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CSKA Moscow vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-69
27-25 12-15 21-10 6-19
Position#1
Record16-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game78.9
CSKA Moscow
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#5
Record13-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2020
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Bayern
25 Nov 2021
CMO77
BAY74
29 Jan 2021
CMO66
BAY69
17 Jan 2019
CMO77
BAY70
27 Mar 2014
CMO77
BAY70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 82
A22/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 82
A26/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
no box
A30/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
83-63
83
63
+20
76avg 82
A03/01
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
93-95
93
95
-2
82avg 82
A07/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 82
H13/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 82
H15/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 82
A18/01
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
A27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
25-26
20-19
21-18
18-17
22-24
18-16
25-19
17-17
22-16
20-25
21-22
24-21
22-14
20-15
17-13
19-31
26-15
22-33
26-16
18-11
27-21
15-20
23-21
25-20
16-22
15-22
19-24
27-20
32-17
15-21
24-24
21-15
17-23
28-25
17-26
20-15
14-22
18-19
19-12
164.6Avg total
84.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.978.9162.8+5.073%
Season at home (11)83.276.4159.5+6.873%
Season away (11)84.681.5166.1+3.273%
Last 10 (10)84.779.9164.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)82.080.0162.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)86.479.9166.3+6.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.575.1162.7+12.483%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 78
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 78
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 78
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 78
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 78
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
51-75
51
75
-24
38avg 78
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
98-78
98
78
+20
92avg 78
A23/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 78
A26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
21-19
27-10
20-22
12-18
24-21
17-26
19-20
22-19
24-25
15-20
21-20
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
13-19
19-21
24-16
26-24
15-23
19-16
16-12
22-21
21-19
27-18
16-17
21-17
10-20
10-22
15-21
16-12
24-21
25-22
26-19
23-16
26-15
18-29
29-31
22-18
160.8Avg total
80.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.077.4156.4+1.559%
Season at home (11)79.974.5154.4+5.573%
Season away (11)78.080.4158.4-2.445%
Last 10 (10)80.880.0160.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Similar (13)80.479.2159.5+1.246%
vs Weaker (13)84.672.9157.5+11.792%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
CSKA MoscowBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/01
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A18/01
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/01
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
43.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.537.181.6+7.373%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.935.980.9+9.079%-
Last 30 away (16)44.138.282.2+5.969%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.281.5+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.280.6+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.737.079.7+5.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.037.282.2+7.878%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A23/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A26/01
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
39.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.879.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.177.1+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.141.982.0-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.679.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (13)39.440.780.1-1.338%-
vs Weaker (13)41.936.878.7+5.269%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.8
50.7%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.1
36.0%
38.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
79.3%16.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.4
51.1%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.3
40.5%
38.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
79.3%14.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WLWLWLWWWW
Bayern
WWLWLWWLLW
#1
League position
#5
+8.2
Net rating
+3.5
117.6
Offensive rating
113.1
109.3
Defensive rating
109.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
41.9%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.0%
3-point %
40.5%
55.4%
Assist %
62.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 113.1Defence109.3 · 109.6Shooting51.9% · 54.4%3-point %36.0% · 40.5%Ball care17.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds41.9% · 33.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CSKA Moscow wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
19/11/20Bayern v CSKA Moscow81-89
17/01/19CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
16/11/18Bayern v CSKA Moscow79-93
27/03/14CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
30/01/14Bayern v CSKA Moscow61-86
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21AAlba Berlin71-68
22/01/21HFenerbahce83-89
18/01/21ASaratov98-82
15/01/21HBarcelona75-88
13/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas83-73
07/01/21ABaskonia93-95
03/01/21ANizhny Novgorod83-63
30/12/20AOlimpia Milano91-87 OT
26/12/20AUnics Kazan83-76
22/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne87-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/21AKhimki M.95-93
23/01/21ABayreuth98-78
21/01/21AOlimpia Milano51-75
17/01/21HHamburg85-71
15/01/21HReal Madrid76-81 OT
13/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-80
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
08/01/21AOlympiacos82-84
03/01/21AAlba Berlin72-85
30/12/20HBarcelona90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW73%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game83.983.284.6
Allowed / game78.976.481.5
Point differential+5.0+6.8+3.2
Avg total162.8159.5166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %14%0%27%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game79.079.978.0
Allowed / game77.474.580.4
Point differential+1.5+5.5-2.4
Avg total156.4154.4158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2317674%81.073.4+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow2216673%83.978.9+5.0
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%82.478.2+4.2
4 Real Madrid2214864%81.877.5+4.2
5 Zenit Petersburg2113862%77.474.2+3.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas2213959%79.877.5+2.2
7 Bayern2213959%79.077.4+1.5
8 Fenerbahce23131057%78.078.0+0.0
9 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
10 Valencia22111150%81.481.5-0.2
11 Olympiacos23111248%80.280.9-0.7
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia2291341%79.179.1-0.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%76.580.6-4.1
15 Alba Berlin2281436%76.982.7-5.8
16 Panathinaikos2171433%79.883.3-3.5
17 Crvena zvezda2271532%74.078.6-4.7
18 Khimki M.232219%79.191.4-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow271221666
Bayern2515101969
← all games of the day
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