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Bayern vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-93
23-30 17-26 25-21 14-16
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v CSKA Moscow
24 Feb 2022
BAY v CMO
upcoming
19 Nov 2020
BAY81
CMO89
16 Nov 2018
BAY79
CMO93
30 Jan 2014
BAY61
CMO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A14/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A18/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H21/10
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H25/10
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A28/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A01/11
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A04/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#16
W
116-70
116
70
+46
H08/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#2
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H11/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
17-19
27-19
24-14
20-20
20-21
16-17
24-21
17-26
19-18
18-21
19-18
25-22
25-17
29-27
23-25
20-11
23-21
18-20
16-19
15-12
23-29
30-19
21-12
26-28
22-23
17-14
19-23
24-18
33-28
17-18
22-7
21-17
33-18
33-15
29-20
20-19
22-18
26-17
27-20
165.9Avg total
89.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.580.2163.7+3.350%
Season at home (4)86.077.5163.5+8.575%
Season away (2)78.585.5164.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)89.976.0165.9+13.980%
Last 5 (5)96.075.0171.0+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.589.0166.5-11.50%
vs Similar (9)84.778.3163.0+6.367%
vs Weaker (18)88.273.6161.7+14.683%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H13/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A16/10
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H22/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
108-84
108
84
+24
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
110-76
110
76
+34
H04/11
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A11/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
26-18
20-23
18-14
24-22
26-24
17-22
22-18
19-17
12-21
26-10
22-27
31-14
23-24
23-19
25-18
26-29
26-26
28-22
26-14
26-23
24-13
35-22
23-26
13-15
18-20
21-9
17-21
25-18
28-28
29-16
28-14
16-21
24-20
23-25
27-19
32-18
18-21
22-22
21-15
172.1Avg total
93.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.079.5167.5+8.5100%
Season at home (3)81.071.7152.7+9.3100%
Season away (3)95.087.3182.3+7.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.079.1172.1+13.9100%
Last 5 (5)94.077.2171.2+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)83.092.0175.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)93.479.1172.6+14.393%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
BayernCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A14/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H21/10
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/10
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/11
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A04/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/11
BBL
83.8Avg total
44.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.380.9+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.136.581.6+8.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.838.380.1+3.562%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.483.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)42.547.590.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.336.278.6+6.167%-
vs Weaker (18)43.536.980.4+6.672%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H22/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/11
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A11/11
VTB United League
87.2Avg total
45.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.041.088.0+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.439.985.3+5.561%-
Last 30 away (12)49.542.792.2+6.867%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.587.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)46.047.093.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.140.887.9+6.366%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.5
57.9%
52.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.9
38.9%
37.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.9
79.4%
76.7%13.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.120.0
47.5%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.3
37.8%
37.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
76.7%16.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWWWLWW
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#1
+4.5
Net rating
+5.0
118.9
Offensive rating
110.7
114.4
Defensive rating
105.7
58.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.9%
3-point %
37.8%
61.5%
Assist %
52.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 110.7Defence114.4 · 105.7Shooting58.0% · 50.9%3-point %38.9% · 37.8%Ball care17.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds35.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Bayern   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
2
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
27/03/14CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
30/01/14Bayern v CSKA Moscow61-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18HOldenburg95-74
08/11/18HDarussafaka116-70
04/11/18ACrailsheim Merlins96-71
01/11/18AFenerbahce84-88
28/10/18ABremerhaven89-72
25/10/18HBaskonia77-71
21/10/18HBonn102-91
18/10/18ABarcelona73-83
16/10/18HPanathinaikos80-79
14/10/18ABasketball Braunschweig87-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18ALokomotiv Kuban93-76
08/11/18AOlimpia Milano90-85
04/11/18HSaratov110-76
01/11/18HOlympiacos69-65
29/10/18HParma Perm108-84
26/10/18AGran Canaria106-91
22/10/18HBC Kalev/Cramo102-75
18/10/18HDarussafaka79-75
16/10/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-86
13/10/18HNizhny Novgorod84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game83.586.078.5
Allowed / game80.277.585.5
Point differential+3.3+8.5-7.0
Avg total163.7163.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.081.095.0
Allowed / game79.571.787.3
Point differential+8.5+9.3+7.7
Avg total167.5152.7182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%91.775.9+15.9
2 CSKA Moscow660100%88.079.5+8.5
3 Fenerbahce76186%84.378.4+5.9
4 Olimpia Milano75271%87.382.7+4.6
5 Anadolu Efes75271%85.080.6+4.4
6 Barcelona75271%81.778.4+3.3
7 Panathinaikos74357%82.980.4+2.4
8 Bayern63350%83.580.2+3.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%81.481.3+0.1
10 Olympiacos73443%78.980.0-1.1
11 Baskonia72529%79.381.0-1.7
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv61517%75.382.5-7.2
13 Gran Canaria61517%83.295.3-12.2
14 Khimki M.71614%79.483.4-4.0
15 Buducnost71614%69.078.3-9.3
16 Darussafaka71614%75.489.4-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2317251479
CSKA Moscow3026211693
← all games of the day
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