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Darussafaka vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 92-87
14-27 30-23 21-17 27-20
Position#16
Record4-24
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#12
Record13-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v Bayern
29 Mar 2019
DAR92
BAY87
20 Mar 2018
DAR76
BAY74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
99avg 99
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
no box
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-91
67
91
-24
93avg 99
H07/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
64-84
64
84
-20
89avg 99
A14/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Khimki M.
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
93avg 99
H20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
67-94
67
94
-27
63avg 99
A22/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
85-67
85
67
+18
no box
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
23-20
13-27
27-24
10-18
13-20
18-19
17-20
21-22
17-24
14-14
20-20
17-20
20-26
16-20
14-25
25-19
26-20
16-18
26-21
18-15
12-22
17-23
17-24
16-20
16-27
22-17
27-23
17-23
31-23
15-19
28-20
18-22
12-27
16-19
21-26
20-19
19-12
19-20
27-16
159.3Avg total
75.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.085.4159.4-11.414%
Season at home (14)76.781.8158.5-5.129%
Season away (14)71.388.9160.2-17.60%
Last 10 (10)75.384.0159.3-8.730%
Last 5 (5)77.683.4161.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.285.3158.5-12.118%
vs Similar (8)76.078.2154.2-2.238%
vs Weaker (5)82.073.0155.0+9.060%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
102avg 102
A22/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
115avg 102
A01/03
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
70-77
70
77
-7
93avg 102
H07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#4
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
103avg 102
A14/03
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H17/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
92avg 102
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
70avg 102
H21/03
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A25/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-20
13-29
26-20
25-17
16-27
25-15
23-16
27-14
28-23
23-24
13-19
17-18
14-15
16-25
23-19
20-26
20-27
15-26
20-14
20-22
15-26
18-21
26-16
24-18
31-20
16-11
21-18
10-20
21-30
17-22
21-17
18-19
14-17
17-20
24-15
21-11
21-20
21-19
18-20
159.5Avg total
79.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.680.5159.1-1.946%
Season at home (14)81.179.6160.8+1.564%
Season away (14)76.181.4157.5-5.429%
Last 10 (10)79.779.8159.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.876.4155.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.284.3160.5-8.217%
vs Similar (10)75.278.3153.5-3.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.877.4165.1+10.493%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
DarussafakaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Khimki M.
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A22/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.8Avg total
36.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.377.7-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.341.481.7-1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)33.541.274.6-7.724%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.578.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.077.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.444.479.7-9.018%-
vs Similar (8)37.838.476.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (5)38.035.473.4+2.680%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A01/03
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H03/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A14/03
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H17/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/03
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A25/03
BBL
81.3Avg total
40.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.380.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.137.979.1+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.481.2-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.281.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.679.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.342.277.5-6.817%-
vs Similar (10)36.742.379.0-5.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.138.182.2+5.979%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.7
51.0%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.7
29.4%
37.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws15.312.5
81.7%
76.7%12.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.5
51.7%
52.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.9
36.8%
37.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.515.1
77.4%
76.7%15.1
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLWLLWLLLL
Bayern
WWLWLLLWWL
#16
League position
#12
-18.1
Net rating
-4.8
98.2
Offensive rating
105.7
116.3
Defensive rating
110.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.4%
3-point %
36.8%
63.3%
Assist %
67.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 105.7Defence116.3 · 110.5Shooting48.5% · 53.2%3-point %29.4% · 36.8%Ball care19.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 19.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Darussafaka wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
08/11/18Bayern v Darussafaka116-70
23/03/18Bayern v Darussafaka83-87
20/03/18Darussafaka v Bayern76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/19HAfyon Belediye85-67
22/03/19AZalgiris Kaunas67-94
20/03/19HKhimki M.91-85
17/03/19AIstanbul BB81-87
14/03/19AGran Canaria64-84
10/03/19HKarsiyaka93-78
07/03/19HPanathinaikos67-91
03/03/19ATofas72-80
28/02/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-77
22/02/19HFenerbahce75-97
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/19As.Oliver Wurzburg81-70
21/03/19HBarcelona73-71
19/03/19AOlympiacos69-89
17/03/19HMitteldeutscher92-67
14/03/19AZalgiris Kaunas79-85
10/03/19AVechta75-93
07/03/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-77
03/03/19HBremerhaven91-80
01/03/19ABuducnost89-75
22/02/19AReal Madrid78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game74.076.771.3
Allowed / game85.481.888.9
Point differential-11.4-5.1-17.6
Avg total159.4158.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)29% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%64%29%
Points / game78.681.176.1
Allowed / game80.579.681.4
Point differential-1.9+1.5-5.4
Avg total159.1160.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%7%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2924583%84.675.8+8.8
2 CSKA Moscow2923679%86.980.3+6.6
3 Real Madrid2922776%85.977.6+8.4
4 Anadolu Efes28181064%84.279.2+5.0
5 Barcelona29171259%78.976.4+2.4
6 Baskonia28151354%81.678.8+2.9
7 Panathinaikos29151452%79.478.9+0.4
8 Olympiacos28141450%77.577.2+0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%79.378.2+1.1
10 Olimpia Milano29141548%87.086.7+0.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%79.578.6+0.9
12 Bayern28131546%78.680.5-1.9
13 Khimki M.2992031%78.381.8-3.5
14 Gran Canaria2982128%77.887.9-10.1
15 Buducnost2962321%74.684.9-10.3
16 Darussafaka2842414%74.085.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1430212792
Bayern2723172087
← all games of the day
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