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Pistoia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-81
12-28 16-22 16-21 27-10
Position#16
Record3-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game91.8
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.6
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Virtus Bologna
19 Apr 2025
PIS62
VIR86
23 Dec 2023
PIS70
VIR91
29 Sep 2019
PIS78
VIR88
16 Dec 2018
PIS71
VIR81
29 Apr 2018
PIS61
VIR74
10 Apr 2016
PIS88
VIR76
09 Nov 2014
PIS72
VIR73
04 Jan 2014
PIS80
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
124avg 117
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
83-107
83
107
-24
no box
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
95avg 117
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
103avg 117
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
101avg 117
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
113-111
113
111
+2
190avg 117
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
137avg 117
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
118avg 117
H09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
20-22
26-23
18-18
23-18
20-21
15-18
19-26
15-21
17-22
16-22
21-32
24-26
24-27
13-19
22-35
16-28
22-21
19-12
17-29
21-31
14-21
15-23
29-21
17-20
22-22
15-22
19-26
30-28
22-29
25-26
36-28
21-15
19-17
23-20
21-30
19-15
16-20
22-20
16-15
172.6Avg total
81.5Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.691.8172.3-11.233%
Season at home (4)72.286.8159.0-14.525%
Season away (5)87.295.8183.0-8.640%
Last 10 (10)81.591.1172.6-9.640%
Last 5 (5)84.489.8174.2-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.086.2163.2-9.329%
vs Similar (5)78.682.2160.8-3.640%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#35
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H30/10
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
164avg 112
A04/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
120avg 112
H11/11
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H14/11
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
H18/11
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
no box
A21/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
86-89
86
89
-3
129avg 112
A25/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
95avg 112
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A12/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
15-12
19-20
21-16
19-21
16-27
15-21
25-25
19-21
28-20
21-25
26-24
17-26
30-16
19-18
24-21
13-18
27-22
21-18
26-23
26-15
18-27
17-16
21-21
27-20
20-19
23-24
25-22
28-22
19-23
20-20
19-24
25-18
18-24
15-27
16-17
22-16
25-25
20-21
18-26
168.2Avg total
84.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.286.6168.8-4.344%
Season at home (5)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Season away (4)87.290.2177.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)84.284.0168.2+0.260%
Last 5 (5)84.485.4169.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.285.0157.2-12.80%
vs Similar (12)80.681.8162.3-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.075.8160.8+9.283%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
PistoiaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
Lega A
85.4Avg total
40.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.381.7-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.477.9-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.385.4-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.685.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.643.281.8-4.625%-
vs Similar (5)41.639.881.4+1.860%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#35
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H30/10
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H11/11
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H14/11
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/11
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A12/12
Champions League
84.2Avg total
43.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.178.3+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.436.975.3+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.739.280.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.184.2+2.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.887.4+3.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.641.478.0-4.840%-
vs Similar (12)39.538.578.0+1.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.535.878.2+6.883%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.7
50.7%
51.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.9
37.6%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.213.6
64.2%
72.3%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.4
51.0%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.013.9
73.2%
72.3%13.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLLLLLLW
Virtus Bologna
LLLWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#11
-12.2
Net rating
-4.9
104.9
Offensive rating
113.9
117.1
Defensive rating
118.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.6%
3-point %
37.8%
42.2%
Assist %
40.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 113.9Defence117.1 · 118.8Shooting52.6% · 53.0%3-point %37.6% · 37.8%Ball care18.7% · 12.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
5
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
29/04/18Pistoia v Virtus Bologna61-74
02/01/18Virtus Bologna v Pistoia75-67
10/04/16Pistoia v Virtus Bologna88-76
20/12/15Virtus Bologna v Pistoia76-72
01/03/15Virtus Bologna v Pistoia90-67
09/11/14Pistoia v Virtus Bologna72-73
04/05/14Virtus Bologna v Pistoia70-77
04/01/14Pistoia v Virtus Bologna80-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18HBrescia73-70
24/11/18AReggiana84-82
18/11/18ASassari113-111
11/11/18HCremona73-90
04/11/18ATrieste79-96
28/10/18HBrindisi74-90
21/10/18AOlimpia Milano83-107
14/10/18HVenezia69-97
07/10/18APesaro77-83
09/05/18HBrescia90-85
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18ANeptunas85-88
09/12/18HSassari74-86
25/11/18APesaro86-89
21/11/18APromitheas95-85
18/11/18HTorino82-79
14/11/18HStrasbourg87-81
11/11/18HCantu90-81
07/11/18ABesiktas94-90
04/11/18AVenezia75-94
30/10/18HBayreuth74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game80.672.287.2
Allowed / game91.886.895.8
Point differential-11.2-14.5-8.6
Avg total172.3159.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game82.278.287.2
Allowed / game86.683.690.2
Point differential-4.3-5.4-3.0
Avg total168.8161.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%95.681.8+13.8
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Varese107370%76.972.6+4.3
4 Cremona96367%85.881.2+4.6
5 Avellino96367%85.381.2+4.1
6 Brindisi105550%76.776.0+0.7
7 Trieste94544%84.085.2-1.2
8 Pesaro94544%82.786.1-3.4
9 Virtus Bologna94544%82.286.6-4.3
10 Sassari104640%85.984.2+1.7
11 Brescia104640%78.176.8+1.3
12 Pistoia93633%80.691.8-11.2
13 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
14 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
15 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
16 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1216162771
Virtus Bologna2822211081
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