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Bayern vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-71
18-19 14-17 17-20 24-15
Position#12
Record12-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.9
Bayern 🏆
vs
Barcelona
Position#5
Record16-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v Barcelona
27 Oct 2026
BAY84
BAR88
12 Nov 2025
BAY74
BAR75
22 Nov 2024
BAY100
BAR78
28 Mar 2024
BAY79
BAR87
18 Oct 2022
BAY73
BAR84
29 Apr 2022
BAY59
BAR52
27 Apr 2022
BAY66
BAR75
07 Oct 2021
BAY72
BAR80
30 Dec 2020
BAY90
BAR77
21 Mar 2019
BAY73
BAR71
20 Nov 2014
BAY77
BAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A14/02
BBL
Real Madrid
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
102avg 103
A22/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
115avg 103
A01/03
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
70-77
70
77
-7
93avg 103
H07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#4
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
103avg 103
A14/03
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H17/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
92avg 103
A19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
24-17
17-19
18-17
13-27
27-23
20-17
22-16
17-22
22-20
13-29
26-20
25-17
16-27
25-15
23-16
27-14
28-23
23-24
13-19
17-18
14-15
16-25
23-19
20-26
20-27
15-26
20-14
20-22
15-26
18-21
26-16
24-18
31-20
16-11
21-18
10-20
21-30
17-22
21-17
161.3Avg total
80.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.880.9159.7-2.144%
Season at home (13)81.880.3162.1+1.562%
Season away (14)76.181.4157.5-5.429%
Last 10 (10)80.580.8161.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.284.3160.5-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.379.7157.0-2.545%
vs Weaker (13)88.377.9166.2+10.492%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
109avg 112
H21/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
108avg 112
H01/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
A03/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
96avg 112
A08/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
97-88
97
88
+9
no box
H10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
108avg 112
A15/03
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
128avg 112
H17/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
93-64
93
64
+29
123avg 112
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
24-14
31-23
20-34
20-16
15-19
11-25
31-17
22-9
24-17
16-19
15-22
16-17
26-20
14-14
21-19
18-13
15-21
16-16
21-21
12-24
19-18
22-22
17-28
27-22
26-14
21-18
23-34
23-16
15-21
23-15
21-36
10-22
26-17
34-20
20-17
22-19
16-16
25-11
30-18
163.7Avg total
84.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.676.3154.9+2.259%
Season at home (13)79.270.7149.8+8.577%
Season away (14)78.081.6159.6-3.643%
Last 10 (10)84.279.5163.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)86.481.6168.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.882.0161.8-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.474.4153.8+5.080%
vs Weaker (13)87.674.5162.1+13.277%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
BayernBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/02
BBL
Real Madrid
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A01/03
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H03/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A14/03
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H17/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A19/03
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
41.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.881.2-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.480.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.281.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.783.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.482.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.342.277.5-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.742.581.3-3.836%-
vs Weaker (13)44.238.782.9+5.577%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H21/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A03/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/03
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/03
Euroleague
74.3Avg total
39.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.377.2+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.736.278.9+6.565%-
Last 30 away (13)36.238.874.9-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.074.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.877.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.740.878.5-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.636.074.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (13)42.136.578.6+5.562%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.5
52.9%
52.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.6%
37.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
76.7%14.6
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.2
51.5%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.0
40.0%
37.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.2
75.0%
76.7%16.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLLLWWLLW
Barcelona
WWLWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#5
-7.1
Net rating
+11.5
104.9
Offensive rating
114.1
112.0
Defensive rating
102.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.6%
3-point %
40.0%
65.2%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 114.1Defence112.0 · 102.7Shooting53.1% · 54.6%3-point %35.6% · 40.0%Ball care16.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds20.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
3
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
18/10/18Barcelona v Bayern83-73
20/11/14Bayern v Barcelona77-99
17/10/14Barcelona v Bayern83-81
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/19AOlympiacos69-89
17/03/19HMitteldeutscher92-67
14/03/19AZalgiris Kaunas79-85
10/03/19AVechta75-93
07/03/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-77
03/03/19HBremerhaven91-80
01/03/19ABuducnost89-75
22/02/19AReal Madrid78-91
14/02/19AOldenburg82-83
10/02/19HGottingen80-68
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/19HGran Canaria93-64
17/03/19HEstudiantes90-76
15/03/19AFenerbahce82-88
10/03/19HSan Pablo Burgos97-88
08/03/19AAnadolu Efes70-92
03/03/19AMurcia70-71
01/03/19HReal Madrid77-70
21/02/19HBaskonia77-67
17/02/19AReal Madrid94-93 OT
16/02/19HTenerife92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%62%29%
Points / game78.881.876.1
Allowed / game80.980.381.4
Point differential-2.1+1.5-5.4
Avg total159.7162.1157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%77%43%
Points / game78.679.278.0
Allowed / game76.370.781.6
Point differential+2.2+8.5-3.6
Avg total154.9149.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2823582%83.975.3+8.6
2 CSKA Moscow2822679%87.280.6+6.5
3 Real Madrid2721678%86.777.4+9.3
4 Anadolu Efes27171063%84.079.1+4.9
5 Barcelona27161159%78.676.3+2.2
6 Baskonia27141352%81.578.9+2.6
7 Olimpia Milano27141352%87.085.7+1.3
8 Olympiacos27141352%77.976.7+1.1
9 Panathinaikos27141352%79.079.0+0.1
10 Zalgiris Kaunas27121544%79.079.0-0.1
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv27121544%79.179.3-0.3
12 Bayern27121544%78.880.9-2.1
13 Khimki M.2791833%78.882.1-3.3
14 Gran Canaria2772026%78.188.6-10.4
15 Buducnost2762122%73.984.3-10.4
16 Darussafaka2742315%74.385.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1814172473
Barcelona1917201571
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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