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Ludwigsburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-68
30-15 25-17 22-23 19-13
Position#6
Record8-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game75.5
GermanyBBLRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Bayern
22 Mar 2027
LUD v BAY
upcoming
07 May 2026
LUD78
BAY86
22 Sep 2024
LUD78
BAY70
24 May 2024
LUD69
BAY76
22 May 2024
LUD73
BAY84
08 May 2024
LUD80
BAY85
15 Jan 2023
LUD96
BAY68
16 Apr 2022
LUD58
BAY77
31 May 2021
LUD72
BAY82
29 May 2021
LUD101
BAY98
09 May 2021
LUD91
BAY77
19 Jun 2020
LUD73
BAY74
19 Jan 2020
LUD81
BAY74
11 Apr 2019
LUD75
BAY91
03 Mar 2018
LUD73
BAY90
07 Jan 2017
LUD65
BAY75
17 May 2016
LUD75
BAY69
10 May 2016
LUD93
BAY74
16 Apr 2016
LUD71
BAY100
05 Oct 2014
LUD78
BAY93
21 May 2014
LUD68
BAY86
13 May 2014
LUD85
BAY83
09 Oct 2013
LUD71
BAY95
20 Apr 2013
LUD68
BAY74
10 Mar 2012
LUD64
BAY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
no box
A03/12
German Cup
Gottingen
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 70
H10/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H13/12
Champions League
Frankfurt
#17
L
80-92
80
92
-12
64avg 70
A17/12
BBL
Bakken Bears
#30
W
94-86
94
86
+8
82avg 70
A20/12
Champions League
Ulm
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
64avg 70
H27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
66-69
66
69
-3
52avg 70
A30/12
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 70
H03/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-89
80
89
-9
65avg 70
A08/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 70
A11/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
25-14
25-8
16-26
19-19
21-18
28-19
22-20
27-24
18-23
20-16
16-24
24-20
19-29
14-26
23-17
30-24
23-23
18-21
23-18
22-25
21-17
20-21
24-21
21-20
14-15
19-16
12-18
14-14
28-18
19-24
24-25
13-22
24-27
18-24
25-16
17-18
6-22
14-24
25-18
163.5Avg total
82.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.584.5172.0+2.962%
Season at home (6)91.885.3177.2+6.583%
Season away (7)83.783.9167.6-0.143%
Last 10 (10)82.081.5163.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)76.081.0157.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
vs Similar (12)88.481.5169.9+6.983%
vs Weaker (12)85.880.1165.9+5.858%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 73
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 73
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
73avg 73
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 73
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 73
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 73
H05/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 73
H08/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 73
H10/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
65avg 73
A12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
20-13
26-26
28-27
22-20
31-23
18-19
26-16
21-26
14-18
13-16
19-15
23-25
27-26
17-18
20-14
14-19
15-22
20-18
28-24
31-15
22-15
18-15
7-20
21-11
22-17
18-16
23-24
27-23
17-21
17-20
18-16
34-24
18-20
23-16
17-19
18-19
21-27
10-21
22-12
161.1Avg total
82.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.975.5158.4+7.479%
Season at home (8)85.575.9161.4+9.688%
Season away (6)79.375.0154.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)82.978.2161.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)80.874.2155.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.279.8155.0-4.627%
vs Similar (9)79.478.2157.7+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.873.0156.8+10.889%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
LudwigsburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A03/12
German Cup
Gottingen
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H13/12
Champions League
Frankfurt
#17
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A17/12
BBL
Bakken Bears
#30
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A20/12
Champions League
Ulm
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/12
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H03/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A11/01
Champions League
82.8Avg total
41.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.784.3+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.441.286.6+4.264%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.282.2+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.382.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.675.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.644.685.2-4.020%-
vs Similar (12)42.639.682.2+3.058%-
vs Weaker (12)46.039.885.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H05/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H10/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
44.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.280.1+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.538.081.5+5.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.478.5+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.085.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.484.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.541.178.5-3.618%-
vs Similar (9)42.437.780.1+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.635.882.3+10.878%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
54.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.1
32.0%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.5
75.0%
75.8%13.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.4
49.7%
54.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.117.6
83.4%
75.8%17.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LLWLWWLLWW
Bayern
LWLWWLWLWW
#6
League position
#3
-6.2
Net rating
+6.4
105.7
Offensive rating
113.3
111.9
Defensive rating
106.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.0%
3-point %
37.3%
59.0%
Assist %
55.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 113.3Defence111.9 · 106.9Shooting49.6% · 52.2%3-point %32.0% · 37.3%Ball care20.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ludwigsburg wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
16/04/22Ludwigsburg v Bayern58-77
19/12/21Bayern v Ludwigsburg79-78
04/06/21Bayern v Ludwigsburg82-73
02/06/21Bayern v Ludwigsburg81-78
31/05/21Ludwigsburg v Bayern72-82
29/05/21Ludwigsburg v Bayern101-98
09/05/21Ludwigsburg v Bayern91-77
22/11/20Bayern v Ludwigsburg93-70
19/06/20Ludwigsburg v Bayern73-74
17/06/20Bayern v Ludwigsburg83-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ALimoges62-82
08/01/23AChemnitz80-89
03/01/23HLimoges85-81
30/12/22ASyntainics MBC66-69
27/12/22HUlm87-84
20/12/22ABakken Bears94-86
17/12/22AFrankfurt80-92
13/12/22HHapoel Jerusalem81-87
10/12/22HGottingen90-76
03/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins95-69
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23AFenerbahce71-79
10/01/23HBaskonia92-79
08/01/23HAlba Berlin79-80
05/01/23HPanathinaikos84-68
03/01/23ARostock78-65
29/12/22APartizan77-83
27/12/22AHeidelberg87-83
23/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas67-75
17/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig97-78
15/12/22HValencia97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game87.591.883.7
Allowed / game84.585.383.9
Point differential+2.9+6.5-0.1
Avg total172.0177.2167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game82.985.579.3
Allowed / game75.575.975.0
Point differential+7.4+9.6+4.3
Avg total158.4161.4154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1413193%91.379.4+11.9
2 Bonn1513287%89.775.5+14.1
3 Bayern1411379%82.975.5+7.4
4 Oldenburg1510567%86.681.5+5.1
5 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
6 Ludwigsburg138562%87.584.5+2.9
7 Chemnitz127558%87.684.8+2.8
8 Wurzburg158753%85.385.7-0.5
9 Bamberg157847%85.184.2+0.9
10 Rostock146843%86.692.5-5.9
11 Ulm156940%87.387.8-0.5
12 Hamburg156940%83.485.5-2.1
13 Crailsheim Merlins156940%88.391.5-3.2
14 Syntainics MBC156940%82.789.7-7.0
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1541127%78.384.9-6.6
17 Bayreuth1531220%82.188.9-6.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1521313%77.385.7-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg3025221996
Bayern1517231368
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