremerhaven

#17

29-36

-7

H20/03

BBL

Giessen

#13

65-59

A30/03

BBL

Alba Berlin

37-50

-13

H06/04

BBL

Bamberg

49-51

-2

A14/04

BBL

Ulm

48-51

-3

H18/04

BBL

91.2Avg total

43.9Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	45.5	86.1	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	44.9	85.3	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	46.1	86.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	47.3	91.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	49.4	95.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.5	46.3	85.8	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.9	45.2	87.1	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	33.0	83.0	+17.0	100%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	17.0	46.0	+12.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	23.5	43.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.3	45.7	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	24.8	47.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	23.6	42.9	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	38.1	78.6	+2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.8	38.0	76.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	37.8	77.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.4	35.8	74.2	+2.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	40.6	38.8	79.4	+1.9	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	44.4	85.9	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	45.9	89.1	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	45.5	89.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	47.0	89.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.4	44.2	84.6	-3.9	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.2	44.6	87.8	-1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	45.0	96.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	17.9	53.6%	54.1%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	8.7	36.6%	34.0%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	77.0%	73.6%	13.7

They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.8	54.7%	54.1%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.3	36.6%	34.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	15.2	11.4	75.0%	73.6%	11.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.0	53.5%	54.1%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	8.2	37.6%	34.0%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	16.9	13.3	78.5%	73.6%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.5	55.4%	54.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.6	36.4%	34.0%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.8%	73.6%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayern wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/18	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern	71-96
22/04/16	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern	78-89
29/11/15	Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins	106-59
28/03/15	Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins	110-76
23/11/14	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern	66-103

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/19	H	Basketball Braunschweig	84-73
11/04/19	A	Ludwigsburg	91-75
07/04/19	A	Frankfurt	91-87 OT
05/04/19	H	Gran Canaria	84-77
31/03/19	H	Ludwigsburg	92-74
29/03/19	A	Darussafaka	87-92
25/03/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	81-70
21/03/19	H	Barcelona	73-71
19/03/19	A	Olympiacos	69-89
17/03/19	H	Mitteldeutscher	92-67

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/19	H	Ulm	79-82
14/04/19	A	Bamberg	92-101
06/04/19	H	Alba Berlin	69-105
30/03/19	A	Giessen	115-114
20/03/19	H	Bremerhaven	86-80
16/03/19	A	Ulm	87-99
10/03/19	H	Bonn	87-88
01/03/19	A	Mitteldeutscher	87-82
13/02/19	H	Bayreuth	97-90
09/02/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	93%	100%	86%
Points / game	87.8	90.2	85.4
Allowed / game	75.6	75.6	75.5
Point differential	+12.2	+14.6	+9.9
Avg total	163.4	165.9	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	79%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Crailsheim Merlins

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	25%
Home	WLWLL	29%
Away	LWLWL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	25%	29%	21%
Points / game	82.9	80.9	84.9
Allowed / game	90.7	87.2	94.2
Point differential	-7.9	-6.4	-9.4
Avg total	173.6	168.1	179.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	20% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	28	26	2	93%	87.8	75.6	+12.2
2	Oldenburg	29	24	5	83%	91.7	80.3	+11.4
3	Alba Berlin	26	21	5	81%	92.0	79.5	+12.6
4	Vechta	29	21	8	72%	86.4	81.1	+5.3
5	Bamberg	28	19	9	68%	88.2	84.8	+3.5
6	Ulm	28	16	12	57%	88.2	86.3	+1.9
7	Bonn	27	15	12	56%	86.4	86.6	-0.2
8	Basketball Braunschweig	29	15	14	52%	84.1	83.5	+0.6
9	s.Oliver Wurzburg	29	15	14	52%	81.9	81.6	+0.3
10	Ludwigsburg	28	13	15	46%	84.1	84.8	-0.7
11	Bayreuth	27	12	15	44%	86.1	86.4	-0.2
12	Frankfurt	28	12	16	43%	79.4	82.2	-2.8
13	Giessen	28	11	17	39%	91.2	93.7	-2.5
14	Gottingen	28	8	20	29%	77.6	82.8	-5.2
15	Mitteldeutscher	28	7	21	25%	82.5	89.0	-6.5
16	Crailsheim Merlins	28	7	21	25%	82.9	90.7	-7.9
17	Bremerhaven	29	6	23	21%	79.4	87.2	-7.8
18	Jena	29	5	24	17%	76.3	89.4	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayern	29	19	25	26	99
Crailsheim Merlins	22	17	14	26	79

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Bayern vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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