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Bayern vs CSKA Moscow Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 24 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Postponed
Position#11
Record12-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#6
Record14-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2021
Meetings · Bayern v CSKA Moscow
24 Feb 2022
BAY v CMO
upcoming
19 Nov 2020
BAY81
CMO89
16 Nov 2018
BAY79
CMO93
30 Jan 2014
BAY61
CMO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 74
A21/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 74
A23/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
79avg 74
A25/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
54avg 74
H28/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
83-60
83
60
+23
82avg 74
H30/01
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 74
A01/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
70-52
70
52
+18
74avg 74
H03/02
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
no box
A06/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
72-53
72
53
+19
73avg 74
H13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
58-77
58
77
-19
47avg 74
A15/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
26-16
19-22
23-22
18-17
29-16
21-24
24-13
20-16
25-13
16-13
16-26
16-16
10-8
15-20
21-12
24-11
15-21
22-15
22-13
9-9
20-19
12-17
25-26
13-16
17-13
19-12
21-11
25-18
17-12
12-26
23-21
19-4
20-14
20-17
13-18
13-22
15-24
13-17
17-14
142.1Avg total
75.5Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.073.5147.5+0.450%
Season at home (12)74.970.9145.8+4.067%
Season away (12)73.076.2149.2-3.233%
Last 10 (10)75.566.6142.1+8.980%
Last 5 (5)71.467.0138.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.772.7150.5+5.064%
vs Weaker (16)77.971.0148.9+6.975%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 78
A17/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
42avg 78
H21/01
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
104-62
104
62
+42
102avg 78
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
86-75
86
75
+11
78avg 78
A28/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
90avg 78
H04/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
H07/02
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
70avg 78
A10/02
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 78
H13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H18/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-21
18-23
15-16
10-23
25-17
11-15
11-12
26-19
31-15
27-18
20-10
16-20
21-12
27-25
22-18
16-23
25-21
23-13
22-29
22-15
28-22
19-19
22-16
13-26
28-16
20-18
16-17
17-23
11-26
18-18
29-17
18-14
26-16
18-19
22-16
22-17
32-34
22-8
15-12
163.7Avg total
85.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.879.0159.8+1.858%
Season at home (12)81.279.1160.3+2.267%
Season away (12)80.478.9159.3+1.550%
Last 10 (10)85.678.1163.7+7.550%
Last 5 (5)88.879.4168.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.382.5158.8-6.221%
vs Weaker (16)87.271.1158.2+16.188%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
BayernCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A21/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A23/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/01
BBL
Barcelona
#1
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H03/02
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A15/02
BBL
66.9Avg total
36.7Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.074.6+2.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.734.572.3+3.273%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.576.9+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.266.9+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.263.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.338.369.7-7.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.236.475.5+2.873%-
vs Weaker (16)39.435.474.8+4.169%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/01
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A28/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H07/02
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A10/02
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H18/02
VTB United League
82.3Avg total
42.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.680.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.784.3+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)39.136.575.7+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.182.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.840.677.4-3.936%-
vs Weaker (16)45.336.982.2+8.475%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.616.4
55.4%
52.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.4
40.2%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.5
78.8%
77.2%11.5
They take 55.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.4
53.5%
52.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.9
38.0%
35.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.514.3
81.7%
77.2%14.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLWWWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWLLWLWWLL
#11
League position
#6
+15.0
Net rating
+16.1
113.5
Offensive rating
116.4
98.5
Defensive rating
100.3
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.2%
3-point %
38.0%
62.3%
Assist %
69.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 116.4Defence98.5 · 100.3Shooting57.7% · 55.1%3-point %40.2% · 38.0%Ball care18.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
6
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
25/11/21CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-74
29/01/21CSKA Moscow v Bayern66-69
19/11/20Bayern v CSKA Moscow81-89
17/01/19CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
16/11/18Bayern v CSKA Moscow79-93
27/03/14CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
30/01/14Bayern v CSKA Moscow61-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/22AChemnitz58-77
13/02/22HFrankfurt72-53
06/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig91-82 OT
03/02/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-52
01/02/22ABarcelona66-71
30/01/22HBayreuth83-60
28/01/22HAlba Berlin62-56
25/01/22ALyon-Villeurbanne77-68
23/01/22AHeidelberg92-70
21/01/22ABaskonia84-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/22HLokomotiv Kuban91-71
13/02/22HAstana84-65
10/02/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-84
07/02/22HUnics Kazan103-105 OT
04/02/22HAlba Berlin91-72
02/02/22HAnadolu Efes97-99 OT
28/01/22AUnics Kazan86-75
24/01/22HBC Kalev/Cramo104-62
21/01/22HOlimpia Milano57-67
17/01/22AZenit Petersburg68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game74.074.973.0
Allowed / game73.570.976.2
Point differential+0.4+4.0-3.2
Avg total147.5145.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)25% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.881.280.4
Allowed / game79.079.178.9
Point differential+1.8+2.2+1.5
Avg total159.8160.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2520580%82.875.0+7.8
2 Real Madrid2520580%79.272.1+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano2417771%74.070.4+3.6
4 Olympiacos2314961%79.574.0+5.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Fenerbahce22121055%76.472.6+3.7
8 Anadolu Efes25131252%83.179.8+3.3
9 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
10 Monaco26131350%83.182.2+0.9
11 Bayern24121250%74.073.5+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%78.179.0-0.8
13 Crvena zvezda2391439%72.373.9-1.5
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2591636%72.979.6-6.6
15 Alba Berlin2481633%74.979.6-4.7
16 Baskonia2471729%72.279.7-7.4
17 Panathinaikos2361726%73.179.5-6.3
18 Zalgiris Kaunas2341917%70.279.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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