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Bayern vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-89
17-18 22-18 21-28 21-25
Position#5
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v CSKA Moscow
24 Feb 2022
BAY v CMO
upcoming
19 Nov 2020
BAY81
CMO89
16 Nov 2018
BAY79
CMO93
30 Jan 2014
BAY61
CMO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H18/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H23/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#8
W
97-60
97
60
+37
no box
A25/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#12
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A26/10
German Cup
Real Madrid
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 76
A29/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
74-59
74
59
+15
72avg 76
H06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 76
H08/11
BBL
Valencia
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
63avg 76
H13/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
75-52
75
52
+23
72avg 76
A15/11
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-22
26-20
23-33
22-18
17-16
22-19
13-15
31-14
18-14
27-19
21-13
21-16
23-12
17-20
19-15
17-27
28-22
16-21
21-30
18-14
15-17
22-20
19-8
27-16
17-24
22-19
24-19
21-18
16-21
25-21
28-19
11-19
17-15
26-12
21-6
22-23
20-14
8-20
24-14
155.0Avg total
82.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.375.9156.2+4.478%
Season at home (4)79.271.8151.0+7.575%
Season away (5)81.279.2160.4+2.080%
Last 10 (10)82.572.5155.0+10.080%
Last 5 (5)80.667.8148.4+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)74.071.0145.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (6)80.880.2161.0+0.767%
vs Weaker (23)84.473.7158.1+10.774%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Saratov
#8
W
100-66
100
66
+34
98avg 82
H10/10
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
no box
A14/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 82
H29/10
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
109-60
109
60
+49
112avg 82
H01/11
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 82
A06/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
69avg 82
A09/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 82
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 82
A17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
35-18
15-17
28-13
12-10
20-21
17-20
20-18
19-17
32-30
14-21
23-25
20-18
23-17
8-11
22-27
17-16
27-19
18-23
22-17
24-12
31-22
20-13
34-13
24-24
27-18
14-16
24-25
18-12
23-23
14-21
23-30
23-16
24-19
19-23
23-28
26-17
19-21
21-20
21-20
167.6Avg total
88.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.380.7163.0+1.767%
Season at home (4)84.281.5165.8+2.875%
Season away (5)80.880.0160.8+0.860%
Last 10 (10)88.679.0167.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)90.478.6169.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)78.386.0164.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.674.7164.3+14.981%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
BayernCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#8
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A25/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/10
German Cup
Real Madrid
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H08/11
BBL
Valencia
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A15/11
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/11
Euroleague
76.3Avg total
40.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.675.7+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.635.874.5+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.435.476.7+6.071%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.276.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (6)35.237.372.5-2.233%-
vs Weaker (23)41.435.076.4+6.370%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#8
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H10/10
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H29/10
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H01/11
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A09/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/11
Euroleague
83.4Avg total
46.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.236.681.8+8.683%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.936.685.5+12.493%-
Last 30 away (16)41.936.678.6+5.375%-
Last 10 (10)46.636.883.4+9.8100%-
Last 5 (5)47.836.884.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.340.380.7+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.736.281.9+9.689%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
38.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.715.1
80.7%
79.3%15.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
52.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.8
42.3%
38.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.317.2
70.8%
79.3%17.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWWLWWWL
CSKA Moscow
WWLWWWLLWW
#5
League position
#1
+10.2
Net rating
+17.1
111.9
Offensive rating
123.2
101.7
Defensive rating
106.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.0%
3-point %
42.3%
55.5%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 123.2Defence101.7 · 106.2Shooting53.8% · 57.2%3-point %36.0% · 42.3%Ball care17.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds31.9% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
4
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
17/01/19CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
16/11/18Bayern v CSKA Moscow79-93
27/03/14CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
30/01/14Bayern v CSKA Moscow61-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/20AAnadolu Efes74-71
15/11/20AFrankfurt75-52
13/11/20HValencia90-79
08/11/20HVechta90-78
06/11/20HCrvena zvezda74-59
29/10/20AReal Madrid82-100
26/10/20ACrailsheim Merlins80-63
25/10/20ASyntainics MBC97-60
23/10/20HOlympiacos74-68
18/10/20HBayreuth89-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/20AZalgiris Kaunas87-78
12/11/20HBaskonia89-86
09/11/20AKhimki M.78-86
06/11/20APanathinaikos89-83
01/11/20HEnisey109-60
29/10/20HValencia84-75
22/10/20ACrvena zvezda84-86 OT
16/10/20HAlba Berlin88-93
14/10/20AFenerbahce78-77 OT
10/10/20HSaratov100-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game80.379.281.2
Allowed / game75.971.879.2
Point differential+4.4+7.5+2.0
Avg total156.2151.0160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game82.384.280.8
Allowed / game80.781.580.0
Point differential+1.7+2.8+0.8
Avg total163.0165.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %22%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona87188%83.170.0+13.1
2 Bayern97278%80.375.9+4.4
3 CSKA Moscow96367%82.380.7+1.7
4 Olympiacos85362%76.673.9+2.8
5 Valencia85362%81.678.9+2.8
6 Zenit Petersburg53260%72.471.0+1.4
7 Anadolu Efes95456%81.978.9+3.0
8 Real Madrid95456%80.179.2+0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%78.479.1-0.7
10 Olimpia Milano63350%80.280.2+0.0
11 Crvena zvezda94544%76.376.2+0.1
12 Fenerbahce94544%72.776.4-3.8
13 Baskonia73443%79.375.7+3.6
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv93633%78.678.7-0.1
15 Panathinaikos72529%80.483.3-2.9
16 Alba Berlin72529%74.986.3-11.4
17 Khimki M.92722%77.485.6-8.1
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne71614%70.678.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1722212181
CSKA Moscow1818282589
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