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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 79-86
20-29 13-16 23-15 23-26
Position#7
Record9-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game82.8
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Virtus Bologna
27 Sep 2026
VAR69
VIR90
04 Nov 2025
VAR77
VIR83
10 Nov 2024
VAR104
VIR95
21 Jan 2024
VAR69
VIR81
04 Dec 2022
VAR100
VIR108
06 Feb 2022
VAR80
VIR81
24 Oct 2020
VAR73
VIR85
27 Feb 2020
VAR v VIR
upcoming
13 Jan 2019
VAR79
VIR86
26 Dec 2017
VAR85
VIR90
22 Nov 2015
VAR82
VIR75
14 Dec 2014
VAR83
VIR73
26 Dec 2013
VAR98
VIR89
17 Feb 2013
VAR78
VIR61
04 Mar 2012
VAR86
VIR63
28 Nov 2010
VAR91
VIR81
15 Nov 2009
VAR68
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
85-67
85
67
+18
182avg 118
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
66-61
66
61
+5
160avg 118
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
109-74
109
74
+35
no box
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
77-60
77
60
+17
110avg 118
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
93avg 118
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
182avg 118
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
179avg 118
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
96avg 118
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
18-23
27-16
16-16
13-26
17-7
14-10
22-18
28-20
26-23
30-18
25-13
22-14
17-15
21-19
17-12
24-27
15-23
24-27
27-10
12-17
16-20
21-14
18-21
37-18
17-19
18-17
17-17
25-22
24-20
28-15
21-21
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
152.7Avg total
81.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.772.7150.4+5.064%
Season at home (7)83.173.1156.3+10.086%
Season away (7)72.372.3144.6+0.043%
Last 10 (10)81.970.8152.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)78.471.8150.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (12)73.171.8144.8+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.973.5157.4+10.576%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
86-89
86
89
-3
129avg 113
A25/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
95avg 113
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
110avg 113
A16/12
Lega A
Oostende
#27
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A19/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
104avg 113
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
109avg 113
H25/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
90avg 113
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
116avg 113
H06/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H09/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
19-23
20-20
19-24
25-18
18-24
15-27
16-17
22-16
25-25
20-21
18-26
28-12
22-16
21-16
10-27
16-20
19-17
21-18
20-22
13-29
27-14
16-25
25-21
28-15
13-25
16-12
24-17
9-20
17-21
23-11
16-19
24-16
18-18
21-29
25-17
13-23
24-18
24-22
26-21
160.8Avg total
80.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.182.8163.9-1.650%
Season at home (7)80.081.0161.0-1.057%
Season away (7)82.384.6166.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)80.480.4160.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)80.478.6159.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.588.0161.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)82.581.7164.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (14)83.675.5159.1+8.179%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
VareseVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
78.2Avg total
40.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.335.875.0+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.535.077.5+7.593%-
Last 30 away (16)36.436.472.9+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.778.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.477.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (12)35.635.270.8+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.935.377.2+6.676%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A16/12
Lega A
Oostende
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
Champions League
80.0Avg total
40.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.178.6+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.775.4+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.439.481.8+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.280.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.877.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.841.880.5-3.050%-
vs Similar (12)39.840.179.9-0.267%-
vs Weaker (14)41.635.376.9+6.471%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.110.2
72.3%
72.3%10.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
72.3%13.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWWLWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLLWLLL
#7
League position
#11
+8.8
Net rating
+4.0
109.3
Offensive rating
115.8
100.5
Defensive rating
111.8
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
35.5%
60.6%
Assist %
43.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 115.8Defence100.5 · 111.8Shooting50.8% · 52.8%3-point %32.6% · 35.5%Ball care14.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
06/01/19APistoia65-71
30/12/18APesaro98-78
25/12/18HCantu89-71
23/12/18AOlimpia Milano67-72
19/12/18ASassari90-87
16/12/18HTorino77-60
12/12/18HAEK Larnaca109-74
09/12/18AVenezia66-61
25/11/18HBrindisi85-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19HPetrol Olimpija87-84
06/01/19HBrescia88-80
30/12/18ATrento65-71
25/12/18HReggiana81-69
22/12/18ABrindisi81-89
19/12/18AOostende76-77
16/12/18APistoia81-71
12/12/18ANeptunas85-88
09/12/18HSassari74-86
25/11/18APesaro86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game77.783.172.3
Allowed / game72.773.172.3
Point differential+5.0+10.0+0.0
Avg total150.4156.3144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game81.180.082.3
Allowed / game82.881.084.6
Point differential-1.6-1.0-2.3
Avg total163.9161.0166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1514193%90.679.7+10.9
2 Avellino1511473%83.481.7+1.7
3 Venezia1510567%81.270.7+10.5
4 Cremona1510567%88.983.6+5.3
5 Varese149564%77.772.7+5.0
6 Sassari158753%89.783.8+5.9
7 Brindisi158753%78.376.3+2.1
8 Virtus Bologna147750%81.182.8-1.6
9 Trieste157847%84.983.2+1.7
10 Brescia156940%78.079.7-1.7
11 Trento156940%76.381.0-4.7
12 Reggiana1551033%79.782.7-2.9
13 Cantu1551033%82.989.2-6.3
14 Pesaro1551033%82.392.8-10.5
15 Torino1541127%81.787.1-5.4
16 Pistoia1541127%78.387.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2013232379
Virtus Bologna2916152686
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