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Bayreuth vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-80
21-23 12-25 11-18 20-14
Position#18
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record8-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game87.7
GermanyBBLRound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Ulm
05 Feb 2023
BAR64
ULM80
22 Apr 2022
BAR73
ULM80
13 Apr 2021
BAR93
ULM99
29 Feb 2020
BAR69
ULM85
04 Nov 2018
BAR79
ULM88
20 Apr 2018
BAR88
ULM75
25 Sep 2016
BAR87
ULM95
05 Dec 2015
BAR76
ULM90
07 Feb 2015
BAR94
ULM82
02 Nov 2013
BAR78
ULM88
09 Dec 2012
BAR59
ULM73
03 Oct 2011
BAR71
ULM82
31 Mar 2011
BAR84
ULM65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 74
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 74
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
75avg 74
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 74
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 74
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 74
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 74
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
67avg 74
H29/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
16-34
14-13
19-20
20-27
29-13
18-21
16-30
19-22
19-28
14-21
25-13
14-18
21-26
20-33
34-23
24-30
19-19
25-15
24-22
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
11-20
25-28
20-19
27-16
13-21
23-18
23-25
24-28
18-22
15-20
16-37
22-15
174.3Avg total
81.5Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.589.4170.9-7.918%
Season at home (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
Season away (8)80.890.4171.1-9.60%
Last 10 (10)81.592.8174.3-11.310%
Last 5 (5)82.297.4179.6-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.387.8166.2-9.58%
vs Similar (5)76.085.2161.2-9.220%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
65avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 76
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 76
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 76
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 76
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
W
107-87
107
87
+20
94avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 76
H01/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
24-14
20-17
29-29
18-25
25-27
25-30
24-19
18-22
22-20
19-9
21-14
17-23
15-28
18-20
19-18
13-29
23-20
23-19
25-23
27-13
16-25
22-11
13-20
26-31
22-25
16-16
27-15
15-18
21-21
22-16
27-17
24-25
20-20
37-28
26-14
18-26
26-24
22-16
26-20
170.7Avg total
87.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.787.7176.4+1.047%
Season at home (9)90.891.2182.0-0.444%
Season away (8)86.483.8170.1+2.650%
Last 10 (10)87.383.4170.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)90.680.2170.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.896.0179.8-12.225%
vs Similar (11)84.484.2168.5+0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.986.7176.6+3.164%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
BayreuthUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/01
BBL
84.8Avg total
38.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.782.8-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.943.182.1-4.227%-
Last 30 away (15)39.344.383.6-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.284.8-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.484.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.343.382.6-4.029%-
vs Similar (5)38.845.684.4-6.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/02
Eurocup
87.5Avg total
41.2Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.486.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.145.689.7-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.183.7-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.387.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.688.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.846.888.5-5.050%-
vs Similar (11)42.243.785.9-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.644.887.4-2.136%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.1
49.5%
54.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.018.0
72.0%
75.8%18.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.322.6
70.0%
54.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.4
33.8%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
75.8%14.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLLLWLLLL
Ulm
WWWWWLLWLW
#18
League position
#4
-13.4
Net rating
+14.6
107.8
Offensive rating
123.2
121.3
Defensive rating
108.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
60.2%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
33.8%
64.4%
Assist %
54.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 123.2Defence121.3 · 108.6Shooting51.9% · 60.2%3-point %36.5% · 33.8%Ball care18.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayreuth wins
9
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Ulm v Bayreuth88-73
22/04/22Bayreuth v Ulm73-80
16/01/22Ulm v Bayreuth92-81
13/04/21Bayreuth v Ulm93-99
14/11/20Ulm v Bayreuth104-76
29/02/20Bayreuth v Ulm69-85
17/01/20Ulm v Bayreuth103-93
04/05/19Ulm v Bayreuth92-69
04/11/18Bayreuth v Ulm79-88
20/04/18Bayreuth v Ulm88-75
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HBonn71-94
20/01/23HRostock83-92
15/01/23AHeidelberg101-107 OT
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95
26/12/22HBamberg92-86
22/12/22AGottingen89-100
16/12/22AChemnitz77-84
10/12/22AAlba Berlin83-91
04/12/22ABayern63-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HBursaspor92-86
28/01/23HBamberg107-87
25/01/23ABrescia85-72
22/01/23ASyntainics MBC91-87
18/01/23HLietkabelis78-69
14/01/23HWurzburg84-91
11/01/23AVenezia69-89
07/01/23AHamburg80-65
03/01/23HBonn92-101
30/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game81.582.180.8
Allowed / game89.488.690.4
Point differential-7.9-6.4-9.6
Avg total170.9170.7171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game88.790.886.4
Allowed / game87.791.283.8
Point differential+1.0-0.4+2.6
Avg total176.4182.0170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1615194%91.179.0+12.1
2 Bonn1715288%91.075.5+15.5
3 Bayern1713476%83.977.3+6.6
4 Oldenburg1812667%85.281.9+3.3
5 Gottingen1610662%86.585.3+1.2
6 Ludwigsburg1710759%87.584.1+3.4
7 Chemnitz169756%86.383.1+3.2
8 Wurzburg189950%84.185.1-1.0
9 Rostock1991047%85.790.1-4.4
10 Ulm178947%88.787.7+1.0
11 Crailsheim Merlins1771041%88.791.8-3.1
12 Heidelberg1771041%87.591.2-3.6
13 Bamberg1871139%85.286.4-1.3
14 Syntainics MBC1871139%83.088.3-5.3
15 Hamburg1861233%83.886.8-3.1
16 Basketball Braunschweig1951426%78.784.8-6.2
17 Frankfurt1951426%79.586.6-7.1
18 Bayreuth1731418%81.589.4-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2112112064
Ulm2325181480
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