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Bayreuth vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-93
18-22 18-26 26-21 21-24
Position#35
Record5-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#7
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H08/12
BBL
Besiktas
#16
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A11/12
Champions League
Giessen
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A15/12
BBL
Strasbourg
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H19/12
Champions League
Oldenburg
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H27/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#5
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A03/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
A06/01
BBL
Promitheas
#17
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A09/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
28-18
22-22
18-26
19-13
11-24
28-16
32-21
19-14
32-29
22-26
22-21
6-27
17-16
20-19
33-22
20-30
16-20
15-15
19-25
26-18
22-21
27-27
27-19
20-22
23-21
27-17
24-24
18-29
22-18
18-19
26-18
23-28
19-16
21-27
20-24
22-29
20-17
19-29
21-25
177.7Avg total
88.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.675.8154.3+2.842%
Season at home (6)81.876.5158.3+5.350%
Season away (6)75.375.0150.3+0.333%
Last 10 (10)88.289.5177.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)91.293.0184.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.084.3163.3-5.329%
vs Similar (19)82.281.2163.4+1.047%
vs Weaker (3)97.079.0176.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A16/12
Lega A
Oostende
#27
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A19/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H25/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H09/01
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A13/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-24
15-27
16-17
22-16
25-25
20-21
18-26
28-12
22-16
21-16
10-27
16-20
19-17
21-18
20-22
13-29
27-14
16-25
25-21
28-15
13-25
16-12
24-17
9-20
17-21
23-11
16-19
24-16
18-18
21-29
25-17
13-23
24-18
24-22
26-21
29-20
16-13
15-23
26-23
159.8Avg total
80.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.277.1163.3+9.180%
Season at home (5)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Season away (5)88.480.2168.6+8.260%
Last 10 (10)80.479.4159.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)81.476.6158.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.086.2162.2-10.220%
vs Similar (11)82.581.1163.5+1.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.675.5159.1+8.179%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
BayreuthVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H08/12
BBL
Besiktas
#16
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/12
Champions League
Giessen
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A15/12
BBL
Strasbourg
#13
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H19/12
Champions League
Oldenburg
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H27/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/01
BBL
Promitheas
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/01
BBL
84.6Avg total
41.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.281.6+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.940.482.3+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)41.140.081.1+1.135%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.684.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.886.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.340.179.4-0.929%-
vs Similar (19)41.639.781.4+1.953%-
vs Weaker (3)48.039.787.7+8.367%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A16/12
Lega A
Oostende
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A13/01
Lega A
78.6Avg total
40.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.778.3+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.336.374.6+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)42.639.081.6+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.040.080.0+0.060%-
vs Similar (11)39.539.879.3-0.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.635.376.9+6.471%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
52.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
73.8%13.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayreuth wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
30/10/18Virtus Bologna v Bayreuth74-67
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19ALudwigsburg82-100
09/01/19APromitheas83-95
06/01/19ABayern95-101 OT
03/01/19ABamberg94-84
29/12/18HCrailsheim Merlins102-85
27/12/18HOldenburg70-90
19/12/18HStrasbourg76-84
15/12/18AGiessen95-90
11/12/18ABesiktas90-74
08/12/18HMitteldeutscher95-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19AVarese86-79
09/01/19HPetrol Olimpija87-84
06/01/19HBrescia88-80
30/12/18ATrento65-71
25/12/18HReggiana81-69
22/12/18ABrindisi81-89
19/12/18AOostende76-77
16/12/18APistoia81-71
12/12/18ANeptunas85-88
09/12/18HSassari74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game78.681.875.3
Allowed / game75.876.575.0
Point differential+2.8+5.3+0.3
Avg total154.3158.3150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game86.284.088.4
Allowed / game77.174.080.2
Point differential+9.1+10.0+8.2
Avg total163.3158.0168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia1210283%77.470.3+7.1
2 Tenerife119282%81.368.5+12.8
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem119282%87.876.5+11.4
4 AEK Athens119282%80.273.7+6.5
5 Virtus Bologna108280%86.277.1+9.1
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Venezia118373%85.580.1+5.4
9 Avellino107370%84.583.1+1.4
10 Antwerp Giants1510567%82.878.4+4.4
11 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
12 Banvit117464%80.674.1+6.5
13 Hapoel Holon117464%83.978.5+5.4
14 Bamberg117464%82.180.4+1.7
15 Promitheas117464%82.482.4+0.0
16 PAOK106460%80.376.5+3.8
17 Nizhny Novgorod1710759%79.873.4+6.4
18 Nanterre127558%84.771.3+13.3
19 Besiktas116555%77.977.1+0.8
20 Strasbourg116555%76.675.8+0.8
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Oostende105550%75.380.8-5.5
30 Fribourg Olympic178947%78.381.3-3.0
31 Neptunas115645%83.583.1+0.5
32 Bayreuth125742%78.675.8+2.8
33 Lietkabelis114736%75.676.9-1.3
34 Anwil Wloclawek114736%79.182.1-3.0
35 Le Mans114736%72.676.8-4.2
36 Ventspils114736%78.583.0-4.5
37 Bonn114736%80.586.9-6.5
38 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
39 Ludwigsburg113827%77.182.4-5.3
40 Dijon113827%73.979.5-5.6
41 Nymburk113827%76.582.5-5.9
42 Fuenlabrada113827%75.984.6-8.7
43 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
44 Petrol Olimpija101910%76.084.0-8.0
45 Opava111109%72.593.5-20.9
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1818262183
Virtus Bologna2226212493
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